求其 2007-2-17 15:39
Thank you very much!
恭喜發財
萬事勝意
龍馬精神
豬年順景
billchan 2007-2-17 16:13
回覆 #51 求其 的帖子
;P....仲要恭喜埋你在此題內，提個隻死個隻！（好似有 d 大吉利是添！:quiet:）
求其 2007-2-18 21:00
[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-2-17 16:13 發表
;P....仲要恭喜埋你在此題內，提個隻死個隻！（好似有 d 大吉利是添！:quiet:） [/quote]
承你贵言!:lol
[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-19 19:03 編輯 [/i]]
求其 2007-2-19 19:02
20/2/07 meeting 死狗:
Race 1: 新石磨藍
A declining horse being ridden by a cold person...Beware of its running a 44-55 again.
Race 2: 千萬福星
The race he won was not a key race in which he was a cold horse. After having a delicious meal last time but being added with 8 points, the horse from the "likes cold and hates hot 千萬series" may pobably give us a frig-up race...I guess he would come back at 3-6 on tomorrow meeting.
Race 3: 玉蜻蜓
He would be among the hot horses in this race. I think he is no longer improving if he keeps on running this distance at present rating. Wearing 132lb is also a hard task for him. Coming back at 2-4 i possible but could not win tomorrow !
Race 4: 無提供
Race 5: 無提供
Race 6: 無提供
Race 7: 再戰群雄
Though the horse owner is a good owner whose horses always run the best in most races, the present rating of 再戰群雄 is too high for him to win again. I think he will come back out of the first 3 positions.
Race 8: 爆炸
Second start syndrome plus too many withdrawn horses has the Staple, I put him on list!
Race 9: 無提供
Race 10: 牛精財星
He may be the second hottest horse in this race (the odds on favourite should be 夢幻飛駒), I don;t think he's a good horse after observing the two races he's run. As 夢幻飛駒 is an unbeaten horse, it is still very superb and likely to win again, the first runner-up may seldom be the second hottest horse by custom, I put 牛精財星 on list!
[color=Purple][size=5]Hope you all have good return tomorrow![/size][/color]
Air Supply 2007-2-20 00:53
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-2-19 19:02 發表
20/2/07 meeting 死狗:
Race 1: 新石磨藍
A declining horse being ridden by a cold person...Beware of its running a 44-55 again.
Race 2: 千萬福星
The race he won was not a key race in which he ... [/quote]
多謝每日屎狗再度出擊, 原先諗住聽日拖番一票玉蜻蜓依家可以慳番咯~ ;P ;P :bow: :bow: :beer: :beer:
billchan 2007-2-20 01:23
[quote]原帖由 [i]Air Supply[/i] 於 2007-2-20 00:53 發表
多謝每日屎狗再度出擊, 原先諗住聽日拖番一票玉蜻蜓依家可以慳番咯~ ;P ;P :bow: :bow: :beer: :beer: [/quote]
:applause: 可以慳番 X 2 :givemefive:
求其 2007-2-20 14:56
[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-2-20 01:23 發表
:applause: 可以慳番 X 2 :givemefive: [/quote]
千萬福星 was not aimng at the Q as seen in the course of racing, but the horses 3 and 13 (and the rest) were too bad that 千萬福星 could not acchieve “幕后有奖金，马迷無奖品”了;P
小緣 2007-2-20 15:13
[quote]
Race 8: 爆炸
Second start syndrome plus too many withdrawn horses has the Staple, I put him on list!
