小花至愛 2007-5-22 10:21
本人對後市的看法
若今天也不能收於二萬一, 要應快減持.... 又是一個三頂不破加背馳 :L
我有 80% 持倉, 但最近升幅很少, 但風險和不明朗增加.... :oh:
小心、小心...
[[i] 本帖最後由 小花至愛 於 2007-5-22 02:40 編輯 [/i]]
mmr.ren 2007-5-22 10:46
我有過 90% 持倉, 近日升到 ba ba 聲, 帳面利潤一個星期內多左超過一倍... 我都認同要快走人
小花至愛 2007-5-22 11:51
Finally, still the old saying: Sell in May and walk away,,,
b4321 2007-5-22 12:37
I am switching part of my asset into bonds.
If the central China government wants the market to be cooled down, it can do in many ways.
Don't do in the opposite way as what the central China government is doing.
vodkaboy 2007-5-22 12:50
[quote]原帖由 [i]b4321[/i] 於 2007-5-22 12:37 發表
I am switching part of my asset into bonds.
If the central China government wants the market to be cooled down, it can do in many ways.
Don't do in the opposite way as what the central China go ... [/quote]
一早話出期貨市場咪可以有上有落lor...家下日日升...唉...之前又話5月頭出...而家又停左
b4321 2007-5-22 13:27
U mean the futures in the China market?
I heard that it should be issued in May but delay. If the security department speed up the process and make it happen in June, that will be interesting for the crazy investors.
[quote]原帖由 [i]vodkaboy[/i] 於 2007-5-22 12:50 發表
一早話出期貨市場咪可以有上有落lor...家下日日升...唉...之前又話5月頭出...而家又停左 [/quote]
mmr.ren 2007-5-22 14:00
我覺得中央始終都係鍚住, 次次都細細力
jimmy1001 2007-5-22 14:08
[quote]原帖由 [i]mmr.ren[/i] 於 2007-5-22 06:00 發表
我覺得中央始終都係鍚住, 次次都細細力 [/quote]
大大力，會死人；細細力，又唔聽話。
點算好呢？:saujai::saujai::saujai:
isa3bella 2007-5-22 14:45
慘拉我.....................................
vodkaboy 2007-5-22 16:53
[quote]原帖由 [i]b4321[/i] 於 2007-5-22 13:27 發表
U mean the futures in the China market?
I heard that it should be issued in May but delay. If the security department speed up the process and make it happen in June, that will be interesting f ... [/quote]
yes, i heard this new last month and they said it will be released in early of May, i think they scare it will make a share market frustrated...
小花至愛 2007-5-22 20:14
Now touching 10 day MV, let see if 20 day MV (2073x) has support or not, dropping below the next support would be 50 & 100 at around 20200,,, and 150 MV (at 196xx) should have very strong support as it has not been really challenged for years...
Today I turned 13% stock into cash.... be careful folks,,,
[img]http://charts.aastocks.com/servlet/Charts?scheme=3&com=100&chartwidth=620&chartheight=630&stockid=10000&period=47&type=5&fontsize=12&vol=1&Indicator=1&indpara1=10&indpara2=20&indpara3=50&indpara4=100&indpara5=150&subChart1=2&ref1para1=14&ref1para2=0&ref1para3=0&subChart2=3&ref2para1=5&ref2para2=26&ref2para3=9&subChart3=12&ref3para1=0&ref3para2=0&ref3para3=0&subChart4=0&ref4para1=0&ref4para2=0&ref4para3=0&subChart5=0&ref5para1=0&ref5para2=0&ref5para3=0[/img]
mmr.ren 2007-5-23 16:22
我已經開始減持股票，希望步伐唔太慢，始終都係袋穩好
alyon 2007-5-23 17:23
内地股市4100，害怕，害怕，害怕
peninsula 2007-5-23 18:00
[quote]原帖由 [i]mmr.ren[/i] 於 2007-5-23 16:22 發表
我已經開始減持股票，希望步伐唔太慢，始終都係袋穩好 [/quote]
Won't bust before 2008 Olympics!:lookaround::quiet::o:reading:
leoxi 2007-5-23 19:35
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2007-5-23 18:00 發表
Won't bust before 2008 Olympics!:lookaround::quiet::o:reading: [/quote]
That's what everyone thinks, but is it really true? :o I am not too optimistic about that.
