I just bought HSBC call this afternoon,,, it is the real thing to win BIG, not petty IPO drawing for dinner buffet  


1. no further bad news for HSBC la,,,

2. no pressure from warrant dealers too this few days,,,

3. Some technical indicators will look positive in a day or two if HSBC stands at 141.x

First target: 145

Follow at your own risk!

OVER

P.S. Today my call went up almost 5%,,, let watch tonite ADR, HSBC in UK is doing okay,,,

Good call

But just remember the long holiday is coming up. You might lose on delta if the price is not volatile

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2006-12-15 01:14 PM 發表
I just bought HSBC call this afternoon,,, it is the real thing to win BIG, not petty IPO drawing for dinner buffet  


1. no further bad news for HSBC la,,,

2. no pressure from warrant dea ...

Buy HSBC at Xmas time is a historical phenomenon. In the old days, THE ONLY choice of all time was HSBC, not now.

引用:

原帖由 leoxi 於 2006-12-15 03:39 PM 發表
Good call

But just remember the long holiday is coming up. You might lose on delta if the price is not volatile

agree,,,, so only a few out of hundred of HSBC's calls are worth holding for days or weeks,,, your job to find them out, and I have done hours and hours of hard work to get a good pick,,, low premium, low IV,

For my call, any 1 dollar raise in HSBC will give me 12-16% profit and vice versa for its drop,,,

Merry Christmas to all,,, It is indeed one of the best time to call HSBC,,, this March I called it from 127.x to +136 (getting over 100K profit); then during summer,,, from 133.x to 140,,, and recently from 144 to historical high,,,

Now I'm expecting hsbc to go up from 141 to +145 for a potential of few dozen K profit,,,

P.S. Warrant is an unfair games, I know it better than 99.9% of warrant players, but it could also be a sensible investment with the right calls/puts and good timing,,,

OVER

[ 本帖最後由 小花至愛 於 2006-12-16 05:21 AM 編輯 ]

With all the attention now centred on the mainland stocks, the performance of HSBC may not be that good as in previous years.  I am holding some HSBC shares, but will not buy more, as I donot expect it to rise drastically in the months to come.

引用:

原帖由 FeiJai 於 2006-12-16 11:29 AM 發表
Buy HSBC at Xmas time is a historical phenomenon. In the old days, THE ONLY choice of all time was HSBC, not now.

Yes - I agreed. With so many options and HSBC requiring large outlay, I will definitely stay clear unless it gets back to @$133 to $135 range.

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2006-12-15 01:14 PM 發表
I just bought HSBC call this afternoon,,, it is the real thing to win BIG, not petty IPO drawing for dinner buffet  


1. no further bad news for HSBC la,,,

2. no pressure from warrant dea ...

Some fund lo said HSBC go down to 115.

引用:

原帖由 東虫 於 2006-12-16 03:58 PM 發表
Some fund lo said HSBC go down to 115.

Will it make you happier if I am telling you some fund-managers have the HSBC 12 months target price set to over $160.

引用:

原帖由 東虫 於 2006-12-16 11:58 PM 發表


Some fund lo said HSBC go down to 115.

That's CLSA

引用:

原帖由 mysyu 於 2006-12-16 08:03 AM 發表
With all the attention now centred on the mainland stocks, the performance of HSBC may not be that good as in previous years.  I am holding some HSBC shares, but will not buy more, as I donot expec ...

Perhaps you want to consider US$ based ELM of HSBC, anything equivalent to HK$138 or below is a good buy.

Thanks for the comments and responses,,, but you folks' understanding of the price trend and mechanics of hsbc was too simplistic,,,, I have tracked HSBC's price, warrant factors, global performance, big hongs' action for a couple of years very intensively,,, about 80-90% of my warrant play on HSBC had sizeable profit,,,

I'd bought + 60K of 1357 last friday around .82-.84,,, target price after xmas is +1.1,,, if you folks don' like to call HSBC to get profit for x'mas gift, that's fine,,, afterall, warrant is a unfair game and dealers are hard to beat or from which to squeeze profit,,,

Let wait 1-2 weeks to let the fact speaks for itself,,,

CASE CLOSED,,,

OVER,,,

From my years of HSBC warrant experiences,,, concerted dealers' involvement can account for 30-70% of changes in the stock price when street volume of warrants are substantial,,,