[/quote]
[color=Brown]呢隻要小心，無影都唔出奇~:byebye:[/color]
細摩 2007-2-20 15:18
[quote]原帖由 [i]小緣[/i] 於 2007-2-20 15:13 發表
呢隻要小心，無影都唔出奇~:byebye: [/quote]
大家咁話~~~~~;P;P
billchan 2007-2-20 15:37
大摩也榮升是日「死狗」馬房！:(
小緣 2007-2-20 15:44
[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-2-20 15:37 發表
大摩也榮升是日「死狗」馬房！:( [/quote]
[color=Brown]你又唔駛咁心痛既∼∼;P[/color]
billchan 2007-2-20 16:02
[quote]原帖由 [i]小緣[/i] 於 2007-2-20 15:44 發表
你又唔駛咁心痛既∼∼;P [/quote]
:lol...我無掂佢 d 馬，無心痛，嘻！;P
求其 2007-2-20 18:48
John Moore 單日轉向, he got a winner by Able Win, but 蘇保羅 is quite promising this day: all his horses were dead dog, even the odds-on-favourite 夢幻飛軀:lol...
As I've said, 牛精財星 is not a good horse: "carring a lot of 飛 all his races, coming close but couldn't win" shows that he is a "名大實力小" 馬
[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-20 20:31 編輯 [/i]]
求其 2007-2-26 15:12
周三阿方手马好劲，但唔会出亲场场赢o架！:oh:
[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-26 15:15 編輯 [/i]]
求其 2007-2-28 11:09
28/2/07 Dead hot dog:
Race 1: 無提供
I think 賽馬精神 could not win as usual (a virgin is still a virgin), but he may get a 2233 as the horses are very 水 this time.
Race 2: 川滙主帥
No idea on his ability, just worry about he may 走様
Race 3:果然好
Odds at 2.5 is not quite worthy, as he is not a good horse and seems no longer to have any advancement as seen in these races. I think he will lead into the last 200 but may be overtaken by some horses form the back and finally get a 2-6 position
Race 4: 搶首 :verygood::verygood::verygood::verygood::verygood:
A rubbish horse that attracts betting money all the time, 3-6 again la
Race 5: 無提供
Race 6: 無提供
Race 7: 無提供
Race 8: 無提供
onno1 2007-2-28 12:09
今日講下幾隻隔晚大熱門心水死狗!
R2) 7 川滙主帥 一出大熱跑第四,再出又大熱門,通常我都飛鬼左佢!
R5) 6 利 是 鋒 上次跑第2我都有要佢,今次轉人變大熱,我看3344有佢份!
R6) 3 哲 學 家 大熱門不利,今季搏得多了,無影機會有8成半!
R7) 11 錢途光明 上班太快,搏極俾佢拿第3!
billchan 2007-2-28 12:51
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-2-28 11:09 發表
28/2/07 Dead hot dog:
........
Race 2: 川滙主帥
No idea on his ability, just worry about he may 走様
... [/quote]
洗文諾是阿標一向的優先投注對象，他騎的冷門馬祇要揾到少少利好因素，就算個因素＋分勉强都好，阿標另無心水時，經常都肯投他一票，結果也常有驚喜！
但是，他的公眾大熱門馬呢？先唔使講隻馬，阿標亦唔理任何利好理由，决定唔掂！:givemefive:
billchan 2007-2-28 19:43
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-2-28 11:09 發表
28/2/07 Dead hot dog:
Race 1: 無提供
I think 賽馬精神 could not win as usual (a virgin is still a virgin), but he may get a 2233 as the horses are very 水 this time.
Race 2: 川滙主帥
... [/quote]
:verygood:........跑左兩場，就中兩場﹗:givemefive:
求其 2007-3-1 01:18
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-2-28 11:09 發表
28/2/07 Dead hot dog:
Race 1: 無提供
I think 賽馬精神 could not win as usual (a virgin is still a virgin), but he may get a 2233 as the horses are very 水 this time.
Race 2: 川滙主帥
... [/quote]
No 每日死狗 has won this evening:beer:
happycamel 2007-3-1 01:20
回復 #69 求其 的帖子
:beer: :beer: :beer:
:P :handshake
求其 2007-3-1 01:26
[quote]原帖由 [i]happycamel[/i] 於 2007-3-1 01:20 發表
:beer: :beer: :beer:
:P :handshake [/quote]
果然好, 搶首 are my favourite horses(especially the latter horse), because I can always make profit from them, as they are 水马 that attracts betting money. It's simple for me to treat them as lantern in that I make profit by betting on their competitors!
onno1 2007-3-1 07:10
[quote]原帖由 [i]onno1[/i] 於 2007-2-28 12:09 發表
今日講下幾隻隔晚大熱門心水死狗!