小小力 2007-5-23 19:53
I turned all stocks into cash today!! Sold in May,..Now, go away !!
ABCTAM 2007-5-24 06:18
I SOLD ALL STOCK TOO!!, LOCK THE PROFIT.
mmr.ren 2007-5-24 10:40
Won't burst, but I still believe there will be major adjustment(s), just not a complete burst.
vodkaboy 2007-5-24 17:31
後市一定好...今年目標指數22000-22500左右....個人首選2628...因為無乜點升過...今年目標價$35
peninsula 2007-5-24 20:29
[quote]原帖由 [i]leoxi[/i] 於 2007-5-23 19:35 發表
That's what everyone thinks, but is it really true? :o I am not too optimistic about that. [/quote]
Will fall tomorrow after Mr. Greenspan's comments.:o:soldier::L:(
小花至愛 2007-5-25 01:07
Today will probably drop below 20 (MA) [2074x] right from the beginning,,, next resistance will be 50 [MA] 202xx,,,
Be careful folks...
I have been underweighting a bit lately, but my end of day 3988's call could have significant loss if 3988 drops below 3.85 tomorrow
[img]http://charts.aastocks.com/servlet/Charts?scheme=3&com=100&chartwidth=620&chartheight=630&stockid=10000&period=47&type=5&fontsize=12&vol=1&Indicator=1&indpara1=10&indpara2=20&indpara3=50&indpara4=100&indpara5=150&subChart1=2&ref1para1=14&ref1para2=0&ref1para3=0&subChart2=3&ref2para1=5&ref2para2=26&ref2para3=9&subChart3=12&ref3para1=0&ref3para2=0&ref3para3=0&subChart4=0&ref4para1=0&ref4para2=0&ref4para3=0&subChart5=0&ref5para1=0&ref5para2=0&ref5para3=0[/img]
[[i] 本帖最後由 小花至愛 於 2007-5-24 17:15 編輯 [/i]]
cyberken 2007-5-25 07:51
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2007-5-24 20:29 發表
Will fall tomorrow after Mr. Greenspan's comments.:o:soldier::L:( [/quote]
:oh::oh::oh::oh::oh::oh::oh:
mmr.ren 2007-5-25 12:09
good chance to buy!!!
peninsula 2007-5-25 12:42
[quote]原帖由 [i]mmr.ren[/i] 於 2007-5-25 12:09 發表
good chance to buy!!! [/quote]
EXACTLY! Most H stocks have recovered from intra-day lows.:o:quiet::givemefive:;P:lol
leoxi 2007-5-26 00:12
[quote]原帖由 [i]peninsula[/i] 於 2007-5-25 12:42 發表
EXACTLY! Most H stocks have recovered from intra-day lows.:o:quiet::givemefive:;P:lol [/quote]
Did you take any long positions today? :o
小花至愛 2007-5-26 01:00
I think all the Chinese banking and insurance stocks will go up next week, either as a rally or pick up the upward trend again after digesting bad news and consolidating,,, they are oversold these few days....
ngaiso 2007-5-26 12:11
I believe one can hold 50% stocks - of course to pick the "strong" ones or with unique concept. 10% short positions as hedging - still there is great pressure for an middle term adjustment. OR you can follow Dr. Tsang Yuen Chong's saying that - sell one before buy another - don't use all of your cash in portfolio. Good luck all brothers and sisters! :boxing:
memewe1314 2007-5-26 19:38
很多人說5月會有大跌市, 但是5月就完了, 真的嗎？
看回數據吧，除了部分大陸股價過高之外, 美國、歐洲的數據又真的不差呀, 亞洲地區如星馬, 印尼持續向好......真的想不到會有什麼原因令經濟向壞:reading:
小花至愛 2007-5-27 12:58
跌市 =/=經濟向壞, just correction or consolidation....
