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標題: 其實乜鬼技術分析都係呃人... [打印本頁]
作者: 陳刀仔    時間: 2007-8-24 23:35     標題: 其實乜鬼技術分析都係呃人...

股票係人o既遊戲, 當個個都認為係咁的時候, 咪就係唔係咁囉...

之前個個話股災, 結果真係大跌, 但冇人一早估到係次按... 依家結果都唔係股災...
群眾永遠是錯的... 散戶都係長線算啦, 邊夠人玩
作者: mysyu    時間: 2007-8-25 16:59

同意。
本人早前都說過，學院派的走勢分柝，圖表數据,在政治或經濟政策下，是沒大作用的。還記 03 年 SARS 一役，所有數据指標皆向下，內地一声放寬自由行，香港經濟即起走回生，股市持續升至現今。最近之次按vs內地資金自由行又向嘗不是。小股民未能ｌ掌扼政策發展, 只有戒除貪念，作稍長線投資，才能避免受一般股評家，拿着一些似是而非的走勢圖表，点紅点綠。
作者: 大冒險家    時間: 2007-8-26 22:32

Exactly !!!

Eveything in Technical Analysis is merely bull shit....

The basic assumption in technical anaysis is that past historical data have "attern" and can "predict" future ...

If this assumption is correct, there will be no stock market crash at all ...because u can use past data to predict it, so everyone realise it, how could it be happened ....??

Stock market is purely the movement of vast majority of the public ...either institutional or retail ...neither fundamental analysis as well, coz psychology of the majority determines the fundamentals ....

作者: cherryjasonchan    時間: 2007-8-26 23:30

For me, technical analysis could be regarded as a tool for your reference only. You also need to take into the consideration of all other factors. Of course, it could not provide you the exact picture of what is going to happen in the future. However, it could give you some hints, of course not always, that what is likely to happen in the future.

Reading the charts and the graphs could give you more chance to win the game. For example, if you understand the concept of Relative Strength Index (RSI), is it really that you need to sell your stock if it reach over 80 and buy again only at RSI=20. My experience tell me that this doesn't work. A stock could have further increase even if RSI=90 (e.g. 941, in October and November 06) and could drop further if RSI=20 (e.g. 606, recent performance).

The game is not so simple. The RSI should be read together with other data.

To conclude, technical analysis is a reference only. Don't solely rely on that and enter the game.
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-8-27 08:57

引用:
原帖由 陳刀仔 於 2007-8-24 23:35 發表
股票係人o既遊戲, 當個個都認為係咁的時候, 咪就係唔係咁囉...
之前個個話股災, 結果真係大跌, 但冇人一早估到係次按... 依家結果都唔係股災...
群眾永遠是錯的... 散戶都係長線算啦, 邊夠人玩
They can say what they want but no responsibility if the call is wrong. Terrible!!
作者: chinchinchin    時間: 2007-8-27 09:28

Thanks for sharing!!!!!!!!!!!!
作者: mmr.ren    時間: 2007-8-27 09:38

Yes, even those so called fundamentals are not entirely correct, for they're simplifying the whole thing for too much.

Technical analysis to me is just a tool to estimate correct timing to buy or sell, given the "fundamentals" are good enough.
作者: jimmy1001    時間: 2007-8-27 11:34

In this money game, the one you can trust is yourself only. All others are reference only!
作者: Air Supply    時間: 2007-8-27 12:43

引用:
原帖由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-26 23:30 發表
For me, technical analysis could be regarded as a tool for your reference only. You also need to take into the consideration of all other factors. Of course, it could not provide you the exact pict ...
Totally agree!!
作者: chanpowing    時間: 2007-8-27 18:59

引用:
原帖由 Air Supply 於 2007-8-27 12:43 發表

Totally agree!!
X 2
作者: mysyu    時間: 2007-8-27 22:17

I agree that charts and graphs can be used as reference only.  Though I donot believe in 走勢分柝, I still pay attention to such analysis.  The reason:  There are so many fund managers who set program on their investment portfolio.  For example, if the HS index fall below a certain level, their program will indicate the "sale" signal, and they will sell accordingly.  This is the basis for them to act, a bit square though.
作者: z600    時間: 2007-8-28 04:33

......當d技術分析連c9都知...你話仲有乜用ar
作者: 無神論狂徒    時間: 2007-8-28 08:19

但江恩，聽聞已前好，短炒，差不多次次都賺，只是江恩把其理論出街後，江恩理論才變得不準。
我估除非又有一個江恩出現，在波幅中找到路軌，否則短炒難有斬獲。
計我話，最好睇新股，簡優質的再入貨，如冇事發生，公司基本因數及外圍因數冇事發生，揸佢一世。
但此招係養老用的
作者: 小小力    時間: 2007-8-28 10:01

引用:
原帖由 z600 於 2007-8-28 04:33 發表
......當d技術分析連c9都知...你話仲有乜用ar
It's useful as you know C9 know that!! So, u can play opposite to them! right??
作者: ytt    時間: 2007-8-28 11:21

but technical analysis is more accurate in the foriegn exchange market
so to certain extent FX is easier to play than stocks

but of course FX requires more time and attention
suit for jobless person
holding some savings with a diciplinary character
wishing to gain smalll but secure profits



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