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標題: 好友天下 [打印本頁]

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-7 09:36 標題: 好友天下

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作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 09:37

引用:

原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-7 09:36 發表
你地話今日會唔會反彈八百點
以前跌過九百, 今日升番九百都不足為奇

Rise first and fall later!

作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-7 10:02

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作者: Sax 時間: 2007-8-7 10:30

得百零點，好很失望

作者: bigball_hunter2 時間: 2007-8-7 10:31

引用:

原帖由 Sax 於 2007-8-7 10:30 發表
得百零點，好很失望

SO, you still have chance to BUY......

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 10:54

We all wish the market can back to right track now on, but the reality is, it is a rebound trap for sure. HSI only rebound 200 pts, no volume to support, lack of interest to buy shares.

We don't want to buy too much shares at this moment, too risk.
I don't mind to buy a little bit shares, maybe just for day trade, not long hold.

The market may correct for another 2 weeks before rise again

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 11:11

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 10:54 發表
We all wish the market can back to right track now on, but the reality is, it is a rebound trap for sure.

CORRECT!

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-8-7 12:11

Volume small, negative candlestick, advance/decline ratio is okay, but purchase/long order is quite weak,,,

In general, most technical indicators are not too favourable,,,

Like look reducing position is the only right thing to do at present,,,

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-8-7 12:20

Of course it could be the trick of big hongs to collect gradually,,,

but if today index closes with a negative candlestick (VERY LIKELY) and volume remains small,,, this possibility could be ruled out,,,

The chance for testing 100 smas become greater and greater,,,

Good noon,,, Bye for now

作者: mmr.ren 時間: 2007-8-7 12:29

等你出現好耐, 聽你講完仲驚.... 100 smas.... 唔好下嘩....

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 12:32

引用:

原帖由 mmr.ren 於 2007-8-7 12:29 發表
等你出現好耐, 聽你講完仲驚.... 100 smas.... 唔好下嘩....

Very likely. 21,000 and than 20,000.

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-8-7 12:33

引用:

原帖由 Sax 於 2007-8-7 10:30 發表
得百零點，好很失望

百零點 ?我估冇喇!!

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 14:24

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 12:32

Very likely. 21,000 and than 20,000.

Yes, will first try 21000, and see how market react, whether going down to 20000 or rise from 21000. Tough to predict, but high chance to down to 21000

作者: mmr.ren 時間: 2007-8-7 14:49

有乜野因素令港股一沉再沉, 人地美股都有返咁上下既反彈, 反而港股完全無力, 基本因素不變, subprime 影響美國點都多過香港丫!

作者: jimmy1001 時間: 2007-8-7 15:02

only HK market is down right now!

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 15:08

引用:

原帖由 jimmy1001 於 2007-8-7 15:02 發表
only HK market is down right now!

That's bad enough!

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 15:14

引用:

Originally posted by mmr.ren at 2007-8-7 14:49
有乜野因素令港股一沉再沉, 人地美股都有返咁上下既反彈, 反而港股完全無力, 基本因素不變, subprime 影響美國點都多過香港丫!

We all know, it is an excuse for them to pull market down; same thing in march this year.

作者: jimmy1001 時間: 2007-8-7 15:28

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 07:14 發表

We all know, it is an excuse for them to pull market down; same thing in march this year.

No need to panic?

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 15:34

引用:

Originally posted by jimmy1001 at 2007-8-7 15:28

No need to panic?

Yes, no need to panic, just be patient and wait

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 15:34

引用:

原帖由 jimmy1001 於 2007-8-7 15:28 發表
No need to panic?

No need to panic if you don't have stocks on hand.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 15:36

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 15:34

No need to panic if you don't have stocks on hand.

If no margin or 3~4 lines stocks on hand, it should be okay; otherwise, panic

作者: jimmy1001 時間: 2007-8-7 16:11

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 07:36 發表

If no margin or 3~4 lines stocks on hand, it should be okay; otherwise, panic

only a few 3-4 lines, others are purple chips; 5% drop past week.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 16:21

引用:

Originally posted by jimmy1001 at 2007-8-7 16:11

only a few 3-4 lines, others are purple chips; 5% drop past week.

