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[原創] 11/02黃金{風起雲湧2}

迪克

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1^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-2 04:35 只看該作者

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11/02黃金{風起雲湧2}

11/02黃金{風起雲湧2}

美國聯儲(FED)週四向銀行系統總共注入410億美元臨時資金，注資規模為01年9月以來單日最大。聯儲發言人未就注資總規模置評，但表示這是01年9月19日注入503.5億美元以來，單日注資規模之最。

市場認為美元的中期前景主要看美國聯邦基金利率預期，而該預期是基于未來美國經濟數據(主要是經濟成長和通貨膨脹的平衡)，當前短期市場關注焦點迅速轉向周五將公布的美國就業數據，由于民間就業調查表現突出，可能這次數據好于預期，恐帶動美元短期反彈，現階段美國的政策和中國人民幣關系開始緊密，從美國角度觀察，美元劇烈貶值若面對確定無疑的人民幣升值，對美國經濟的風險會大大降低，加上海外投資的增加，都使得美國投資者冒險，所以美元越貶投資者收益愈高，正如美國政府不斷的提及，加上G7會議內容(加快人民幣升值)
短期操作:792沽出，795.5止損，目標782。或773買入，768.3止損，目標779。

TOCOM08年8月期黃金11月1日收盤報2,975日圓/克，未平倉合約減
少6,621手。
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日期       商品    收盤價成交量持倉    增減
11月1日    8月期黃金 2,975 25,602 89,984 -6,621
10月31日 8月期黃金 2,908 21,949 94,605 -14,335
10月30日 8月期黃金 2,907 36,131 108,940  -23,763
10月29日 8月期黃金 2,932 61,135 132,703  +4,190
10月26日 8月期黃金 2,879 73,319 128,513  -250
10月25日 8月期黃金 2,823 45,174 128,763  +4,186
10月24日 8月期黃金 2,810 67,732 124,577  +4,849
10月23日 8月期黃金 2,822 72,008 119,728  -844
10月22日 8月期黃金 2,820 107,061 120,572  -1,128
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迪克

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2^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-2 04:37 只看該作者

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原帖由迪克於 2007-11-2 04:35 發表
11/02黃金{風起雲湧2}

美國聯儲(FED)週四向銀行系統總共注入410億美元臨時資金，注資規模為01年9月以來單日最大。聯儲發言人未就注資總規模置評，但表示這是01年9月19日注入503.5億美元以來，單日注資規模之 ...

對不起，忙了上圖，祝好運。

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peninsula

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3^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-2 13:49 只看該作者

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原帖由迪克於 2007-11-2 04:37 發表
對不起，忙了上圖，祝好運。

Short GOLD @$790.

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hudgefunder

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4^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-3 01:30 只看該作者

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Gold's bull 3 has just started. Don't trade Gold like what Dick does. The correct way to rip the reward of this gold bull, is to BUY AND HOLD.

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cyberken

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5^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-3 11:19 只看該作者

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原帖由 hudgefunder 於 2007-11-3 01:30 發表
Gold's bull 3 has just started. Don't trade Gold like what Dick does. The correct way to rip the reward of this gold bull, is to BUY AND HOLD.

Any channel to buy GOLD fur instead of buying 飾金?

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hardcat

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6^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-3 11:25 只看該作者

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原帖由 hudgefunder 於 2007-11-3 01:30 發表
Gold's bull 3 has just started. Don't trade Gold like what Dick does. The correct way to rip the reward of this gold bull, is to BUY AND HOLD.

Very true!! The gold price has shoot up higher to $806/oz (as of this post) and will continue to go higher..
Actually the most important thing to realise is that of the bullish fundamentals in gold (and in most precious metals).. this is better than analysing every short term micro statistics and trends which imo is pretty "random"...

and this time it is quite different from previous gold rally... i think there will be a *fundamental* change and *awareness* (sort of awakening) to the fact that gold is the real money.. instead of the unbacked and ever expanding supply of easy paper money... It is a race of how much paper currencies will devalue against Gold (USD will definitely be one of the leaders in the pack)... any central banks worth his salt is growing their money supply over 10% on an annualised basis...

I will hold Gold for the long time to come, unless people in the main street finally get crazy about gold and bid them up to stratosphere... then would be a good time to unload... but there are still lots of mileage before reaching this point... IMHO...

[ 本帖最後由 hardcat 於 2007-11-3 11:43 編輯 ]

If you don't trust gold, do you trust the logic of taking a pine tree, worth $4,000-$5,000, cutting it up, turning it into pulp, putting some ink on it and then calling it one billion dollars?

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hudgefunder

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7^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-5 22:50 只看該作者

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原帖由 cyberken 於 2007-11-3 11:19 發表

Any channel to buy GOLD fur instead of buying 飾金?

The best way, IMHO, to invest in gold is half gold bullion and half gold mining stock. The later provide leverage but is relatively riskier. IMO, it is not the best time to buy gold mining stock. Wait for few more days or weeks before they finish consolidating, then invest half the fund to mining stocks. For gold bullion, buy at any time you want. If you ever buy paper gold, make sure they are backed by gold bullion, and convert them to physical if a major bank goes bankrupt (which we hope not)

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peninsula

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8^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-6 09:24 只看該作者

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原帖由 cyberken 於 2007-11-3 11:19 發表
Any channel to buy GOLD fur instead of buying 飾金?

For can buy via leveraged bullion account with large brokerage firms such as Tai Fook, SHK, Cash, Hantec etc. They have magnifying effect but can be "unlimited" loss if gold moves significantly in wrong direction as you predict (can LONG or SHORT). For short, you earn daily interest buy for long, you need to pay daily interest.

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