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標題: 今日嘅演習大家有冇練大胆咗? [打印本頁]

作者: payboy 時間: 2007-8-1 16:30 標題: 今日嘅演習大家有冇練大胆咗?

聽日會升200點,
下星期跌1200點
八月21000點橫行上落600點
九月見18000點
10月見16000點
12月見18000點
我已做足對沖, 賺到錢嘅離場或買小小沽空產品!

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-1 16:43

引用:

原帖由 payboy 於 2007-8-1 16:30 發表
聽日會升200點,
下星期跌1200點
八月21000點橫行上落600點
九月見18000點
10月見16000點
12月見18000點
我已做足對沖, 賺到錢嘅離場或買小小沽空產品!

It's hard to imagine going to 16,000! But I can see maybe 19,000 as support level.

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-8-1 16:53

引用:

原帖由 payboy 於 2007-8-1 16:30 發表
聽日會升200點,
下星期跌1200點
八月21000點橫行上落600點
九月見18000點
10月見16000點
12月見18000點
我已做足對沖, 賺到錢嘅離場或買小小沽空產品!

10月見16000點?? I don't think so!!

作者: vodkaboy 時間: 2007-8-1 17:21

10月見16000點 ....i dont think so too....may be will see 19000 <--agree with peninsula

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-1 17:25

引用:

原帖由 vodkaboy 於 2007-8-1 17:21 發表
10月見16000點 ....i dont think so too....may be will see 19000 <--agree with peninsula

Time will tell who is right and who is wrong.

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-8-1 17:26

引用:

原帖由 vodkaboy 於 2007-8-1 17:21 發表
10月見16000點 ....i dont think so too....may be will see 19000 <--agree with peninsula

This is more reasonable to see 19000 in October,..but I think 21000!

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-1 17:34

I think 20000 points is more reasonable, being support level

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-1 17:44

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-1 17:34 發表
I think 20000 points is more reasonable, being support level

19,000 is @15% from current level. 20,000 is @10% which may be more likely.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-1 18:02

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-1 17:44

19,000 is @15% from current level. 20,000 is @10% which may be more likely.

If no further really really bad news from global market, I don't think it is that easy drop to 19000 level. There are more capital from QDII later this month or in Sept.

10% correction is more reasonable under the circumstance at this moment unless global market got crashed badly on some unpredictable news later.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-1 18:40

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-1 18:02 發表
If no further really really bad news from global market, I don't think it is that easy drop to 19000 level. There are more capital from QDII later this month or in Sept.
10% correction ...

Those news are strong JPY and USA sub-prime mortgage situation.

作者: cyberken 時間: 2007-8-1 23:47

should I 預置 this post as our reminder / guideline?

作者: leoxi 時間: 2007-8-2 00:22

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-1 18:02 發表

If no further really really bad news from global market, I don't think it is that easy drop to 19000 level. There are more capital from QDII later this month or in Sept.

10% correction ...

Agree, in fact, strong JPY and sub-prime are short term drivers. Whenever the market is volatile, these drivers will appear on the headline news. The situation is very similar back in end of Feb.

Keep in mind that not only QDII is in play in the 1/2 of the year, there are few big companies going to issue A shares in China (eg 941, 857, 1088 or even 939).

What determines next will be mid year corp. earning results coming out soon.

作者: I__want__U 時間: 2007-8-2 00:37

Every company report 10% to 300% growth. Why the stock will down to 16000?

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-2 02:10

Right, it is no way to draw back to 16000 pts, not even to 18000.

I think the lowest point of HS index, can be at around 21000, there should be a good support. Otherwise, 20000 the lowest I can see. From 23500 dropped 3500 to 20000, that is a lot 15%

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-2 13:27

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-2 02:10 發表
Right, it is no way to draw back to 16000 pts, not even to 18000.
I think the lowest point of HS index, can be at around 21000, there should be a good support. Otherwise, 20000 the lowest I can ...

I see support at 19,000 and definite chance to move to 20,000 soon.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-4 02:34

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-2 13:27

I see support at 19,000 and definite chance to move to 20,000 soon.