I lost big in past week too, but in call warrant. I don't buy any 3~4 lines, it is tough to recover if it corrected. It is tough to bet on it, I have no confident on it seriously.

You dropped 5% last week was not too bad; today is even worst on 3~4 lines.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 16:35

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 16:21 發表
I lost big in past week too, but in call warrant. I don't buy any 3~4 lines, it is tough to recover if it corrected. It is tough to bet on it, I have no confident on it seriously...

Very bad. Disaster on the "9th rate" stocks!

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 16:59

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 16:35

Very bad. Disaster on the "9th rate" stocks!

I meant, lost on call warrant this time, not 3~4 lines. I don't buy 3~4 lines

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 16:59

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 16:59 發表
I meant, lost on call warrant this time, not 3~4 lines. I don't buy 3~4 lines

I know ar. I am referring to myself!

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 17:03

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 16:59

I know ar. I am referring to myself!

Sorry, misunderstood

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 17:08

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 17:03 發表
Sorry, misunderstood

OK la. CASH is king now.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 17:12

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 17:08

OK la. CASH is king now.

Yeah

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 17:15

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 17:12 發表
Yeah

Luckily, I did not convert my AUD to HKD and buy BIG (I was targeting H stocks). Otherwise, can be extremely painful.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 17:19

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 17:15

Luckily, I did not convert my AUD to HKD and buy BIG (I was targeting H stocks). Otherwise, can be extremely painful.

You are lucky, I cashed out some stocks before correction, but still have so many on hand, but still better than loss more when I looked back now. But still not good feeling at all even it is paper value when it drop everyday.

Save cash and wait for timing come soon

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-7 17:24

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-7 17:19 發表
You are lucky, I cashed out some stocks before correction, but still have so many on hand, but still better than loss more when I looked back now. But still not good feeling at all even it i ...

I did not convert when AUD to HKD was nearly $6.9, now back to @$6.6. I guess it is a small percentage compared to the potential loss in the stock market.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-7 17:28

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-7 17:24

I did not convert when AUD to HKD was nearly $6.9, now back to @$6.6. I guess it is a small percentage compared to the potential loss in the stock market.

I see, is not too bad, and I believe US dollar still weak later on

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-8 09:56

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作者: mmr.ren 時間: 2007-8-8 09:59

引用:

原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-8 01:56 發表
高開二百幾點, 仲唔係強勢回歸?

睇定 D....

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-8-8 10:07

引用:

原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-8 09:56 發表
高開二百幾點, 仲唔係強勢回歸?

未必喎!!...

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 10:27

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-8 09:56
高開二百幾點, 仲唔係強勢回歸?

I don't think so, it is another rebound trap

作者: bigball_hunter2 時間: 2007-8-8 10:46

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-8 10:27 發表

I don't think so, it is another rebound trap

yes..., there are many traps in the market !!!

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-8 11:24

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 11:55

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-8 11:24
三百幾點啦... 仲有得升

Not concentrate on 1 day only, it could be a trap or the market really hit bottom already and rise back to 23500 very soon.

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-8 12:59

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 13:40

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-8 12:59
就來四百點!!!!!!!!!!!!

Yes, market looks good today, I hope both 941 & 5 can lead market all the way up and the correction is over. But we still have to be caution as well; better to wait for see for 2 more days.

Since it still might be a trapped to us, people got back confidenet and started to buy more and more shares then big drop. This period of time, better to play more safe, I don't mind to buy spend small money to buy some potential stocks, but not big money at this moment

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-8 15:10

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 15:14

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-8 15:10
就來五百啦... 可以收復失地

Can see it is strong today, but volume does not match so far.
I hope Dow strongly up tonight, and HSI strong up with high volume, then we can consider to buy some stocks

作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-8 15:19

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作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-8 15:32

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作者: mmr.ren 時間: 2007-8-8 15:39

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-8 07:14 發表

Can see it is strong today, but volume does not match so far.
I hope Dow strongly up tonight, and HSI strong up with high volume, then we can consider to buy some stocks

Agree!!

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 16:03

引用:

Originally posted by mmr.ren at 2007-8-8 15:39

Agree!!

