查看完整版本: 每日死狗(長期討論)

[color=Purple]明晚有兩隻大冷狗要注意

Race 4 - 光速 (59倍)
Race 7 - 業精於勤 (12倍)[/color]

:verygood:

[[i] 本帖最後由 KMY89 於 2007-3-14 01:28 編輯 [/i]]

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-14 00:26 發表
如果有個topic係每日冷狗，我會盡力提供，因為我最喜歡捉冷狗。

上周末有爪皇就不怕捉不到家福了。 [/quote]

好的，捉到大冷狗跟捉到热死狗在赌钱的意义上是同样重要！

回復 #102 求其 的帖子

咁我都係度寫隻冷狗先，第二場國家富強。

回復 #103 HJ2127_ATR1 的帖子

:reading: 有20倍woh 留意下先 :givemefive:

3月14日死狗 :

第4場 3.心歡暢

原因 : 旺角竹館剛剛o黎料 , 叫買 1,2,4

以上內容, 只供參考 :applause::applause::applause:

[quote]原帖由 [i]happycamel[/i] 於 14-3-2007 18:17 發表
:reading: 有20倍woh 留意下先 :givemefive: [/quote]

哀左啦，原來係隻京城之威。　:afraid:

As I couldn't see the starter and somebody was accompanying me yesterday afternoon, I hadn't posted the 每日死狗 for yesterdy's meeting...

If I had done it, I would have surely posted 有志者 as one of the 热死狗. 有志者 may always be on my list if he keeps on participating distance below 1800m. I think he is a Class 3 horse whose best distances should be over 2000m, and his best way for him should be leading in front of the huddles.
My opinion: His capacity（气量）has not yet been trained up but 天生速度 is higher than that of the horses in the same rating group, therefore he can always lead in front the hudde, come back at the front huddle but couldn't win. Hopefully he could catch up in time, otherwise he might turn into a piece of pedegree (dog cake) before he get his virgin win.:lol

14/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 無提供

Race 2: 無提供

Race 3: 工兵
I anticipate it will become the second to third hottest horse ultimately. It is a horse who hasn't proved himself any ability of winning a race, but will always attract large amount of betting money.

Race 4: 威勁多
Just like 威成，长躯，绿色显男，it's an expensive horse who proves that money is not neccesary related to quality/ability. I anticipate it will become the odds on favourite in this race, but still come back at most 3344 again!

Race 5: 無提供

Race 6: 無提供

Race 7: 無提供

Race 8: withdrawn
I'd put 爆炸 on list, as I anticipate tomorrow might be a rainy day and the going might be yielding to soft which is benefitial to 爆炸. I unlist him but will not bet on him still. I do think he wouldn't perform very good tomorrow. A derby winner should be well prepared since the beginning of the season, therefore I don't think his staple has been well preparing for it.

Race 9: 無提供

Race 10: 牛精財星
It's not a good horse, but it has become a 名气马 like 糖果博士 whose 名气 has overtaken his racing ability. Put him on list again!

[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-17 14:54 編輯 [/i]]

[color=Purple]工兵7.7倍、威勁多7倍 ... 死唔死狗都唔多人買 wor ...

爆炸會很大機會、牛精財星是打吡後備，能入選的多數係好馬。[/color]

KMY 評大熱死狗

Race 5 - 御名燈 - 上次跑盡僅贏 Tiger Ridge，今次增程對手強，Place 都無。:L

Race 6 - 富士晨曦 - 班分已盡，Place 都無。:L

Race 8 - 俊歡騰 - 舊年今日同小武士燒死，曾底出糖果 ... 幕後鬥志成疑，巫生舊年點跑打吡 ? :'(


冷狗：

馬主叻(9.2倍) 、 同一夢想 (10倍)

For Brother KMY 評大熱死狗, my opinion:

Race 5 - 御名燈 is improving much, the only thing to worry about is the 幕后鬥志。名燈series is always hard to predict!