R2) 7 川滙主帥 一出大熱跑第四,再出又大熱門,通常我都飛鬼左佢!
R5) 6 利 是 鋒 上次跑第2我都有要佢,今次轉人變大熱,我看3344有佢份!
R6) 3 哲 學 家 大熱門不利,今季搏得多了,無影機會有8成半!
R7) 11 錢途光明 上班太快,搏極俾佢拿第3![/quote]
[size=6]賽後我點睇[/size]
R2) 7 川滙主帥 質索肯定有,但如其搏牠開胡,不如唔好買好過,轉冷別論!
R5) 6 利 是 鋒 1至2場內頭馬見面!
R6) 3 哲 學 家 到季尾重會有1次勝出或上名機會!
R7) 11 錢途光明 今次勝在形勢,馬不是太高,下場也不會買!
求其 2007-3-1 13:58
[quote]原帖由 [i]onno1[/i] 於 2007-3-1 07:10 發表
賽後我點睇
R2) 7 川滙主帥 質索肯定有,但如其搏牠開胡,不如唔好買好過,轉冷別論!
R5) 6 利 是 鋒 1至2場內頭馬見面!
R6) 3 哲 學 家 到季尾重會有1次勝出或上名機會!
R7) 11 錢途光明 今 ... [/quote]
有很多馬都被人認定有質素, 可能真的有, 但跑馬是看結果的, 話之你天花龍鳳,身價很高, 贏唔到講乜都無用! 反而有D馬經常被人看低,但牠識贏!
對於馬主來說, 馬匹的身價可能是一種面子,但對於一個圈外的投注人來說,毯的能力才是關鍵! 世紀巨星 肯定不是名門望族, 比上季來的威成,綠色顯男,長驅,億銘之寶等身價天壤之別,但牠已4W,而且次次冰山大冷門,中佢一次夠晒數! 比長買那些次次熱但多數唔得的名氣馬來得實際!
求其 2007-3-4 10:31
每日死狗 for 4/3/07
Race 1: 駔驍之首
Soumillon had tried his best in getting a winner in the last few races but failed proving that it's either a rubbish horse or a long distance horse needs a prolonged period for getting mature. I think he may not have enough time to get it as he will become dog food before his getting mature:lol
He will continue to come back at the wave-front but still could not win
Race 2: 糖果博士
He seems not to be a good horse but attracts betting money on and off. 2-4 again but hardly win!
Race 3: 工程塑料
Reason 1: distance being shortened 1600 is a little bit difficult for a long distance horse at the end of racing season;
Reason 2: 冼文諾 is a cold jockey only;
Reason 3: He has got a permit to Derby and will definitely reserve his strength for it but not this race.
Race 4: 無提供
Race 5: 大師傅
Reason 1: Although he has won in the last race, he might not have good ability as the standard of the race was not high as the two runner-up were virgin.
Reason 2: 千萬福星 is too tough that may prevent him from fighting to get into the Quinella in this race!
Race 6: 無提供
Race 7: 皇帝出巡
He may be the 3rd or 4th hottest horse in this race for reason of grand race jockey Mousse riding on him. I think he doesn't have the ability to win at this rating and confrontators carrying the same weight.