Will see how Dow doing tonight

作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-8 16:05

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作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-8 16:08

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作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-8 17:32

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 21:37

This rebound will probably reach 23000 and then drop back to 22000

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-8 22:54

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-8 23:09

HSI can easily up to 23000, then drop back to 22000.
It is a normal trend during correction

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-9 09:13

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作者: bigball_hunter2 時間: 2007-8-9 09:21

引用:

原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-9 09:13 發表
但係美國升左百幾點, 日本又升百幾點, 香港再升幾百點都不足為奇
可能幾日就升破二萬四

hay.., what you care is how will the fund managers trap you !!!!!!!!!!!!

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-9 10:03

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-9 10:04

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-9 09:13
但係美國升左百幾點, 日本又升百幾點, 香港再升幾百點都不足為奇
可能幾日就升破二萬四

I hope so, but what is the chance to reach to 24000 in next few days?

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-9 21:01

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-9 10:04 發表
I hope so, but what is the chance to reach to 24000 in next few days?

Weakening in the afternoon. So the large players killed off the 淡友 yesterday and now waiting to kill off the 好友. Tomorrow, should fall??

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-9 21:43

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-9 21:01

Weakening in the afternoon. So the large players killed off the 淡友 yesterday and now waiting to kill off the 好友. Tomorrow, should fall??

Exactly, I don't see it can go up to 24500 in next few days, but I am sure HSI will drop sharply tomorrow morning since Dow dropped over 200 pts in opening, now still down 160 pts.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-9 22:00

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-9 21:43 發表
Exactly, I don't see it can go up to 24500 in next few days, but I am sure HSI will drop sharply tomorrow morning since Dow dropped over 200 pts in opening, now still down 160 pts.

Yes, I am still looking to 21,000 as first target.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-9 22:21

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-9 22:00

Yes, I am still looking to 21,000 as first target.

I think the market will drop first and rise for sure, but don't really know how low it will go, will see

作者: leoxi 時間: 2007-8-9 22:55

This type of up and down market will continue, but hitting 21,000 maybe a bit low.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-9 23:04

引用:

Originally posted by leoxi at 2007-8-9 22:55
This type of up and down market will continue, but hitting 21,000 maybe a bit low.

I think so, I think the market will between 22900~21500, unless more bad news coming from US

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-10 10:12

引用:

原帖由 leoxi 於 2007-8-9 22:55 發表
This type of up and down market will continue, but hitting 21,000 maybe a bit low.

Now 21,700. Another 700 points and we will be at 21,000.

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-10 10:33

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-10 11:13

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-10 10:33
依家咪急速反彈, 又係入貨好時機

As peninsula said, market still have a chance to 21000 since more bad news come out from home mortgage!!!

The market will rebound, but the peak pt will getting lower and lower everytime before the end of Aug I guessed.

Anyway, I did buy some stocks at good price this morning, waiting for rebound soon

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-10 12:38

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-10 11:13 發表
As peninsula said, market still have a chance to 21000 since more bad news come out from home mortgage!!!
The market will rebound, but the peak pt will getting lower and lower everytime be ...

I don't foresee much rebound until 21,000 (at the very least).

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-8-10 13:09

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-10 12:38 發表

I don't foresee much rebound until 21,000 (at the very least).

I think so,...and so today I sold all my stock at run away lar....
total about 4% loss !!

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-10 13:17

引用:

原帖由 小小力 於 2007-8-10 13:09 發表
I think so,...and so today I sold all my stock at run away lar....
total about 4% loss !!

4% loss is not bad. Your stocks are index-related, right?

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-10 13:21

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-10 12:38

I don't foresee much rebound until 21,000 (at the very least).

I only bought some, and also expected HSI may possible drop to 21000 soon; if not, it will rebound from 21700 for couple hundred pts, and then drop to 21000.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-10 13:54

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-10 13:21 發表
I only bought some, and also expected HSI may possible drop to 21000 soon; if not, it will rebound from 21700 for couple hundred pts, and then drop to 21000.

#8 signal may be hoisted soon. Not sure if market will open fully (till 4pm) in the afternoon.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-10 13:59

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-10 13:54

#8 signal may be hoisted soon. Not sure if market will open fully (till 4pm) in the afternoon.