Race 6 - 富士晨曦 - 班分已盡，Place 都無。:L
Agree and support!

Race 8 - 俊歡騰 - he's aminig at becoming a 配种马 with higher 配种价. I'm just worry about the turf being yielding which may affect its performance(and enhance that of Staney Ho's horse, otherwise he would win [/color]


冷狗：
馬主叻(9.2倍) 、 同一夢想 (10倍)

I think 馬主叻 could at most get a 3344, 同一夢想 will come back at position out of the first three!

[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-18 14:10 編輯 [/i]]

[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-18 06:07 發表

He's aminig at becoming a 配种马 with higher 配种价. I'm just worry about the turf being yielding which may affect its performance(and enhance that of Staney Ho's horse, otherwise he would  ... [/quote]

[color=Green]Big fish said Stanley paid $500,000 :L to the jockey for ride one race, and use his private jet ...

Don't worry, brother, Stanley is  82 years old already, his last chance this time. :boxing:[/color]

[color=Red]冷狗：
馬主叻(9.2倍) 、 同一夢想 (10倍)

I think 馬主叻 could at most get a 3344, 同一夢想 will come back at position out of the first three![/color]

[color=Green]I have confident in these 2 horse, and don't think 同一夢想 will come back at position out of the first three.[/color]

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-18 14:11 發表


Big fish said Stanley paid $500,000 :L to the jockey for ride one race, and use his private jet ...

Don't worry, brother, Stanley is  82 years old already, his last chance this time. :boxing: [/quote]

Maybe a rainy day would help him finish his dream. I wouldn't bet on this race anyway.

[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-15 23:15 發表
14/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 4: 威勁多
Just like 威成，长躯，绿色显男，it's an expensive horse who proves that money is not neccesary related to quality/ability. I anticipate it will become the odds on favourite in this race, but still come back at most 3344 again!
[/quote]

又威成又绿色显男，你都好串喎! :fire:

隻果然好由KMY同细摩去布吉玩之後嗰日出到家下都未好過, 加埋隻東威之星年中可以慳埋唔少 :boxing:

[quote]原帖由 [i]CHANGMAO[/i] 於 2007-3-18 14:54 發表


又威成又绿色显男，你都好串喎! :fire:

隻果然好由KMY同细摩去布吉玩之後嗰日出到家下都未好過, 加埋隻東威之星年中可以慳埋唔少 :boxing: [/quote]

威成,绿色显男, 威劲多 and 长驹 are similar in that they are very expensive,hardly win or never win horses entering HK recently...:lol

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-18 14:14 發表
冷狗：

I have confident in these 2 horse, and don't thi ... [/quote]

It further proves that: Its not worthy betting on virgin horses, especially those virgin who have run 3-6, or seemed to have good performance but not won last time, and become 众人冷门 or 半热门 this time. The percentage of failure is quite high!

It also supports my continuous putting 牛精財星 on the list. In my eyes, he's already a 逢出必热而必输马, I won't postpone putting him onlist until he could get a W:lol

Dear all, Money doesn't mean quality, but quality means money!

[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-19 17:22 編輯 [/i]]

21/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 威霸龍
It is not a real splinter but a miler, but due to lacking of 气量 to run 1400-1600, he could always run in front the huddles and get 3344 if lucky. He's now the odds on favourite in this race(May be due to the reason of O Doleuze riding on him). I think it's not worthy betting on his W. I anticipate he could come back at 3-6.
   
Race 2: 盈峰
He's now the third hottest horse in this race and maybe even get hotter tommorrow night. It's a rubbish! Don't alter your mind by the performance in his last race. I anticipate he will retire within this season without getting a W or any P.:lol

Race 3: 無提供

Race 4: 第一好運
He may be among the hottest horses in Race 4. I don't think he could win, or even get a P in this race. He needs reduction of marks by 8-10 before he could have chance to get a W

Race 5: 威霸熊
久沉马+热门, the best choice of 死狗 to be listed;P. He may come back at 3344 at most and could not win.