The warrant factors for the recent HSBC's drop were: 9676, 3810, 3864   

瑞信 9676 匯豐瑞信六十二購(@EC) 認購 標準 08/12/06 123.88 0.000 0.000 2.000 0.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 68.2
花旗 3810 匯豐花旗六十二購(@EC) 認購 標準 11/12/06 138.8 0.550 0.580 0.550 +1.9 -0.2 26.3 N/A N/A 67.6 112
法興 3864 匯豐法興六十二Ａ(@EC) 認購 標準 11/12/06 141.88 0.241 0.250 0.250 +35.1 -0.2 57.8 N/A N/A 23.9 3,530

After bottoming at 11-Dec, hsbc's stock price started to climb up,,,

日期  開市  最高  最低  收市  成交量 調整收市價*  
2006-12-15 141.00 141.50 140.70 141.40 17,200,732 141.40
2006-12-14 141.00 141.70 140.60 140.70 17,359,540 140.70
2006-12-13 140.60 141.20 140.50 140.60 14,174,605 140.60
2006-12-12 140.90 141.10 140.50 140.90 19,122,966 140.90
2006-12-11 140.50 141.00 140.00 140.30 40,079,176 140.30
2006-12-08 140.70 141.20 140.60 140.90 21,925,460 140.90
2006-12-07 141.50 141.50 140.70 141.10 33,092,820 141.10
2006-12-06 142.00 142.80 141.60 142.20 49,042,276 142.20
2006-12-05 144.20 144.80 144.00 144.60 12,566,556 144.60
2006-12-04 144.00 144.20 143.60 143.60 15,175,993 143.60

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2006-12-18 01:06 PM 發表
Thanks for the comments and responses,,, but you folks' understanding of the price trend and mechanics of hsbc was too simplistic,,,, I have tracked HSBC's price, warrant factors, global performanc ...

Wish you good luck!

Let's wait, it seems not the right time to buy now.

My call is still making decent profit,,, today try to buy more but HSBC is too strong around 142,,, no chance to drop further,,,,

My target price for HSBC at the end of 2006 is still +144, let wait and see,,,,

Over the past 2 weeks, I keep accumulating HSBC call,,,, now HSBC doing good in UK,,, GOGOGO


HSBC HLDG (LSE:HSBA.L)   

Last Trade: 929.50 p
Trade Time: 9:09AM  
Change:  5.50 (0.60%)
Prev Close: 924.00
Open: 928.00
Bid: 929.50
Ask: 930.00
1y Target Est: 917.54p

Selling all of my Chinese stocks before December really make me crazy,,,

Now holding +140K of HSBC calls,,,, hopefully get +50% profit in coming 2 weeks la to compensate the withering profit,,,

HSBC is doing GREAT in UK now,,,

HSBC HLDG (LSE:HSBA.L)   

Last Trade: 934.00 p
Trade Time: 9:19AM  
Change:  10.00 (1.08%)
Prev Close: 924.00
Open: 928.00
Bid: 933.50
Ask: 934.00
1y Target Est: 917.54p

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2006-12-27 09:34 AM 發表
Selling all of my Chinese stocks before December really make me crazy,,,

You never know. Perhaps you are better off now by selling off all Chinese shares.

today my hsbc call goes up +10%,,, 15K profit on book,,,, but the best is yet to come,,,

Lots of short selling going on with HSBC today, over 300million...

HSBC went up about 2 dollars since I recommended it,,, no big deal with stock holding, but my calls already went up +15% (+20K profit),,, will take half of the profit when HSBC reaches 145,,,

OVER

Good for you

thank you,,,

The warrant dealer has placed sizeable short order @ 143.5 [花旗 1357 匯豐花旗七零三購(@EC) 認購 標準 29/03/07] after absorbing its call warrants,,, guess hard to break over 143.5 again this afternoon,,,

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-1-2 10:34 AM 發表
HSBC went up about 2 dollars since I recommended it,,, no big deal with stock holding, but my calls already went up +15% (+20K profit),,, will take half of the profit when HSBC reaches 145,,,
OVER

Just so so when you consider all H stocks warrants went up 2 or 3 times!!