ces 2008-8-7 21:50
Short EURO 1.54
[color=Gray][size=3]Short EURO 1.54
[/size][/color]look 1.525 by friday night
歐元: 歐洲央行總裁會後聲明
歐洲央行(ECB)總裁特里謝稱，近期數據支撐了7月升息的決定。他並重申避免第二輪通膨效應仍很關鍵。最近數據顯示[color=Red]2008年中期實質經濟增長將明顯弱於第一季[/color]，歐元區經濟未遭遇重大失衡，當前貨幣政策立場將有助於實現物價穩定目標。特里謝稱歐元區經濟基本面穩健，未來經濟面臨的不確定性仍很高，食品和能源價格面臨進一步上漲風險，通膨將在2009年逐步放緩。
peninsula 2008-8-7 22:03
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-7 21:50 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5060662&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
Short EURO 1.54 look 1.525 by friday night長 ... [/quote]
OK - will follow but one hand is expensive!:lookaround:
ces 2008-8-8 00:47
Its been 2 hours when the position sell EUR at 1.54 is opened
EUR now 1.532
EUR falls less quick as I expected
as oil rebounds and US stock falls reduces the strength of the dollar
may be 1.53 is the first area to consider profit taking
ces 2008-8-8 10:54
its lucky that when get out of bed
euro has fallen to 1.522
so squared and get the money
In short term to sell whenever rebound
peninsula 2008-8-9 11:38
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-8 10:54 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5064422&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
its lucky that when get out of bed
euro has fallen to 1.522 [/quote]
Good - closed @1.50!;P:hamsup:
limited 2008-8-9 15:36
Free fall time is coming
ces 2008-8-11 01:33
[size=3][color=Purple]Euro 20 years trend
[/color][/size]
peninsula 2008-8-11 22:32
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-11 01:33 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5081519&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
Euro 20 years trend[/quote]
Free fall? What about NZD & AUD?:afraid::dizzy:
ces 2008-8-12 00:27
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2008-8-11 22:32 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5087234&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
Free fall? What about NZD & AUD?:afraid::dizzy: [/quote]
that's another brother's post
not mine
peninsula 2008-8-12 22:32
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-12 00:27 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5088331&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
that's another brother's post
not mine [/quote]
Should short or long?:L:wondering:
ces 2008-8-13 01:16
think NZD may long for short term (a few days) at 0.695
but AUD still has many bad news coming so better don't touch.
at this point shorting these 2 currencies may not be profitable taking into account of the interest loss
I rather think at 1.485 Euro may buy looking for 1.5
but long term Euro is uncertain
US dollar may not be as tough as generally expected
ces 2008-8-13 10:40
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-13 01:16 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5095934&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
think NZD may long for short term (a few days) at 0.695
but AUD still has many bad news coming so better don't touch.
at this point shorting these 2 currencies may not be profitable taking into acc ... [/quote]
I was wrong
both NZD and AUD fall this morning
peninsula 2008-8-13 22:14
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-13 10:40 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5097679&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
I was wrong
both NZD and AUD fall this morning [/quote]
GBP extremely weak.:dizzy:
ces 2008-8-14 01:32
great surprise
yesterday morning 8-10 am
carry trade unwinding pushed NZD to fall from 0.699 to 0.685
18 hous later NZD now 0.702
strong rebound
ces 2008-8-14 01:34
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2008-8-13 22:14 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5100894&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
GBP extremely weak.:dizzy: [/quote]
poor employment data
increase chance of rates cutting
if furhter bad data
GBP may follow the path of AUD and NZD
peninsula 2008-8-14 21:58
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-14 01:34 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5102538&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
GBP may follow the path of AUD and NZD [/quote]
Short term?:wondering:
ces 2008-8-17 15:48
already fall 700 pip in a week
further trend depends on economic data
but dare not give any firm comments
all the way I can't understand GPB
as good as I understand other currencies
ces 2008-8-17 15:50
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-14 01:32 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5102522&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
great surprise
yesterday morning 8-10 am
carry trade unwinding pushed NZD to fall from 0.699 to 0.685
18 hous later NZD now 0.702
strong rebound [/quote]
NZD now 0.706
may need to realize profit latest by this week end
peninsula 2008-8-18 23:01
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-17 15:50 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5123082&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
NZD now 0.706
may need to realize profit latest by this week end [/quote]
Take profit la.;P:lol
ces 2008-8-19 00:25
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2008-8-18 23:01 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5130627&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
Take profit la.;P:lol [/quote]
eventually get the money at 0.7135
[[i] 本帖最後由 ces 於 2008-8-19 00:26 編輯 [/i]]
peninsula 2008-8-19 22:56
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-19 00:25 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5131279&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
eventually get the money at 0.7135 [/quote]
What is your next play?:o:wondering:
ces 2008-8-20 09:54
May take a recess for the time being
dollar is losing strength
and other currencies are too weak to make big rebounds
market may go under a very narrow range
In September many countries will have their rate meetings :
CAD and AUD 3.9.08
Eur and GBP 4.9.08
NZ 11.9.08
US and CHF 18.9.08
So wait and see
peninsula 2008-9-2 21:55
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-8-20 09:54 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5139599&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
In September many countries will ha ... [/quote]
AUD, NZD and GBP are all down significatly. Any startegy now?:L:wondering:
ces 2008-9-3 11:00
Sorry
not yet
how about you
peninsula 2008-9-3 20:20
[quote]原帖由 [i]ces[/i] 於 2008-9-3 11:00 發表 [url=http://forum.timway.com/f/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=5209182&ptid=209780][img]http://forum.timway.com/f/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
how about you [/quote]
Waiting to long AUD as you sugegsted. NZD is not as good a bet.:lookaround::o
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