Race 6: 無提供

Race 7: 我來也
久沉+热门, He seems to awake but still not a good choice to focus on. He is a HV expert but is not worthy to be the oddson favourite in race. I anticipate he may come back at 2-4 but still could not win.

Race 8: 無提供
金同德 is a new born HV expert at 1000-1200 distances. It's dangerous to bet him to lose this race. But I am a liitle bit worry about he's running too much these month, and the confrontators are much more tough than ever. I think the chance of his winning in this race is just ~40%, and that of his getting into a runner-up is ~80%. I do think some horses may beaten him to 1st or 2nd runner-up. They may be 幸運精英,極奇妙,魅力漢子,一號種籽,創惑?!:wondering::reading:

没有把金同德上LIST，是尊重他4W的佳绩，但今次是有隐忧的：
金同德赢了换人，今次的杜鹏志不是热人，金同德今次可能会热死！上次赢威威之星，是不错的马，但未必很好，因为前次很尽都输给何良的一匹缩程跑HV1000的沙田1400-1600大冷马祥胜奇驹，实力不会太高！
創惑现在是十多倍，临场总有7-8倍以上的，它赛绩一样很好，JOCKEY又是金同德上次的赢出者哩！:quiet:

[[i] 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-21 18:08 編輯 [/i]]

[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-21 00:09 發表
21/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 威霸龍
It is not a real splinter but a miler, but due to lacking of 气量 to run 1400-1600, he could always run in front the huddles and get 3344 if lucky. He's now ... [/quote]

:(   貼完 Race 1: 威霸龍 place 上博友榜，先至睇到 求其兄今晚將此狗入榜，希望牠有 3 3 唔好 4 4 啦！:oh:

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-21 16:54 發表


:(   貼完 Race 1: 威霸龍 place 上博友榜，先至睇到 求其兄今晚將此狗入榜，希望牠有 3 3 唔好 4 4 啦！:oh: [/quote]

On your side, I hope my prediction goes wrong...
In my point of view, I think he is a 一里马，有速度但一直没有贯注力（气量），所以跑长一点又输最后一百，改过来对手差一点的快活谷跑短途是对的，但他不是真正短途马，小弟觉得他几难赢了，但2-5名就唔难囖！

;P...我將佢過 place �隉I有第 2 或 3 就可以了！:P

阿標今日早場好彩贏左 �謋J波，已有兩倍利潤在��口，今晚小注冷門，臨場呢 d 咁熱既狗，真金白銀一定唔會買！;P

[[i] 本帖最後由 billchan 於 2007-3-21 17:40 編輯 [/i]]

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-21 17:37 發表
;P...我將佢過 place �隉I有第 2 或 3 就可以了！:P

阿標今日早場好彩贏左 �謋J波，已有兩倍利潤在��口，今晚小注冷門，臨場呢 d 咁熱既狗，真金白銀一定唔會買！;P [/quote]

临场估计会买边件呢？研究一下吖!

我都會睇住 冼文諾 d 馬！尾場會�E實 極奇妙！

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-21 18:08 發表
我都會睇住 冼文諾 d 馬！尾場會�E實 極奇妙！ [/quote]

好的，去你的临场X水区聊吧！

[color=Purple]其爺，東莞有乜邊間桑記收到有線？[/color];P

:oh:   而家暫時吹唔到水啦！趕�茼^家！:bow:

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-21 18:18 發表
其爺，東莞有乜邊間桑記收到有線？;P [/quote]

报告师傅！
听讲CP有D HOTEL有，但我以前果边就无囖，东莞终究不是深圳啊！

[quote]Race 8: 無提供
金同德 is a new born HV expert at 1000-1200 distances. It's dangerous to bet him to lose this race. But I am a liitle bit worry about he's running too much these month, and the confrontators are much more tough than ever. I think the chance of his winning in this race is just ~40%, and that of his getting into a runner-up is ~80%. I do think some horses may beaten him to 1st or 2nd runner-up. They may be 幸運精英,極奇妙,魅力漢子,一號種籽,創惑?![/quote]

