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標題: stock and foriegn exchange at the same time [打印本頁]
作者: ces    時間: 2007-11-24 14:10     標題: stock and foriegn exchange at the same time

uncle 4's is nonsense

but with US rates meeting (9.12.2007) approaching
stock market may have a short stable period

try sell Yen and buy stock at the same time
hoping for a double winning

short Yen long NZD at 82  (hope 85-86 in a week)

buy 347 ansteel at $21 (hope 23 in a week)

small bet of course
作者: eatallcheesecak    時間: 2007-11-24 17:49

I have saved some AUD$ and CAD$ for later use, 6 months after.

I am thinking to switch them all to RMB$ for a term-deposit, all to HK$ and investing it (risk is high!!) or do nothing at all.  Whatever it is, the AUD$/CAD$ equally or more must in my account 6 months after.

Any suggestion, please and thanks?

[ 本帖最後由 eatallcheesecak 於 2007-11-24 17:52 編輯 ]
作者: ces    時間: 2007-11-25 16:18

引用:
原帖由 eatallcheesecak 於 2007-11-24 17:49 發表
I have saved some AUD$ and CAD$ for later use, 6 months after.

I am thinking to switch them all to RMB$ for a term-deposit, all to HK$ and investing it (risk is high!!) or do nothing at all.  Wh ...
AUD still in high position despite the recently correction (now 0.877)
but weak US dollar, Australian high property price plus possible interest rate increase
may give AUD additional stength to go a little higher
in 6 months AUD/US may go between 0.86 - 0.9

CAD in century high earlier but had corrected 7-8 % this month
market perceive there might going to be a interest rate cut
likely go down to 1:1 US
in 6 months CAD may fall

should consider  currency switching involves loss in buy/sell difference

RMB buying/selling difference too big only long term depositing is viable

[ 本帖最後由 ces 於 2007-11-25 18:41 編輯 ]
作者: eatallcheesecak    時間: 2007-11-26 21:54

Thankyou very much for your analysis.

I may switch the CAD to HK first, and hopefully CAD falls in the coming 6 months.
作者: ces    時間: 2007-11-27 02:03

加元弱勢有待擴展 ▼▼
加拿大財長費海提上週五表示，在加元兌美元一度升至1.10美元的高點之後，他樂於見到其回落至他所認為的更為合理的範圍。他亦表示加元的波動令製造商和出口商幾無時間去調整適應；加元強勢迫使很多製造商開始重組。他重申對於美元貶值，加拿大所承受的影響是不均衡的。他說在調整過程中，那些貿易盈餘最大的國家應當發揮更突出的作用。
加元走勢方面，經過兩週之回跌後，上週加元仍見承壓，並在低位維持整固，最低曾見至0.9925。疲弱的加拿大數據以及加拿大央行降息傳聞，令投資人不再關注利多的高油價和金價基本面。上週公佈之零售數據以及通膨報告，令市場愈發預期加拿大央行將在12月降息。路透調查週二顯示，略佔多數的受訪加拿大主要市場交易商預期，加拿大央行下月將維持利率不變，但多數交易商預期在明年1月底前央行至少會降息一次。(emperor forex)
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-11-27 09:58

引用:
原帖由 ces 於 2007-11-24 14:10 發表
try sell Yen and buy stock at the same time
hoping for a double winning
...
Short yen - why?
作者: ces    時間: 2007-11-27 17:45

No matter how strong a currency is, it will retreat if rises too quick. When I said selling Yen, it was 107.5. Now 108.3.

Sell Yen but don't buy US, Buy NZD to earn interest 6%

Of course long term Yen will rise. But forex trading is to  take short term chance

347 Ansteel $23 today and got the money

[ 本帖最後由 ces 於 2007-11-27 17:53 編輯 ]
作者: firework    時間: 2007-11-27 18:23

REally, I don't trust him anymore
作者: ces    時間: 2007-11-28 00:38

引用:
原帖由 firework 於 2007-11-27 18:23 發表
REally, I don't trust him anymore
uncle 4 must sing good
because he holds too many stocks
and he had more then once said publicly that the stock market will be rosy
if stocks fall he may lose face
for those rich people losing face is worse than losing money
作者: ces    時間: 2007-11-29 02:20

29.11.2007 2.20 am
Yen now 110.3
NZD/Yen now 84.8
squared and got money
作者: ces    時間: 2007-12-1 14:36

引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-11-27 09:58 發表

Short yen - why?
you may know why by now
作者: eatallcheesecak    時間: 2007-12-7 10:18

Please, any comments on CAD$ and AUD$?

I didnt sell my CAD$ when it was 0.9X, and now it dropped back to 1.0X.
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-12-7 21:58

引用:
原帖由 ces 於 2007-12-1 14:36 發表
you may know why by now
It is still in narrow range 108 to 112.
作者: ces    時間: 2007-12-12 17:16

引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-12-7 21:58 發表

It is still in narrow range 108 to 112.
108/112 = 3.5%
for short term margin trading  3.5 % is very big deal
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-12-12 21:27

引用:
原帖由 ces 於 2007-12-12 17:16 發表
108/112 = 3.5%
for short term margin trading  3.5 % is very big deal
Yes, that's 3500 basis points and 1 point can be $40 to $80 depending on which currency you bet YEN against.



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