May so far is stagnant with a little down,,, let's hope that Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday would be okay,,, I still hold 65-70% stock....
ytt 2007-5-27 13:16
[quote]原帖由 [i]leoxi[/i] 於 2007-5-23 19:35 發表
That's what everyone thinks, but is it really true? :o I am not too optimistic about that. [/quote]
Not the Olympic Games itself but the belief that China don't want the market to break before the Olympic. So once correction occurs, buyers will take it as a good chance to get cheap goods hence will rush into the market. Therefore the market is supported.
As stock market reflects the future, the Olympic belief will fade well before the Olympic actually starts. Probably around Ching Ming Festival
PENNY117 2007-5-27 14:34
.....................................
geniusfzz 2007-5-28 10:44
i agree with
I heard that it should be issued in May but delay. If the security department speed up the process and make it happen in June, that will be interesting for the crazy investors.
sdc2005 2007-5-28 11:38
似乎市場上面都是資金泛濫 , 亞洲國家都用儲備去開公司投資。:hamsup:
peninsula 2007-5-28 13:29
[quote]原帖由 [i]PENNY117[/i] 於 2007-5-27 14:34 發表
..................................... [/quote]
What is meaning? :wondering::slap::blowme::nono:
peninsula 2007-5-28 13:30
[quote]原帖由 [i]leoxi[/i] 於 2007-5-26 00:12 發表
Did you take any long positions today? :o [/quote]
All long. Short will be killed!:lookaround::quiet::jaw::hamsup::P
peninsula 2007-5-28 13:32
[quote]原帖由 [i]小花至愛[/i] 於 2007-5-27 12:58 發表
跌市 =/=經濟向壞, just correction or consolidation....
May so far is stagnant with a little down,,, let's hope that Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday would be okay,,, I still hold 65-70% s ... [/quote]
Everything is up today, esp. the small caps and speculative ones. Kind of scary but enjoy the ride!:givemefive::P:hamsup::dizzy::jaw:
Leshitatelalelu 2007-5-28 16:07
i agree with u and i also sell some of stock last
mmr.ren 2007-5-29 16:27
今日又大豐收... 真係要冷靜 D 至得咯, 好容易沖昏頭腦!!!!! 救命!!!
titov 2007-5-30 01:03
[quote]原帖由 [i]mmr.ren[/i] 於 2007-5-29 16:27 發表
今日又大豐收... 真係要冷靜 D 至得咯, 好容易沖昏頭腦!!!!! 救命!!! [/quote]
食粒"爽浪"啦! :jump:
小花至愛 2007-5-30 08:44
Recent conditions are:
1. A-share goes up, HK stagnant or down; A-share drops, HK down too....
2. US stagnant or drop, HK follows; US goes up, HK doesn't follow...
3. Asian market goes up, HK doesn't follow; Japan drops, HK follows...
4. Operating data and basic factors of local stocks still looking good....
5. Local market is focusing on small-sized, risky stocks because of the boring index and blue chips...
So our stock's raise have been suppressing since mid-MAY...
My view now is that further moderate correction may not come in MAY or JUNE, index may go up very soon... but the opposite is also likely, with some bad news, HSI may drop greatly...
Now is a crossroad,
A. buy and hope for 23000-25000 in the second half of 2007, or
B. wait for around 19xxx to collect, but dropping below 196xx-197xx will break below 150 MA and inviting the bear...
小花至愛 2007-5-30 08:48
After index clearance, I think 50 MA and 100MA (at 203xx-202xx) should have very decent support....
Low p/e and solid blue chips should be holding tight... the small adjustment from 210xx to 203xx could be over very soon...