Yeah! As what I've analysed in Dou Dou's thread, 杜鹏志is cold man, it's dangerous for him to ride on an odds-on-favourite! The winning jockey of  金同德 last time was now on 創惑, Coetzee was available but had not engaged to ride on it...金同德 未跑已输了，只是他赛绩太好，无法把他上榜而已！但投注上已不把他作重心了！:lol

[color=Green]我覺得金同德呢次能有P已經好好，而創惑的表現實在是:verygood:。[/color]

[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-21 14:08 發表


报告师傅！
听讲CP有D HOTEL有，但我以前果边就无囖，东莞终究不是深圳啊！ [/quote]
[color=Purple]
CP半島是有，厚街有冇？[/color]:lol

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-22 11:38 發表
我覺得金同德呢次能有P已經好好，而創惑的表現實在是:verygood:。 [/quote]

一如所料，金同德假如赢得，点解无配高雅至或杨仔，而搞个冷人杜老痔来？！结过 杨仔 今次赢 創惑 囖。金同德上次赢的威威之星都要靠杨仔果几磅，仲赢的不轻松了，而 威威之星 真的不是很利害，他连缩程的 祥胜奇驹也跑不赢。。。

原本你我昨天这场埋Q了！$11,782的三重彩是超了賠呀！

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-22 11:40 發表


CP半島是有，厚街有冇？:lol [/quote]

厚街 未必有，我去过的两间就无了！

回復 #133 求其 的帖子

唔配高雅志係因為苗禮德已好耐冇同他合作，普通馬迷或報紙都冇講因咩事。

[quote]原帖由 [i]HJ2127_ATR1[/i] 於 2007-3-22 12:08 發表
唔配高雅志係因為苗禮德已好耐冇同他合作，普通馬迷或報紙都冇講因咩事。 [/quote]

但上次的杨仔都可以用嘛，上次赢威威之星，果几磅是很有用的！赢马换人（仲系换件冷人来骑热马），未跑都已经。。。

阿標昨晚臨場此場結果投注了極奇妙,金同德,創惑 Q 及 PQ 鐵角, 雖然最後一刻 Q 由三十多倍跌至二十四倍, PQ 也跌至＋倍, 但總算收獲不錯, 雖錯花了注碼在金同德身上, 但賽前怯了來頭不敢不施埋 ! :L

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-22 14:29 發表
阿標昨晚臨場此場結果投注了極奇妙,金同德,創惑 Q 及 PQ 鐵角, 雖然最後一刻 Q 由三十多倍跌至二十四倍, PQ 也跌至＋倍, 但總算收獲不錯, 雖錯花了注碼在金同德身上, 但賽前怯了來頭不敢不施埋 ! :L [/quote]

極奇妙 上次赢的对手很好，睇黎極奇妙及創惑都会在下年会齐齐在一班起作用的了！

[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-22 06:42 發表


極奇妙 上次赢的对手很好，睇黎極奇妙及創惑都会在下年会齐齐在一班起作用的了！ [/quote]

[color=Green]尋晚D派彩有D無厘頭 :wondering:，尾場求其玩幾百，但無拖創惑，因為有一次創惑外檔配牌仔跑得好差 :'( ...

重心投注是盈感果場，想不到盈感是頂頭大熱，但Q派$232(差不多是大、次熱門串Q :wondering:)[/color]。

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-22 15:13 發表


尋晚D派彩有D無厘頭 :wondering:，尾場求其玩幾百，但無拖創惑，因為有一次創惑外檔配牌仔跑得好差 :'( ...

