¼ÐÃD: ùÚ«ü¨ì«§¦ì§A¦a¥ý¤J³f? [¥´¦L¥»­¶]

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§@ªÌ: vodkaboy    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 16:41     ¼ÐÃD: ùÚ«ü¨ì«§¦ì§A¦a¥ý¤J³f?

§Ú·|«Y20500~21000¶}©l¤J...¦]¬°Ú»¦í©O­Ó¦ì¤û¦n­@¥ý¤É¤W¥h...À³¸Ó´Xí~§A¦a©O?

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§@ªÌ: ¤p¤p¤O    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 16:51

21000¶}©l¤J¤Ö¤Ö!!

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 16:56

Around small porton from 21500

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 16:59

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ vodkaboy ©ó 2007-8-6 16:41 µoªí
§Ú·|«Y20500~21000¶}©l¤J...¦]¬°Ú»¦í©O­Ó¦ì¤û¦n­@¥ý¤É¤W¥h...À³¸Ó´Xí~§A¦a©O?

No, wait till it reaches 20,000.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 17:01

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-6 16:59

No, wait till it reaches 20,000.

Alright, will see it hit 21000 first, and then decide how the atomsphere in global market.  If still looking bad, definitenly will wait to 20000; otherwise, will start to buy a bit at 21000 first.  Whenever the market bound back, it will be big and fast in first 2 days.  What do you think?

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 17:06

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-6 17:01 µoªí
Alright, will see it hit 21000 first, and then decide how the atomsphere in global market.  If still looking bad, definitenly will wait to 20000; otherwise, will start to buy a bit at 21000 f ...

Fast to go up and faster to go down!

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§@ªÌ: vodkaboy    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 17:56

¦pªG¦³¤é¥Ñ¶}¥«¤É¨ì§À ( ¥þ¤é¦³500ÂI at least) + ¹L¤d¤j»õ¤¸¦¨¥æ....then §Ú·|start¤J³f~~~keke

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§@ªÌ: nonhuman    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 20:52

´£¥Ü: §@ªÌ³Q¸T¤î©Î§R°£ ¤º®e¦Û°Ê«Ì½ª

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 20:56

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by nonhuman at 2007-8-6 20:52
All guys are still cool and smart .... 21000 then rebound. Market participant not yet crazy enough to make "FREE FALLING" by the big crocodiles.

Agreed, investors are getting smarter and smarter after learning experiences year by year

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 20:58

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ nonhuman ©ó 2007-8-6 20:52 µoªí
All guys are still cool and smart .... 21000 then rebound. Market participant not yet crazy enough to make "FREE FALLING" by the big crocodiles.

Disagree. The big hongs will push HSI down to 20,000 or even lower.

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§@ªÌ: nonhuman    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 22:24

´£¥Ü: §@ªÌ³Q¸T¤î©Î§R°£ ¤º®e¦Û°Ê«Ì½ª

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-6 22:58

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Originally posted by nonhuman at 2007-8-6 22:24
What I mean "Free Falling" is at least 30%-40% drop and stagnant at the bottom for 1-2 year .... just like the previous 2 disaster at 1987 & 1997. From 23000-19000 is somewhat less th ...

Smart move & logical thinking

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§@ªÌ: ytt    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 01:44

already bought in some stocks today hoping for  short term rebound
but small amount
using spare money
for entertainment purpose

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§@ªÌ: eddielow90    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 02:35

i think around 21500

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§@ªÌ: potatogundam    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 08:08

21500 ¤J³f .............

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 09:14

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ potatogundam ©ó 2007-8-7 08:08 µoªí
21500 ¤J³f .............

20,000.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 10:44

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by ytt at 2007-8-7 01:44
already bought in some stocks today hoping for  short term rebound
but small amount
using spare money
for entertainment purpose

Good move and making some money today

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§@ªÌ: nonhuman    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 16:50

´£¥Ü: §@ªÌ³Q¸T¤î©Î§R°£ ¤º®e¦Û°Ê«Ì½ª

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 16:51

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ nonhuman ©ó 2007-8-7 16:50 µoªí
Seems that 21000 got strong support  ...... headache!

Don't think so. Once it breaks below 21,000, it will go to 20,000 quickly!

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§@ªÌ: vodkaboy    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:02

i think this week can go down to 21000 and next week rebound....kekeke...so i will get into market this friday~~~but watch out global market.....

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:06

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­ì©«¥Ñ vodkaboy ©ó 2007-8-7 17:02 µoªí
i think this week can go down to 21000 and next week rebound....kekeke...so i will get into market this friday~~~but watch out global market.....

You are always more optimistic than I. However, I see a new wave of stock market falls trigger by strong JPY.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:07

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 16:51

Don't think so. Once it breaks below 21,000, it will go to 20,000 quickly!

Agreed.  Go 20000 so quick if broke 21000

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:11

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by vodkaboy at 2007-8-7 17:02
i think this week can go down to 21000 and next week rebound....kekeke...so i will get into market this friday~~~but watch out global market.....

Maybe, depends on how bad global market doing this week.  
Whenever US market up, HK only break even next day.
If US down, HK would follow and drop much more next day.
That is an excuse for big guys to push down the market.

