andrewming 2008-1-19 01:57
短期見21000!
個人認為次按風暴會大鑊過97...
追Put 1714:soldier:
現0.163, 目標0.32
ces 2008-1-19 15:23
but short term HSI likely stand stable
so I tend not to put until end of January
andrewming 2008-1-19 15:37
我估過年前約24000左右，0.22出,回彈25000左右再追put
BBQ_GUTS 2008-1-19 15:51
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-1-19 15:23 發表
but short term HSI likely stand stable
so I tend not to put until end of January [/quote]
i think so ~
but after hsbc release year end report HSI may be drop to 20000 - 22000 :L
Free2Go 2008-1-19 16:49
雖然我唔知你點計出黎.....但係有無咁差呀.......
ces 2008-1-19 17:54
[quote]原帖由 [i]BBQ_GUTS[/i] 於 2008-1-19 15:51 發表
i think so ~
but after hsbc release year end report HSI may be drop to 20000 - 22000 :L [/quote]
because market in general expects a very poor report
and this has been reflected in HSBC's stock price
so unless the report is extremely poor
I don't think its price will be adversely affected by the report
reverse thinking
if is is just a normal bad report
stock price may rebound
peninsula 2008-1-20 12:56
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-1-19 17:54 發表
because market in general expects a very poor report
and this has been reflected in HSBC's stock price.. [/quote]
It will reach $105 or lower.:L:afraid::help:
hardcat 2008-1-21 11:29
and as things stand now, it is not just the subprime anymore, subprime is more like the appetizer for the bigger crisis to come, one of them is the developing CDS crisis...
most bond insurers are extremely leveraged, e.g. ACA has capital of 425M insuring 69B of corporate and mortgage debt... many of those corporate junk bond, CDO, SIV risk are being insured this way... if the insurers default, then the counterparties will have to carry the loss (i.e. mostly wall street firms and bankers)...
we now have 45 Trillion of CDS outstanding, and bond insurers and insurances getting downgraded lately... the CDS loss could easily be hundreds of billions...
i do believe so far as the US is concerned, there will at least be a recession/depression first (could be brief depending on the printing machine), then followed by (hyper)inflation... inflating away the debts is the only way they can pay up the debt... the continuing USD debasement in future is a foregone conclusion imo, this will continue until its eventual destruction, to be replaced by a new currency 'amero' for North American Union (US+Canada+mexico) ... the US is essentially bankrupted, the way the financial system work wholly depend on the faith and credit people have on the US... if that faith weaken or shaken, this will be a threat to the whole world's financial system...
i dont know how much or how fast the magnitude of its impact will have on hk/china or asia.. it could take more time for the full effect to play out both in the US and worldwide...
[[i] 本帖最後由 hardcat 於 2008-1-21 17:16 編輯 [/i]]
ti1234 2008-1-21 11:44
21000. Is is true??
edison1610 2008-1-21 14:22
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andrewming 2008-1-21 14:28
[quote]原帖由 [i]edison1610[/i] 於 2008-1-21 14:22 發表
日經收市跌五百
你話恒指又幾多 [/quote]
可能過千:(
andrewming 2008-1-21 14:55
1714 14:500.200 升: 0.037 +22.70%
小小力 2008-1-21 15:28
[quote]原帖由 [i]andrewming[/i] 於 2008-1-21 14:28 發表
可能過千:( [/quote]
過哂喇!!
有人話我聽呢幾日下下都上晝跌下晝升番,所以今朝買左call...咁,應該死左喇!!
andrewming 2008-1-21 15:52
0.213 good水走左，轉call 4740:L
andrewming 2008-1-21 15:55
[quote]原帖由 [i]小小力[/i] 於 2008-1-21 15:28 發表
過哂喇!!
有人話我聽呢幾日下下都上晝跌下晝升番,所以今朝買左call...咁,應該死左喇!! [/quote]
大戶就係想麻醉散戶
1) 等散戶以為次次都有DEEP V, 次次跌親都會拗返上黎
2) 等散戶以為次次大跌都係低吸機會
當令到大部份散戶都有以上諗法時侯, 就來一穫堅野, 插到你驚
插一千點散戶唔驚, 就插夠兩千點, 兩千點唔夠就插夠三千點...
插到你驚為止..:L
edison1610 2008-1-21 15:57
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peninsula 2008-1-21 19:46
[quote]原帖由 [i]edison1610[/i] 於 2008-1-21 15:57 發表
散戶今次必死無疑!!!! [/quote]
See you at 20,000!:P:hamsup::butwiggle::o
小小力 2008-1-21 23:49
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2008-1-21 19:46 發表
See you at 20,000!:P:hamsup::butwiggle::o [/quote]
I worry if it can get lower....!! Tonight Europe fall so much...!! :jaw:
Free2Go 2008-1-22 09:10
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2008-1-21 19:46 發表
See you at 20,000!:P:hamsup::butwiggle::o [/quote]
但係跌到咁底....升唔升得番起架....
小小力 2008-1-22 12:28
[quote]原帖由 [i]Free2Go[/i] 於 2008-1-22 09:10 發表
但係跌到咁底....升唔升得番起架.... [/quote]
It's only a problem of time!
potatogundam 2008-1-22 14:03
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2008-1-21 19:46 發表
See you at 20,000!:P:hamsup::butwiggle::o [/quote]
你好似越睇越低 :P:reading::reading::L:L
jimmy1001 2008-1-22 15:26
是否漫長的熊市早來了？？？
peninsula 2008-1-22 20:26
[quote]原帖由 [i]potatogundam[/i] 於 2008-1-22 14:03 發表
你好似越睇越低 :P:reading::reading::L:L [/quote]
May get to 18000 before rebound and HSBC will go below $95.:L:help::afraid::'(
LoserII 2008-2-1 21:03
你好似越睇越低
Because she is flexible,但我重低, 我睇 18,000 haha
pandayip 2008-2-5 11:54
Thank you for your information
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