重心投注是盈感果場，想不到盈感是頂頭大熱，但Q派$232(差不多是大、次熱門串Q :wondering:)。 [/quote]

盈感 呢系人好难搞 （与以前快感、好感同綵衣，跟 必X胜、真威/金威、再战群雄/聶驹 等等斗志昂扬的马主不同啊）

[quote]原帖由 [i]KMY89[/i] 於 2007-3-22 15:13 發表

尋晚D派彩有D無厘頭 :wondering:，尾場求其玩幾百，但無拖創惑，因為有一次創惑外檔配牌仔跑得好差 :'( ...

重心投注是盈感果場，想不到盈感是頂頭大熱，但Q派$232(差不多是大、次熱門串Q :wondering:)。 [/quote]

:D  阿標昨晚都�E實 KMY兄呢場重心賽事！頭馬(10)綠駿之威 ( W $62.5 )雖云是次熱，其實過關飛之前是W派 $99 元的第七、八熱門，兩隻葉��W過落黎後立刻變為 $45 元的大熱，但(10)搭盈感的 Q 及 QP 並不熱，隨後(6)盈感落票成W $47 大熱時，(10)綠駿之威 卒以次熱之身開跑，但 6-10 之Q並不是首、次熱、三熱、四熱Q，計有 2-6(22倍)，6-11(22倍)，2-10(19倍)、3-6(21倍)比它還熱，此外尚有 24~27倍的 Q 6條之多！  可見在 Q 彩池(10)綠駿之威 是假次熱！ 所以搭大熱盈感有 $232 之多！:loveeyes:

:lol  阿標此場跟 KMY兄心水加上臨場跟票中 Q 是必然了！:givemefive: 當時還見獵心喜，以 (10)綠駿之威 串射下一場五隻買孖寶搏升水，可惜祇開隻大熱同��(我來也) ，派彩($175.5) 無驚喜！:(

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-22 16:42 發表
:lol  阿標此場跟 KMY兄心水加上臨場跟票中 Q 是必然了！ 當時還見獵心喜，以 (10)綠駿之威 串射下一場五隻買孖寶搏升水，可惜祇開隻大熱同��(我來也) ，派彩($175.5) 無驚喜！ :(  [/quote]

:quiet:...如果不選射五隻，恢復用 KMY兄曾提及的求其與阿標慣用的「全餐」法，可收埋安慰獎搭 2號 愛的世界 派彩 $ 952 ！ :L

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-22 17:30 發表


:quiet:...如果不選射五隻，恢復用 KMY兄曾提及的求其與阿標慣用的「全餐」法，可收埋安慰獎搭 2號 愛的世界 派彩 $ 952 ！ :L [/quote]

在马场，宜除笨有精，太有个性未必合适！

25/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 無提供

Race 2: 無提供 (后备死狗: 自己友)
If 自己友 becomes one the hottest horses in this race, give up betting on it win, because horses of the same series seldom win when being hot.

Race 3:  駔驍之首
I think it may not be the hottest horse in this race, but still carry a huge amount of betting money for it's feasible to become the focus of the punters as well as his 幕后. Forget about this piece if rubbish la, there are so many horses worthy being bet on other than this kind of 能力与吸引力不符馬!

Race 4: 無提供

Race 5: 無提供

Race 6: 大紅人
The 幕后知名度(like that of 爆炸 which readily becomes 较受公众注目馬)、rider being Whyte、名次last time(4th)...will lead to a hotter odds for him (may be the first three hottest horses this race). I won't think he will win in this race, and may possibly out of the first three!

Race 7:  無提供

Race 8: 醉激
The 斗志 of 幕后 is excellent(including the horses of the owner's father, namely 創惑，燦惑...). This also reflects that 醉激 is not a good horse, as he keeps on fighting for a W and ultimately got one in last race which was a 苦戰 for him. 1000m may not be the best distance for him, and 徐君禮 is still a cold jockey. I anticipate 醉激 will still get into the first 4, but may not win in this race.

Race 9: 無提供

Race 10: 贏得寶
He's a place horse and a virgin as well. It's not worthy betting W on him. I think he will come back at 3-6 again!