Will see

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-5 22:21

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-4 02:34 發表
Will see

I can bet BIG it won't reach 16,000 in 2007 (not even close)!

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-5 22:57

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-5 22:21

I can bet BIG it won't reach 16,000 in 2007 (not even close)!

This correction in Aug, I expect the good support at 20000, maybe only down to 21000 and then rebound from that pt.

I think it is good if we can expect the closing pts at the end of 2007.

作者: vodkaboy 時間: 2007-8-5 22:58

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-5 22:21 發表

I can bet BIG it won't reach 16,000 in 2007 (not even close)!

I can Bet SUPER BIG it wont reach 17,000 in 2007......keke~~

作者: cherryjasonchan 時間: 2007-8-5 23:48

The first support point for tomorrow would be near the 50-day average line (currently at 21908) or near the 10-week avearage line (currently at 21993).

I think everyone here will still remember the drop in last Feb. At that time, HSI drop to 150-day average line and rebound, so in my point of view the present wave of drop will not be worst than that one.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-5 23:58

引用:

Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-5 23:48
The first support point for tomorrow would be near the 50-day average line (currently at 21908) or near the 10-week avearage line (currently at 21993).

I think everyone here will still remember ...

Thanks for your information, I agree market will touch the supportive line at 22000 tomorrow.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-6 09:26

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-5 22:57 發表
This correction in Aug, I expect the good support at 20000, maybe only down to 21000 and then rebound from that pt.
I think it is good if we can expect the closing pts at the end of 2007.

Worst case at 19,000.

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-6 12:47

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作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-6 13:04

引用:

原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-6 12:47 發表
我覺得會反彈, 今日無係低位買財險, 失策

Don't worry. It will get back to below $9 soon.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-6 13:22

Market is testing 50 day line today, it should be okay for today.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-6 13:23

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-6 13:04

Don't worry. It will get back to below $9 soon.

Yes, chance is always there, save your capital for lower price level

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-6 15:20

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-6 15:32

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-6 15:20
日本都係跌少少... 所以都係入貨為妙

Not much power for rebound today, it may down further tomorrow

作者: leoxi 時間: 2007-8-6 22:40

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-6 15:32 發表

Not much power for rebound today, it may down further tomorrow

Not a good sign at all...

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-6 22:56

引用:

Originally posted by leoxi at 2007-8-6 22:40

Not a good sign at all...

Yes, and Dow is pretty fluctuated tonight; maybe another rough day in HK market tomorrow

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-8-7 20:31

Both 100sma and 150sma would have very good support as index had been consolidating around that level for 2 months PLUS the fact that many companies had interim result in the upper limit of market expectation,,,

Please check out my post in another financial website,,,

http://www11.discuss.com.hk/view ... &extra=page%3D1

作者: jimmy1001 時間: 2007-8-7 22:08

Europe is quite OK today, but US is down now.

Tomorrow may be a longest day

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 00:28

引用:

Originally posted by jimmy1001 at 2007-8-7 22:08
Europe is quite OK today, but US is down now.
Tomorrow may be a longest day

We should well understand already. HK market would moderate up and down if US up.
And going down much much faster if US down.  It is always the trend during correction.

So, doen't really matter how US and Europe market are doing tonight.  Same thing tomorrow.
Think about HK market during these 10 days.  The power to rebound is getting weaker and weaker, buying power is lesser and lesser.

Wait for further drop, don't know how low it will go, but don't expect too much the market can up in this week.

作者: payboy 時間: 2007-8-17 02:18

嘩! 呢期執咗2個開! 我身家過US$1M啦!

作者: kswong 時間: 2007-8-17 02:34

scared to dead but really tempted to buy at this low level: 330$90, 388$109, 2038$20 941$80 so cheap!

作者: leon3114 時間: 2007-8-19 13:21

一個星期可以返回二萬三千了
好友萬歲

作者: jk3g3w4i 時間: 2007-8-20 09:22 標題: 果然不出我所料恒指在7月期結跌幅達800點之多

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