Yen seems to be have the best potential. I hope she can go to 115 by this end of this month.

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原帖由 ephb2 於 2007-3-2 00:05 發表
Yen seems to be have the best potential. I hope she can go to 115 by this end of this month.

Soon!

Had bought it in phases on Dec 21, Jan 19 and Feb 22.

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原帖由 V.V 於 2007-3-2 10:54 發表
Had bought it in phases on Dec 21, Jan 19 and Feb 22.

At lowest points??

在 carry trade 影響下，buy yen and sell gold是近期焦點。短期目標Yen 114.5.

YEN is the most difficult to be speculated amoung all the currencies. Carry trade is only one of the excuse for recent raise. There are many other excuse for the YEN to raise or drop with or without any economic reason.

YEN has almost no interest, so a long position need to pay huge amt of interest and u cannot hold the position for long time.

So if u are a newbie, don't touch.

[ 本帖最後由 b4321 於 2007-3-5 00:37 編輯 ]

lot of ppls brought at 120,121......u are  so late...

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原帖由 艾力 於 2007-3-5 02:28 發表
lot of ppls brought at 120,121......u are  so late...

I short at 118 and 119.

I long YEN 5M at 119.5. Now it gives me around USD1500 profit.

March is the financial year end for Japan, and usually there is more demand for YEN in this month. If YEN raises to 114.X for around 500 pt profit, I will square my position.

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原帖由 b4321 於 2007-3-5 10:47 發表
I long YEN 5M at 119.5. Now it gives me around USD1500 profit.
March is the financial year end for Japan, and usually there is more demand for YEN in this month. If YEN raises to 114.X for aroun ...

Long at 119? How can you profit. If short, then, you can profit. Did I miss something?

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-3-2 12:43 發表

At lowest points??

Not absolutely coz I'm not that sharp.
Just for earn some $$ earlier, so swap input from equity to Yen these 3 months~~

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-3-5 11:00 發表

Long at 119? How can you profit. If short, then, you can profit. Did I miss something?

Long (長倉) is a buying position. Short (短倉) is a selling position. So if u BUY YEN, u have a long position. Square (平倉) is to terminate the forex contract.

Do u buy (long) or sell (short) YEN???

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原帖由 b4321 於 2007-3-5 11:10 發表
Long (長倉) is a buying position. Short (短倉) is a selling position. So if u BUY YEN, u have a long position. Square (平倉) is to terminate the forex contract. Do u buy (long) or sell (shor ...

Sorry. I mixed-up. Yes, I LONG yen. I have cross currency position GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY and USD/JPY. All in profits now! I expect JPY to reach 113 then can liquidate.

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-3-5 11:15 發表

Sorry. I mixed-up. Yes, I LONG yen. I have cross currency position GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY and USD/JPY. All in profits now! I expect JPY to reach 113 then can liquidate.

In my thinking, FOREX is more technical and professional than stock.
So say in a more professional way, you should say "I expect JPY to reach 113 then can SQUARE."

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原帖由 b4321 於 2007-3-5 11:22 發表
In my thinking, FOREX is more technical and professional than stock.
So say in a more professional way, you should say "I expect JPY to reach 113 then can SQUARE."

Yes SIR!!

US stock raise, square the long position at 115.85.

無記錯每年三月 , 日圓都升到飛起.......

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原帖由 ephb2 於 2007-3-5 23:28 發表
US stock raise, square the long position at 115.85.

Very good!

sell gold at US 650.

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原帖由 ephb2 於 2007-3-13 21:30 發表
sell gold at US 650.

Short gold is a good strategy but will rise to over $700 eventually.

I think the  future raise of Yen is stronger than that in the last week. Yen reached  115.2 last week and gold dropped to 636 ,so I may square the short position at 632 or even lower.  

btw, brother peninsula, how about your yen position ?

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原帖由 ephb2 於 2007-3-14 12:41 發表
I think the  future raise of Yen is stronger than that in the last week. Yen reached  115.2 last week and gold dropped to 636 ,so I may square the short position at 632 or even lower.  
btw, bro ...

My YEN position is OK. Will take profit at @115.

Beware if u have a short position in gold.

The current matter of New Century Finance and other major home finance companies could not be solved easily. Many of the people cannot even pay for the interest for their mortgage, and there are millions cases for the affected mortgage. In order to solve the problem, I can see there are 2 choices:
1) US economy strengthen continuously
2) US begins to cut interest rate

(1) is very hard to archieve, and (2) is easier.

Once US begins to cut interest rate, it will decrease the attractiveness of putting money into USD. And there will be an excuse for foreign currencies and raw materials to be pushed up further.

YEN is good for the current focus and strengtheness. However, the interest cost for longing YEN is too big and we can't hold the long contract for very long time, unless YEN can rise significantly shortly. But don't try to predict YEN's future as political matter is more important than economic matter for YEN.

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原帖由 ephb2 於 2007-3-13 21:30 發表
sell gold at US 650.

[ 本帖最後由 b4321 於 2007-3-14 15:35 編輯 ]

square the gold  short position at $641.

will try to short HS future index tommorrow. The reason to short is the short rise at the end of this trading day. This raise is to tempt the small player to buy or let them know the drop is finished.

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原帖由 ephb2 於 2007-3-2 00:05 發表
Yen seems to be have the best potential. I hope she can go to 115 by this end of this month.

BUY Yen and lose BIG time!