Chart for reference:
[img]http://charts.aastocks.com/servlet/Charts?scheme=3&com=100&chartwidth=620&chartheight=630&stockid=10000&period=47&type=1&fontsize=12&vol=1&Indicator=1&indpara1=10&indpara2=20&indpara3=50&indpara4=100&indpara5=150&subChart1=2&ref1para1=14&ref1para2=0&ref1para3=0&subChart2=3&ref2para1=5&ref2para2=26&ref2para3=9&subChart3=12&ref3para1=0&ref3para2=0&ref3para3=0&subChart4=0&ref4para1=0&ref4para2=0&ref4para3=0&subChart5=0&ref5para1=0&ref5para2=0&ref5para3=0[/img]
mmr.ren 2007-5-30 09:30
mainland gives a strong kick last night....
小花至愛 2007-5-30 09:39
Actually this news is positive for the HK market,,, boost QDII,
but very likely
1. A-share goes up, HK stagnant or down; A-share drops, HK down too.... :(
mmr.ren 2007-5-30 10:00
But QDII seems not yet going, at least still very small in amount.
The medium to long term effect should be good, since it will reduce the amount from "small investors", and also reduce short fry, especially small ones.
小花至愛 2007-5-30 14:59
Today 50 & 100 MA were broken instantly,,,
let see if index can close above 100 MA or not...
小花至愛 2007-5-30 15:25
Big hongs are collecting a lot of stocks lately, now they advise people to collect... XYZ@#$#
財華社香港新聞中心。
證券行名稱/股份名稱/股票代號/新目標價(舊)/新投資評級(舊)/盈利預測。
5月30日。
大摩/中移動(0941-HK)/目標價81.5元/增持/--。
花旗/華潤電力(0836-HK)/目標價17元(14元)/買入/調高2007-09年盈利預測6%。
高盛/利豐(0494-HK)/目標價31.6元(29.8元)/買入(中性)/--。
高盛/渣打(2888-HK)/目標價265元/買入/--。
高盛/粵海投資(0270-HK)/目標價5元(調升16%)/中性/--。
BNP/大家樂(0341-HK)/目標價16.8元/買入/--。
BNP/長實(0001-HK)/目標價125元/買入/--。
BNP/新地(0016-HK)/目標價110元/買入/--。
BNP/恆地(0012-HK)/目標價57.9元/買入/--。
BNP/信置(0083-HK)/目標價19.51元/買入/--。
BNP/新世界發展(0017-HK)/目標價19.5元/買入/--。
BNP/嘉里建設(0683-HK)/目標價39.6元/持有/--。
BNP/恆隆集團(0010-HK)/目標價25.76元/持有/--。
BNP/恆隆地產(0101-HK)/目標價18.2元/減持/--。
vodkaboy 2007-5-30 16:50
[quote]原帖由 [i]小花至愛[/i] 於 2007-5-30 15:25 發表
Big hongs are collecting a lot of stocks lately, now they advise people to collect... XYZ@#$#
財華社香港新聞中心。
證券行名稱/股份名稱/股票代號/新目標價(舊)/新投資評級(舊)/盈利預測。
5月30 ... [/quote]
i only like 高盛/利豐(0494-HK)/目標價31.6元(29.8元)/買入(中性)/--。 from above list...
利豐 is good stuff~
mmr.ren 2007-5-30 17:44
"兩市總成交額創出新高，達４０７１﹒３億元。"
勁變態!
b4321 2007-5-30 18:00
0.1% to 0.3% stamp duty is not much different.
Only short term pyschological effect insteads of real profit and loss effect.
leoxi 2007-5-31 01:18
[quote]原帖由 [i]b4321[/i] 於 2007-5-30 18:00 發表
0.1% to 0.3% stamp duty is not much different.
Only short term pyschological effect insteads of real profit and loss effect. [/quote]
One of the reasons is to reduce the activities of day-traders. It also sends a signal to indvidual investors about the risk involved in the China market - gov't policies can be implemented overnight.