21000 to buy stock, I would partially agree, use 10~20% of your capital to buy, not all since there might be a chance to drop to 20000.  If not, you can get some cheap stuff there

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:13

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 17:11 µoªí
Maybe, depends on how bad global market doing this week.  
Whenever US market up, HK only break even next day.
If US down, HK would follow and drop much more next day.
That is an excuse fo ...

I am waiting for 20,000. No incentive to buy at @21,000.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:21

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 17:13

I am waiting for 20,000. No incentive to buy at @21,000.

I personally would wait for further downward first.  Of course, it is also depended on how is global market doing and local investor atomsphere as well.  Then decide when we can start to buy, right?

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:27

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 17:21 µoªí
I personally would wait for further downward first.  Of course, it is also depended on how is global market doing and local investor atomsphere as well.  Then decide when we can start to bu ...

Of course, but atmosphere is grey. No matter what the US markets did, HK market did not follow. Further, I believe JPY and sub-prime situation will continue to affect overall environment.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:30

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 17:27

Of course, but atmosphere is grey. No matter what the US markets did, HK market did not follow. Further, I believe JPY and sub-prime situation will continue to affect overall environment.:afrai ...

If atmosphere is no good, better to wait.
Why JPY not straight head up to 115, and just back and forth between 119~117, I don't quite understand this point?

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:33

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 17:30 µoªí
If atmosphere is no good, better to wait.
Why JPY not straight head up to 115, and just back and forth between 119~117, I don't quite understand this point?

It will break 115. Wait till later this month.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 17:48

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 17:33

It will break 115. Wait till later this month.

Alright, will see

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:00

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 17:48 µoªí
Alright, will see

It's the financial year end for Japan and JPY interest rate is expected to rise.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:03

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 18:00

It's the financial year end for Japan and JPY interest rate is expected to rise.

When will be the date of financial year end for Japan?

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:08

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 18:03 µoªí
When will be the date of financial year end for Japan?

Sept. 30. Last time (March), already caused major market crash and carry trade activities.

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:17

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 18:08

Sept. 30. Last time (March), already caused major market crash and carry trade activities.

Yes, I remembered big crashed in March.
So, global market will still fluctuate before Sept 30

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:19

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 18:17 µoªí
Yes, I remembered big crashed in March.
So, global market will still fluctuate before Sept 30

Starting already!

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:19

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 18:19

Starting already!

I meant will continous till end of Sept, then rise again

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:24

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 18:19 µoªí
I meant will continous till end of Sept, then rise again

Hard to say ...

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:27

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Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 18:24

Hard to say ...

Will see, we just assume.  If we know, then we are rich

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 18:33

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-7 18:27 µoªí
Will see, we just assume.  If we know, then we are rich

Of course always easy to make judgment on hindsight!

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§@ªÌ: vodkaboy    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 19:28

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ peninsula ©ó 2007-8-7 17:06 µoªí

You are always more optimistic than I. However, I see a new wave of stock market falls trigger by strong JPY.

kekeke....¤j®a¬Û¤Ï·N¨£....±ð¦³¤@­ÓĹma...hahaha.....¦]¬°³Ì°ª 23,472.88 ¨ì¦Ó®a 21,907.99...¤w¸g¶^¦¨ 1564.89 (9­Ó¥æ©ö¤é¤º) .. ¦ý±q 3 April ¦Ü 24 June ¤@¸ô«Y20000~21000 ¾ã©T¦A¤W....¦Ó§Ú¨£ 20300 ¦P 20900 ³£¦³¦n¤j¤ä«ù....so §Ú§Æ±æ20900³»±o¦íla...¦pªG­ø«Y¯u«Y¨£20300....

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-7 23:51

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Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 18:33

Of course always easy to make judgment on hindsight!

Yes, agreed

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§@ªÌ: vodkaboy    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-15 17:43

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­ì©«¥Ñ vodkaboy ©ó 2007-8-7 19:28 µoªí


kekeke....¤j®a¬Û¤Ï·N¨£....±ð¦³¤@­ÓĹma...hahaha.....¦]¬°³Ì°ª 23,472.88 ¨ì¦Ó®a 21,907.99...¤w¸g¶^¦¨ 1564.89 (9­Ó¥æ©ö¤é¤º) .. ¦ý±q 3 April ¦Ü 24 June ¤@¸ô«Y20000~21000 ¾ã©T¦A¤W....¦Ó§Ú¨£ 2030 ...

see 20900 can get support or not~~

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-15 17:48

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­ì©«¥Ñ vodkaboy ©ó 2007-8-15 17:43 µoªí
see 20900 can get support or not~~

Cannot. Waiting for 20,000.

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§@ªÌ: ytt    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-15 18:54

already bought 753 today $6.37

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 12:23

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­ì©«¥Ñ ytt ©ó 2007-8-15 18:54 µoªí
already bought 753 today $6.37

Too bad.

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§@ªÌ: ªi°O    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 13:39

§¹¥þµL¤ä«ù¦ìª½´¡205xx.......¯u«Y­ø¼ÖÆ[...
19500¥ý¦Ò¼{¤J²Ä¤@ª`!

