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標題: Long YEN [打印本頁]

作者: b4321    時間: 2007-8-16 15:29     標題: Long YEN

I think the squaring of carry-trade will last for a while.

I speculate and long YEN yesterday at 116.6. Now have gained around 60 pts.

I think this time YEN should be able to raise to 114 or higher as there is much panic in the market.
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-8-16 15:42

引用:
原帖由 b4321 於 2007-8-16 15:29 發表
I think the squaring of carry-trade will last for a while.
I speculate and long YEN yesterday at 116.6. Now have gained around 60 pts.
I think this time YEN should be able to raise to 114 or ...
It may reach 112.
作者: b4321    時間: 2007-8-16 15:44

I hope so.

Loss in the share market but gain in the FX market.

YEN is difficult to speculate. Trade only if u can keep the loss (or interest) for
a long time and have a high EQ and FQ.
引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-16 15:42 發表

It may reach 112.
[ 本帖最後由 b4321 於 2007-8-16 15:47 編輯 ]
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-8-16 15:55

引用:
原帖由 b4321 於 2007-8-16 15:44 發表
I hope so.
Loss in the share market but gain in the FX market.
YEN is difficult to speculate. Trade only if u can keep the loss (or interest) for
a long time and have a high EQ and FQ.
On the other hand, I will short JPY if it reaches 112.
作者: ytt    時間: 2007-8-16 16:57

引用:
原帖由 b4321 於 2007-8-16 15:44 發表
I hope so.

Loss in the share market but gain in the FX market.

YEN is difficult to speculate. Trade only if u can keep the loss (or interest) for
a long time and have a high EQ and FQ.

yes in the past 2 weeks forex is easier to play than stocks

but dare not buy yen
just short CAD & Euro long US

in the long run don't believe yen could stand firm
so waiting to sell yen buy NZD or AUD if yen rise further
作者: b4321    時間: 2007-8-16 16:58

Yes, it is the wonderful thing to trade FX, as we can gain (or loss) by trading at 2 different directions.

For traditional shares or mutual fund, u can't do it or u need to buy call/put warrents to hedge. But those tools will have time value which u can hold for a long time.
引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-16 15:55 發表

On the other hand, I will short JPY if it reaches 112.

作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-8-16 17:01

引用:
原帖由 b4321 於 2007-8-16 16:58 發表
Yes, it is the wonderful thing to trade FX, as we can gain (or loss) by trading at 2 different directions.
For traditional shares or mutual fund, u can't do it or u need to buy call/put warrents ...
For LONG JPY leveraged contracts, you need to pay interest wor. For SHORT JPY, you earn interest.
作者: mmr.ren    時間: 2007-8-16 17:11

fx is too hard to play, I think I will never play........
作者: ytt    時間: 2007-8-16 18:15

引用:
原帖由 mmr.ren 於 2007-8-16 17:11 發表
fx is too hard to play, I think I will never play........
anything involves money is hard to play
have you try ?
it's interesting
but again, use spare money
作者: 小小力    時間: 2007-8-16 23:48

引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-16 17:01 發表

For LONG JPY leveraged contracts, you need to pay interest wor. For SHORT JPY, you earn interest.
I think now it's a bit high to LONG YEN lar....!!  right?
作者: b4321    時間: 2007-8-17 00:15

I think the recent drop in share market is partially caused by the squaring of carry-trade (buying YEN). If u think the share market continue to drop, then u can long YEN.

Of cause, u need to watch out the sudden rebound of market for over-sold of shares in the whole week.

Amazingly, I expect YEN can reach 114. But now is 113.20 within 1 day. I earn 200+ points (around USD630) in 1 day for 1 lot of YEN 2.5M  !!!
引用:
原帖由 小小力 於 2007-8-16 23:48 發表

I think now it's a bit high to LONG YEN lar....!!  right?
[ 本帖最後由 b4321 於 2007-8-17 00:25 編輯 ]
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-8-17 08:53

引用:
原帖由 小小力 於 2007-8-16 23:48 發表
I think now it's a bit high to LONG YEN lar....!!  right?
Can SHORT.




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