Race 8: 無提供
Race 9: 無提供
Race 10: 無提供
求其 2007-3-4 15:11
駔驍之首, 糖果博士, 工程塑料, 大師傅 all dead :givemefive::lol
利記 2007-3-4 15:19
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-4 15:11 發表
駔驍之首, 糖果博士, 工程塑料, 大師傅 all dead :givemefive::lol [/quote]
勁呀:verygood: :verygood: :verygood: :verygood:
happycamel 2007-3-4 15:32
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-4 15:11 發表
駔驍之首, 糖果博士, 工程塑料, 大師傅 all dead :givemefive::lol [/quote]
:applause: :applause: :applause: :applause: :verygood:
求其 2007-3-4 23:43
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-4 10:31 發表
每日死狗 for 4/3/07
Race 1: 駔驍之首
Soumillon had tried his best in getting a winner in the last few races but failed proving that it's either a rubbish horse or a long distance horse needs a ... [/quote]
每日死狗 for 4/3/07 are all out of the first 3 positions!:givemefive:
求其 2007-3-7 14:46
每日死狗 for 7/3/07
Race 1: 無提供
Race 2: 無提供
At last, I didn't put 驊中龍 on list, but I still worry about his failure to win in this race.
Reason:
a. The standard of his last race waas extremely low;
b. He is to carry 132lb which is too heavy for a young horse;
c. There are quite a lot of challengers: 3 new horses, and horse number 4,11,12 are also have winning ability.
Good luck to those betting win on him.(I won't do that and will use my betting method in this race)
Race 3: 駕馭
Reason:
a. He seems not to be a good horse and the 2nd runner-up he got in the last race was not of high standard;
b. Odds too low for a horse being a winner in new horse races and defeated 10 times after allocated into normal classes;
c. 文家良 is not a staple that can be relied on. It's one of the most 不正气 staple in HK (LEUNG Ding-wah is another one). Avoiding betting on its odds-on-favourite horses will enhance chance of winning money;
Race 4: 無提供
Race 5: 熊中雄
The horse has run toomuch in this season and its rating seems to be saturated. I think he could come back at 2-6 this race and hardly win again in this season.
Race 6: 高高的
LEUNG Ding-wah is a staple whose hot horses cannot be trusted. 高高的 is a horse with ability,but it's a coming-behind-horse such that it's very easy to lose a race if desired. I will bet on him when the odds is over 10:1
Race 7: 功力勝
It's a semi-virgin (got only 1 win out of 20 races). Moore's staple is at its low tide. He seems to run better at Shatin. I don't think it's worth betting on him at 6:1.
Race 8: 加州巔峯
After four times coming back at the second position, his rating is still at 78 (only 1 point higher than before) showing that the Stewart doesn't weigh him a very good ability. I think he would even lose the first two position this race, as Track A is not suitable for a leading horse to get good performance.
紅豆沙 2007-3-7 14:52
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-7 02:46 PM 發表
每日死狗 for 7/3/07
Race 1: 無提供
Race 2: 無提供
At last, I didn't put 驊中龍 on list, but I still worry about his failure to win in this race.
Reason:
a. The standard of his last race wa ... [/quote]
:jaw:[color=Purple]你講咁多隻，好似全部都有揀[/color]:jaw:
[[i] 本帖最後由 紅豆沙 於 2007-3-7 15:05 編輯 [/i]]
細摩 2007-3-7 14:53
我貼第三場 (盟友): 因為今季九歲或以上老馬無一隻可以連續兩場走入place
求其 2007-3-7 15:16
