聽日會升200點,
下星期跌1200點
八月21000點橫行上落600點
九月見18000點
10月見16000點
12月見18000點
我已做足對沖, 賺到錢�H離場或買小小沽空產品!

引用:

原帖由 payboy 於 2007-8-1 16:30 發表
聽日會升200點,
下星期跌1200點
八月21000點橫行上落600點
九月見18000點
10月見16000點
12月見18000點
我已做足對沖, 賺到錢�H離場或買小小沽空產品!

It's hard to imagine going to 16,000! But I can see maybe 19,000 as support level.

引用:

原帖由 payboy 於 2007-8-1 16:30 發表
聽日會升200點,
下星期跌1200點
八月21000點橫行上落600點
九月見18000點
10月見16000點
12月見18000點
我已做足對沖, 賺到錢�H離場或買小小沽空產品!

10月見16000點?? I don't think so!!

10月見16000點 ....i dont think so too....may be will see 19000 <--agree with peninsula

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原帖由 vodkaboy 於 2007-8-1 17:21 發表
10月見16000點 ....i dont think so too....may be will see 19000 <--agree with peninsula

Time will tell who is right and who is wrong.

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原帖由 vodkaboy 於 2007-8-1 17:21 發表
10月見16000點 ....i dont think so too....may be will see 19000 <--agree with peninsula

This is more reasonable to see 19000 in October,..but I think 21000!

I think 20000 points is more reasonable, being support level

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-1 17:34 發表
I think 20000 points is more reasonable, being support level

19,000 is @15% from current level. 20,000 is @10% which may be more likely.

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-1 17:44

19,000 is @15% from current level. 20,000 is @10% which may be more likely.

If no further really really bad news from global market, I don't think it is that easy drop to 19000 level.  There are more capital from QDII later this month or in Sept.  

10% correction is more reasonable under the circumstance at this moment unless global market got crashed badly on some unpredictable news later.

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-1 18:02 發表
If no further really really bad news from global market, I don't think it is that easy drop to 19000 level.  There are more capital from QDII later this month or in Sept.  
10% correction  ...

Those news are strong JPY and USA sub-prime mortgage situation.

should I 預置 this post as our reminder / guideline?

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-1 18:02 發表



If no further really really bad news from global market, I don't think it is that easy drop to 19000 level.  There are more capital from QDII later this month or in Sept.  

10% correction  ...

Agree, in fact, strong JPY and sub-prime are short term drivers.  Whenever the market is volatile, these drivers will appear on the headline news.  The situation is very similar back in end of Feb.  

Keep in mind that not only QDII is in play in the 1/2 of the year, there are few big companies going to issue A shares in China (eg 941, 857, 1088 or even 939).

What determines next will be mid year corp. earning results coming out soon.

Every company report 10% to 300% growth.  Why the stock will down to 16000?

Right, it is no way to draw back to 16000 pts, not even to 18000.

I think the lowest point of HS index, can be at around 21000, there should be a good support.  Otherwise, 20000 the lowest I can see.  From 23500 dropped 3500 to 20000, that is a lot 15%

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-2 02:10 發表
Right, it is no way to draw back to 16000 pts, not even to 18000.
I think the lowest point of HS index, can be at around 21000, there should be a good support.  Otherwise, 20000 the lowest I can ...

I see support at 19,000 and definite chance to move to 20,000 soon.

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-2 13:27

I see support at 19,000 and definite chance to move to 20,000 soon.

Will see

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-4 02:34 發表
Will see

I can bet BIG it won't reach 16,000 in 2007 (not even close)!

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Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-5 22:21

I can bet BIG it won't reach 16,000 in 2007 (not even close)!

This correction in Aug, I expect the good support at 20000, maybe only down to 21000 and then rebound from that pt.

I think it is good if we can expect the closing pts at the end of 2007.

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-5 22:21 發表

I can bet BIG it won't reach 16,000 in 2007 (not even close)!

I can Bet SUPER BIG it wont reach 17,000 in 2007......keke~~

The first support point for tomorrow would be near the 50-day average line (currently at 21908) or near the 10-week avearage line (currently at 21993).

I think everyone here will still remember the drop in last Feb. At that time, HSI drop to 150-day average line and rebound, so in my point of view the present wave of drop will not be worst than that one.

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Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-5 23:48
The first support point for tomorrow would be near the 50-day average line (currently at 21908) or near the 10-week avearage line (currently at 21993).

I think everyone here will still remember  ...

Thanks for your information, I agree market will touch the supportive line at 22000 tomorrow.

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-5 22:57 發表
This correction in Aug, I expect the good support at 20000, maybe only down to 21000 and then rebound from that pt.
I think it is good if we can expect the closing pts at the end of 2007.

Worst case at 19,000.

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原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-6 12:47 發表
我覺得會反彈, 今日無係低位買財險, 失策

Don't worry. It will get back to below $9 soon.

Market is testing 50 day line today, it should be okay for today.