Yes, SFC said market still open till #8 signal on

作者: giovanni 時間: 2007-8-10 14:31

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-10 14:39

引用:

Originally posted by giovanni at 2007-8-10 14:31
HOLY SHITTT!!!!

The almight 38.2% retracement for both HSI and HSF has reached this morning!!!

If this is not good enough to buy then what about 50% or 61.8%?

Nothing we can do now, the market is closed, wait for next week. See how Dow doing tonight

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-10 18:00

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-10 14:39 發表
Nothing we can do now, the market is closed, wait for next week. See how Dow doing tonight

FALL for sure.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-10 20:16

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-10 18:00

FALL for sure.

I think so, Europe is still falling down now

作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-10 20:23

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-10 20:36

引用:

Originally posted by nonhuman at 2007-8-10 20:23
REMINDER: MONDAY will be a rebound trap again ! Feel regret for not having sold 2628 at 34.00 last week

Don't worry, sell in rebound, and buy back after dropped.
Think positively, market offers you a good chance to buy more 2628 after it dropped

作者: kathywonder 時間: 2007-8-10 22:06

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-10 20:36 發表

Don't worry, sell in rebound, and buy back after dropped.
Think positively, market offers you a good chance to buy more 2628 after it dropped

Cancelled

K.

[ 本帖最後由 kathywonder 於 2007-8-10 22:12 編輯 ]

作者: giovanni 時間: 2007-8-10 22:21 標題: Hamburger Analogy by Warren Buffett

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-10 22:38

引用:

Originally posted by giovanni at 2007-8-10 22:21
This is the one thing I can never understand. To refer to a personal taste of mine, I'm going to buy hamburgers the rest of my life. When hamburgers go down in price, we sing the "Hallelujah C ...

Yes, exactly most people are doing that

作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-11 00:38

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-11 10:12

引用:

Originally posted by nonhuman at 2007-8-11 00:38
我會在$27呢個區域買2628 ..... unless hsi 路穿20000, 順手等call warrant路到殘的時候, 買少少等運到

$27 is a bit too far.
US has been trying to save the economic, it will take couple days to calm down the market. But can not see HSI will go to 20000 unless more and more fund houses got problem.

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-11 12:42

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作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-11 13:50

引用:

Originally posted by edison1610 at 2007-8-11 12:42
聯局出手救市, 股市有望極速反彈

Yes, all regions have already saved the market; can not let it crash for sure.
Maybe shaking on the market, but not too long, and rebound fast too

作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-11 23:57

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作者: LoserII 時間: 2007-8-12 00:00 標題: Rebound

It is exciting if by the end of 2007, HSI reaches 28,000
The world is so lovely !

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-12 01:50

引用:

Originally posted by LoserII at 2007-8-12 00:00
It is exciting if by the end of 2007, HSI reaches 28,000
The world is so lovely !

I don't mind too, or even higher than that

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-12 15:36

引用:

原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-11 13:50 發表
Yes, all regions have already saved the market; can not let it crash for sure.
Maybe shaking on the market, but not too long, and rebound fast too

Nothing can save the market if bad news keeps on coming out.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-12 15:37

引用:

原帖由 LoserII 於 2007-8-12 00:00 發表
It is exciting if by the end of 2007, HSI reaches 28,000
The world is so lovely !

What is your basis for this view?

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-13 10:25

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作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-13 11:02

引用:

原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-13 10:25 發表
已經反彈百點, 可喜可喜, 繼續繼續

SELL on rebound.

作者: mmr.ren 時間: 2007-8-13 11:22

引用:

原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-13 02:25 發表
已經反彈百點, 可喜可喜, 繼續繼續

dropping now.

作者: 3a4b5c6c 時間: 2007-8-13 13:10

引用:

Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-13 11:02

SELL on rebound.

Most of the time in Aug, it is better to sell on rebound.

作者: nonhuman 時間: 2007-8-13 13:50

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作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-13 14:26

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作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-8-13 14:59

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原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-8-13 14:26 發表
下午開市即升, 係好既開始
百幾點又來也!!

As I said, will sell on rebound!

作者: edison1610 時間: 2007-8-13 16:59

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作者: jimmy1001 時間: 2007-8-13 17:02

唉！走貨都要等升幅大 D先啦！

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