[quote]原帖由 [i]紅豆沙[/i] 於 2007-3-7 14:52 發表
:jaw:你講咁多隻，好似全部都有揀:jaw: [/quote]
我未必对的嘛！;P
求其 2007-3-7 15:40
[quote]原帖由 [i]細摩[/i] 於 2007-3-7 14:53 發表
我貼第三場 (盟友): 因為今季九歲或以上老馬無一隻可以連續兩場走入place [/quote]
Track A is not suitable for 盟友, as he has only 1500m 气量！(if there were a 1500m distance, he might have got 3-4win)
紅豆沙 2007-3-7 15:44
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-7 03:16 PM 發表
我未必对的嘛！;P [/quote]
:applause::applause::applause:[color=Purple]咁又係[/color]:P
求其 2007-3-8 00:09
Tonite I've made history in 死狗, 4 out of my 5 selection won ...I think Changmao has won a lot of money because he always treat me as his lantern:L:saujai::'(
billchan 2007-3-8 02:34
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-8 00:09 發表
Tonite I've made history in 死狗, 4 out of my 5 selection won ...I think Changmao has won a lot of money because he always treat me as his lantern:L:saujai::'( [/quote]
唔緊要啦，全部大熱門！ :oh: 而且，你都早早對豆豆講左：
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-7 15:16 發表
我未必对的嘛！;P [/quote]
收拾心情，下次再長期討論！ :handshake :wave:
順便恭喜長毛！:applause: :rose:
HJ2127_ATR1 2007-3-8 09:09
回復 #86 billchan 的帖子
[color=green][size=2]標青[/color][/size]兄，昨晚你隻愛駒出場喎，有冇買番ｄ？:wondering:
下次去馬，早ｄ通知聲！ :rose:
Air Supply 2007-3-8 18:15
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-8 00:09 發表
Tonite I've made history in 死狗, 4 out of my 5 selection won ...I think Changmao has won a lot of money because he always treat me as his lantern:L:saujai::'( [/quote]
偶有所失, 非戰之罪~ :nono:
billchan 2007-3-9 00:11
[quote]原帖由 [i]HJ2127_ATR1[/i] 於 2007-3-8 09:09 發表
[size=2][color=Green]標青[/color][/size]兄，昨晚你隻愛駒出場喎，有冇買番ｄ？:wondering:
下次去馬，早ｄ通知聲！ :rose: [/quote]
;P.....我都俾某報馬經版個大標題嚇一大跳，自已報名出賽俾人騎都唔知！:afraid:
:loveeyes: 現場見佢有廿幾倍差點搵左佢做膽拖全餐，嘻嘻，好彩冇！:P
卒之會搵次打水片捧下場！:quiet:
求其 2007-3-9 18:11
3月10日死狗:
Race 1: 新力高
Reason:
1. Whyte and Moore's effect this season;
2. 新力series are very aggressive that most 新力's will perform well at the first start (eg. 新力度，新力劲，新力升．．．). As 新力高 was the second hottest horse last time but performed badly, I think 新力高 is not a very good horse and no.5,4 and 1 will defeat him tomorrow (especially horses no.5 and no. 4)
Race 2: 連冠精英
He may be the second-third hottest horse tomorrow. It's not worthy betting on a horse which has never got a place at win odds < 8:1. S K Sit is a jockey whose winner seldom < 20:1.
Race 3: 無提供
Race 4: 無提供
Race 5: 常山鎮寶
It's been proved to be a rubbish which always attracts eyes of junior punters or punters never been grown up. It's now class 5 and I think he may have better chance to get places or even a winner later, but based on the principle of never betting on these kind of 常规热死狗, I put him on list again. (Suppose he could get a winner finally, I think I have got several success in predicting him as 热死狗 already la:lol)
Race 6: 無提供
Race 7: 勝利鑽石
Put him on list again (I have done this 3-4 times after I established this thread this season, and it has proved that I am right to do so:lol). I think he may come back at 2-5 but still could not win.
Race 8: 無提供
Race 9: 無提供
Race 10: 高點
It's dangerous to bet on a virgin horse whose win odds may change from 40:1 to around 6:1.
