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[原創] 11/7黃金

迪克

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1^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-7 04:56 只看該作者

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11/7黃金

11/7黃金

國際購物中心協會負責編制該指數的首席經濟學家Mike Niemira表示，盡管消費者支出較去年明顯放緩，但令人鼓舞的是，面對能源價格高企、住房市場擔憂加劇等不斷增多的負面因素，消費支出仍有溫和表現。該機構預計10月為期4周的財政月份中同店銷售額大約增長2.0%。

紅皮書周二公布的最新全美零售指標顯示，10月份最后兩周全美連鎖店銷售額較上月同期下降0.4%。紅皮書此前市場預期為下降0.2%。紅皮書還顯示，經季節因素調整后，10月份最后兩周零售銷售年率上升2.1%，升幅略低于預期的2.3%。截至11月3日當周未經調整的零售銷售年率增長1.9%，增幅與此前一周持平。

現在次級抵押貸款市場在改善前可能惡化，數據表明房市將進一步下滑。美元依舊疲軟，黃金仍然不斷改寫新高記錄，充分顯示了強勁的拉升力量，離歷史最高位850美元僅一步之遙，短期內似乎并沒有空頭的立足之地。在沒有出現頂部信號之前投資者的低位渣單仍可以繼續持有。

土耳其總統周二表示，土耳其已經就如何打擊伊拉克北部庫爾德武裝分子作出決定，并已經告知美國。土耳其總統Abdullah Gul沒有詳細說明上述決定，但他明確表示土耳其認為庫爾德工人黨本身導致了該地區的不穩定。他表示，維護伊拉克穩定不能局限于打擊巴格達或其他地區的恐怖主義，該國北部的恐怖組織也在破壞伊拉克的穩定。美國與伊拉克一直在向土耳其施加壓力，希望避免土耳其對伊拉克北部庫爾德工人黨(PKK)武裝基地實施大規模越境打擊。

金價週二全日以升勢運行，不斷創新高，收市報822美元，以圖表看已上破一上升通道，昨天已說明，假如金價能持穩於通道頂三天，下一目標先看850大關，反之，如反回通道內，金價可看作一假突破，有望出現小幅回調，但明顯地美元指數有如上水金魚不斷地創新低，沒有數據消息能支持美元回穩，只要黃金能突破850大關，下一目標900美元。行出了門口，不要望回頭。沽空者小心。支持809,815,794*，阻力842,850,858

中期操作:813-5買入，止損809，目標839。

短線操作:815-838低買高賣，快入快出，嚴守止損。

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peninsula

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2^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-7 08:48 只看該作者

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引用:

原帖由迪克於 2007-11-7 04:56 發表
11/7黃金
國際購物中心協會負責編制該指數的首席經濟學家Mike Niemira表示，盡管消費者支出較去年明顯放緩，但令人鼓舞的是，面對能源價格高企、住房市場擔憂弁嚏A消費支出仍有溫和表現。該機構預計10月為期 ...

Will it break $900 this year?

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hardcat

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3^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-7 12:39 只看該作者

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-11-7 08:48 發表

Will it break $900 this year?

Not terribly surprising if this happen...
over $2000-$3000/oz is not some nutty theory, i think this will happen within this few years...

Like i have said before.. the cartel that has been artificially suppressing the gold price has run out of bullet (gold).. coupled with devaluing paper currencies (this will continue for USD for the long time to come), reckless growing of money and credit supply, losing faith in paper money, and real growing demand for gold...
sooner or later, Gold will rise against all currencies, if not already so...

The 1 trillion subprime mess in the US is still to be totally felt and revealed.. UK will be the next in line for the subprime mess and housing bubble... and credit card loan in the US will be another tsunami...

finally, USD is going towards its intrinsic value...

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If you don't trust gold, do you trust the logic of taking a pine tree, worth $4,000-$5,000, cutting it up, turning it into pulp, putting some ink on it and then calling it one billion dollars?

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hudgefunder

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4^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-7 22:23 只看該作者

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短線操作:815-838低買高賣，快入快出???

Did you see $845? It has never been at $815 today, so what should be the entry point??

Again everyone:

If you want to pay lots of commissions, follow Dick's advice. If you are concerned about the welfare of commodity future brokers, follow Dick's advice.

If you want to rip the reward of this amazing gold bull yourself, BUY and HOLD! Your job is not trying to make others rich!

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peninsula

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5^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-8 10:04 只看該作者

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原帖由 hudgefunder 於 2007-11-7 22:23 發表
短線操作:815-838低買高賣，快入快出???
Did you see $845? It has never been at $815 today, so what should be the entry point?? ..

Was back to @$820 overnight but now up to $834 again.

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peninsula

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6^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-8 10:05 只看該作者

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原帖由 hardcat 於 2007-11-7 12:39 發表
Not terribly surprising if this happen...
over $2000-$3000/oz is not some nutty theory, i think this will happen within ..

Gold is already rising against all currencies wor. But $2,000 ...

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hardcat

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7^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-8 12:32 只看該作者

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-11-8 10:05 發表

Gold is already rising against all currencies wor. But $2,000 ...

because i have not checked if gold was rising against all currencies, thats why i said "sooner or later, Gold will rise against all currencies, if not already so..."
so it is not just the devaluing USD.. the demand for gold as investment need and safe haven is real and accelerating...
we will see when gold hit $2000/oz

.. i dunno the exact time frame of course.. but should be achievable within the coming 2-3 years...

[ 本帖最後由 hardcat 於 2007-11-8 12:38 編輯 ]

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peninsula

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8^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-8 18:40 只看該作者

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原帖由 hardcat 於 2007-11-8 12:32 發表
because i have not checked if gold was rising against all currencies, thats why i said "sooner or later, Gold will rise against all currencies, if not already so..."
so it is not jus ...

You mentioned $2,000 to $3,000. Even at $2,000, shorting gold will lose everything so better to take long position.

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hardcat

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9^# 大中小發表於 2007-11-8 21:48 只看該作者

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-11-8 18:40 發表

You mentioned $2,000 to $3,000. Even at $2,000, shorting gold will lose everything so better to take long position.

Yes, no kidding... $2000 to $3000/oz... and might even be higher...
Of course, that also depends
1) if the Fed will raise interest rate to 10% or higher, which i think is highly highly unlikely...
2) how serious will be the credit contraction
both 1 and 2 is unlikely imo, because the Fed will keep printing money to avoid the japan like deflationary contraction, they would rather have hyperinflation and worthless USD.... hence, USD is fast reaching its intrinsic value of zero.. might probably be replaced by amero (this is still a "conspiracy" theory at this stage though)

Most people dont aware that central bankers all over the world has been subsidizing gold buyers for years!!! so why not buy it while it is still a bargain... good thing don't last forever, and it seems that this subsidising is gonna end pretty soon :p ... Yes you should take LONG position even if it meant to pay daily interest rate

btw, have you covered your short already?

[ 本帖最後由 hardcat 於 2007-11-8 21:49 編輯 ]

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