Race 11: 無提供

:reading:  得四隻咁少！:P

阿標今晚到腦場�E�E部電腦得未？希望攪得掂！:L  否則咪話吹水，連博友榜都貼唔到！:(

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-23 18:38 發表
:reading:  得四隻咁少！:P

阿標今晚到腦場�E�E部電腦得未？希望攪得掂！:L  否則咪話吹水，連博友榜都貼唔到！:( [/quote]

得四隻咁少。。。
Yes, as I don't know the W odds at prsent, therefore I cou;dn't focus accurately on those hot dead dog for the time being. I think the list ofr 25/2/07 may be altered later when I approximately know the W-odds distribution.

[quote]原帖由 [i]billchan[/i] 於 2007-3-23 18:38 發表
阿標今晚到腦場�E�E部電腦得未？希望攪得掂！:L  否則咪話吹水，連博友榜都貼唔到！:( [/quote]

:victory:....攪掂，���琣陬f個腦，輕鬆哂！心情愉快！:lol

[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-23 18:00 發表
25/3/07 Dead hot dog:
[/quote]

[size=5][color=Red]Revised[/color][/size]
25/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 無提供

Race 2: 自己友
自己友 will the second hottest horse in this race, put him on list according to my view point I've put down previously.

Race 3:  駔驍之首
I think it may not be the hottest horse in this race, but still carry a huge amount of betting money for it's feasible to become the focus of the punters as well as his 幕后. Forget about this piece if rubbish la, there are so many horses worthy being bet on other than this kind of 能力与吸引力不符馬!

Race 4: 無提供

Race 5: 常山鎮寶
果真阴魂不散, it becomes the overnight odds-on-favourite and may still a horse among the hottest horses tomorrow. I think he could get 3-6, or even the 1st runner-up if lucky, as the confrontators are further weaker! But I still want to emphasize : Never betting on an old virgin, especially those owned by 斗志很好马主! If he could win, he would have won long time ago lo...:lol

Race 6: 無提供
As 大紅人 is not very hot, I therefore unlist him. If he becomes a hot horse (odds<6:1), Remeber what I've said: [color=Red] The 幕后知名度(like that of 爆炸 which readily becomes 较受公众注目馬)、rider being Whyte、名次last time(4th)...will lead to a hotter odds for him (may be the first three hottest horses this race). I won't think he will win in this race, and may possibly out of the first three![/color]

Race 7:  錢順來
The win odds of him is 4:1 now, it's totally unreasonable for him to have such a low odds, he's not a good horse, got a 2nd runner-up but many lengths behind the first two. I think he's a turf horse who needs fast pacing for him to come from behind. Dirt track may not be his best entrance to the winning gate. I believe he would come back out of the first three!

Race 8: 醉激
The 斗志 of 幕后 is excellent(including the horses of the owner's father, namely 創惑，燦惑...). This also reflects that 醉激 is not a good horse, as he keeps on fighting for a W and ultimately got one in last race which was a 苦戰 for him. 1000m may not be the best distance for him(he's quite hard to get the win last time), and 徐君禮 is still a cold jockey. I anticipate 醉激 will still get into the first 4, but may not win in this race.

Race 9: 無提供

Race 10: 贏得寶
He's a place horse and a virgin as well. It's not worthy betting W on him. I think he will come back at 3-6 again!

Race 11: 無提供

求其兄

第一場 至上怎看?

[quote]原帖由 [i]91254431[/i] 於 2007-3-25 00:13 發表
求其兄

第一場 至上怎看? [/quote]

至上 已赢了一次，成热是正常的，今次赢出与否，死狗LIST都一定无佢份！

[quote]原帖由 [i]求其[/i] 於 2007-3-24 15:47 發表


Revised
25/3/07 Dead hot dog:
。。。
Race 2: 自己友
Race 3:  駔驍之首。。。
[/quote]

:beer:駔驍之首 is cetainly my favourite, since he always bring me bonus as he is still chased by some stubborn punters who believe he could win ultimately leading him to be the odds-on-favourite on and on:lol!