Race 11: 無提供
Race 8
KMY89 2007-3-10 09:36
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-9 10:11 發表
3月10日死狗:
Race 1:[color=Red] 新力高[/color]Reason:
1. Whyte and Moore's effect this season;
2. 新力series are very aggressive that most 新力's will perform well at the first start (eg. 新力度，新力劲， ... [/quote]
[color=Green]我覺得幾好 chance ，因為上次跑得唔差而分齡減磅好著數。[/color]
求其 2007-3-11 00:27
[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-10 09:36 發表
我覺得幾好 chance ，因為上次跑得唔差而分齡減磅好著數。 [/quote]
Dead already :lol
KMY89 2007-3-11 17:01
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-10 16:27 發表
Dead already :lol [/quote]
[color=Green]但都跑得幾好 wor ... [/color] :verygood:
求其 2007-3-11 20:48
[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-11 17:01 發表
但都跑得幾好 wor ... :verygood: [/quote]
deleted...(accidentally posted for 2 times)
[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-11 21:43 編輯 [/i]]
求其 2007-3-11 20:48
[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-11 17:01 發表
但都跑得幾好 wor ... :verygood: [/quote]
Yes,
My point of view:
马主 of ＂新力＂系，＂常山＂系，＂钢＂系（＂出奇＂马主），＂箭＂系＂，必Ｘ勝＂系 are all of very good sport spirit, as we ca see most horses of them will try their best in getting the best position, even at the first start. (eg. 新力度，新力升，钢力，出奇，常山名驹，常山多宝，银箭，most 必Ｘ勝...).
Therefore, if a horse of them has run 2-3 starts, came back closely but couldn't win, I would assume the horse may not be a good horse. If after many races that it still being a virgin, I would 睇死 the horse.
Prominant examples are 常山镇宝， 必永勝. I put them on my dead dog list already!
For this 新力, maybe it's too early to certify him. I will keep my eyes on him and I thik I could come to a solid conclusion within 3-4 races.
紅豆沙 2007-3-11 20:54
[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-11 08:48 PM 發表
Yes,
My point of view:
马主 of ＂新力＂系，＂常山＂系，＂钢＂系（＂出奇＂马主），＂箭＂系＂，必Ｘ勝ᦀ ... [/quote]
[color=Purple]o我:o出左兩次既？[/color]
KMY89 2007-3-12 08:57
[color=Green]我覺得熱門才可冠以死狗的Title，如果無飛如最近的必永勝、常山是沒必要的。有些馬不是死狗，但局限於跑法是很難很難出頭，例如：甜心、非我莫屬.... 通常都會有1W多P，勝利鑽石亦如是 ... 但收Place也很好。[/color]
KMY89 2007-3-12 09:07
[color=Purple]勝利鑽石跑姿好論盡，要够寬濶的空間去衝，不是均速馬，放頭唔掂。而且要有快步速。
如果勝利鑽石要有WIN，應早放棄冼毅力策騎，找個7磅trainee...二叠找遮擋 轉入彎後出大外叠蝕位在大外檔去衝。會早日WIN。[/color]
求其 2007-3-13 14:44
[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-12 08:57 發表
我覺得熱門才可冠以死狗的Title，如果無飛如最近的必永勝、常山是沒必要的。有些馬不是死狗，但局限於跑法是很難很難出頭，例如：甜心、非我莫屬.... 通常都會有1W多P，勝利鑽石亦如是 ... 但收Place也很好。 [/quote]
When I put 必永勝 on list, he was the odds on favorite!
常山 was also among the hottest horses in the races, the principle of setting up 热死狗 is to spot the horses (should be the third few hottest horses in a race) that are too hot (relative to his reasonable odds ought to have been), 常山 is always a horse that carries betting money beyond his ability. I think he should beyond 20:1, but he always become the hottest forst 3 horses. Last time he's 7:1, came back at 4th, money betting on him being shared by the smarter punters again:lol
I put 勝利鑽石 on list is to tell all of you I bet him could not win but may come back 2-4(You can se it in my reminder for him). My point is: Risk in horse racing is extremely high, avoid betting W on some horses like 勝利鑽石 is on the other hand a profit making process. To pick up horses hardly to win like 勝利鑽石, 必永勝, 抢首 is surely the aim of 每日死狗.
I hope you could give us more input regarding this topic, thank you very much!
KMY89 2007-3-14 00:26
[color=Purple]如果有個topic係每日冷狗，我會盡力提供，因為我最喜歡捉冷狗。
上周末有爪皇就不怕捉不到家福了。[/color]