引用:
原帖由 backspin 於 2007-3-22 11:53 PM 發表
since the US dollar is not going to get strong soon, gold will do well
If that's the case, why isn't gold trading @ $825 now, but has to wait until the second half?
Why are there willing sellers now @ $664?
US dollar not going to get strong soon - is that something the market doesn't know about and factor in the current price?
All these speculations on Gold, Oil, HSI, DJ, S & P going up or down are, welll, speculations. It's no different from tossing the coin when you have a 50% chance correct and 50% chance wrong.
I can tell you the fair value at the moment -
Gold - $664
Oil - $59
HSI - 19,690
DJIA - 12,465
S & P - 1,436
I won't pay one dime more than the FAIR VALUE to buy and one dime less to sell.
[
本帖最後由 dejavu2003 於 2007-3-23 00:18 編輯 ]