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§@ªÌ: mmr.ren    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 14:03

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­ì©«¥Ñ ªi°O ©ó 2007-8-16 05:39 µoªí
§¹¥þµL¤ä«ù¦ìª½´¡205xx.......¯u«Y­ø¼ÖÆ[...
19500¥ý¦Ò¼{¤J²Ä¤@ª`!

Agree... ¥ò­n "¦Ò¼{" ¥ý«Y keyword, ¦Ó­ø«Y 19500

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 14:12

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ mmr.ren ©ó 2007-8-16 14:03 µoªí
Agree... ¥ò­n "¦Ò¼{" ¥ý«Y keyword, ¦Ó­ø«Y 19500

Of course it is very true after the events of this week.

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§@ªÌ: ProntoXO    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 14:49

no matter what level, it would be a bumpy ride

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§@ªÌ: ¤p¤p¤O    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 15:16

¤Þ¥Î:

­ì©«¥Ñ mmr.ren ©ó 2007-8-16 14:03 µoªí


Agree... ¥ò­n "¦Ò¼{" ¥ý«Y keyword, ¦Ó­ø«Y 19500

Now,..the enter level lower to 19000 and not 20000 lu....

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 15:25

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­ì©«¥Ñ ¤p¤p¤O ©ó 2007-8-16 15:16 µoªí
Now,..the enter level lower to 19000 and not 20000 lu....

Or even 18,000.

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§@ªÌ: jimmy1001    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 15:33

´²户²{¦b¥u¦³µ¥¶^©w¤~¥i¦A¤J¥«¤F¡I
²{¦b«ÜÃø¦ô§C¦ì¦b¨º¸Ì... ... 190001800017000
§Ú´NÉN$¡F¦n±mªý¤î¤F¦Ñ±C¤J¥«¡C¤U¤@½ü¡A¥t¤@¥bÃä¤Ñªº¥@¬É¤F

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 15:41

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­ì©«¥Ñ jimmy1001 ©ó 2007-8-16 15:33 µoªí
´²户²{¦b¥u¦³µ¥¶^©w¤~¥i¦A¤J¥«¤F¡I
²{¦b«ÜÃø¦ô§C¦ì¦b¨º¸Ì... ... 190001800017000
§Ú´NÉN$¡F¦n±mªý¤î¤F¦Ñ±C¤J¥«¡C¤U¤@½ü¡A¥t¤@¥bÃä¤Ñªº¥@¬É¤F

Saved by lack of $ as many would have entered market at 21,500 etc.

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§@ªÌ: ¤p¤p¤O    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 23:55

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­ì©«¥Ñ jimmy1001 ©ó 2007-8-16 15:33 µoªí
´²户²{¦b¥u¦³µ¥¶^©w¤~¥i¦A¤J¥«¤F¡I
²{¦b«ÜÃø¦ô§C¦ì¦b¨º¸Ì... ... 190001800017000
§Ú´NÉN$¡F¦n±mªý¤î¤F¦Ñ±C¤J¥«¡C¤U¤@½ü¡A¥t¤@¥bÃä¤Ñªº¥@¬É¤F

My problem is how to know when it was "¶^©w"??

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§@ªÌ: leoxi    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-16 23:59

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­ì©«¥Ñ ¤p¤p¤O ©ó 2007-8-16 23:55 µoªí


My problem is how to know when it was "¶^©w"??

You won't notice until you see the rise again.  It's very likely to see HSI 19500 and HSCEI 10000 before the end of this month....

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§@ªÌ: ¤p¤p¤O    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-17 00:06

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­ì©«¥Ñ leoxi ©ó 2007-8-16 23:59 µoªí


You won't notice until you see the rise again.  It's very likely to see HSI 19500 and HSCEI 10000 before the end of this month....

How to determine...if the raise is just a rebound???
On the volume? On the raising amplitude? Moving Average?
Or something else?

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§@ªÌ: 3a4b5c6c    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-17 01:40

¤Þ¥Î:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 17:33

It will break 115. Wait till later this month.

You are correct, Yen up fast to 113.xx tonight, and Dow is dropping 260 pts.
And HSI will reach 20000 tomorrow maybe

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§@ªÌ: peninsula    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-17 08:51

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­ì©«¥Ñ 3a4b5c6c ©ó 2007-8-17 01:40 µoªí
You are correct, Yen up fast to 113.xx tonight, and Dow is dropping 260 pts.
And HSI will reach 20000 tomorrow maybe

But DOW made a remarkable recovery in last hour of trading and only down a little at close. Let's see how HK will react. Fall for certain but not sure by how much.

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§@ªÌ: jk3g3w4i    ®É¶¡: 2007-8-20 09:24     ¼ÐÃD: ªGµM¤£¥X§Ú©Ò®ÆùÚ«ü¦b7¤ë´Áµ²¶^´T¹F800ÂI¤§¦h

´£¥Ü: §@ªÌ³Q¸T¤î©Î§R°£ ¤º®e¦Û°Ê«Ì½ª

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