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標題: One terrible thing about the Olympic effect [打印本頁]

作者: ces 時間: 2008-1-3 01:55 標題: One terrible thing about the Olympic effect

apple daily news says. for previous Olympic hosting country. Most of their stocks tends to rise.

But from a chart shown in the news paper, I note that for Greece, Sydney and Korea, their stock tend to reached the highest point about 400 days prior to the Olympic. Then stock start to fall to the lowest when the olympic actually started.

The future is not known, but looking back, I feel terrible to find that HK and China stock was highest in October, and it started to fall in November, 400 days prior to Bejing olympic

So I take it that from now on the olympic may only benefit those conceptual stocks but not the whole stock market at large.

[ 本帖最後由 ces 於 2008-1-3 01:58 編輯 ]

作者: Jackel 時間: 2008-1-3 04:17

you are right about the statistics... lol

作者: mmr.ren 時間: 2008-1-3 10:50

there's a major fundamental difference here... China is mostly a closed market

作者: edison1610 時間: 2008-1-3 13:31

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作者: Ash_Tray 時間: 2008-1-3 14:06

引用:

原帖由 ces 於 2008-1-3 01:55 發表
apple daily news says. for previous Olympic hosting country. Most of their stocks tends to rise.

But from a chart shown in the news paper, I note that for Greece, Sydney and Korea, their stock ...

It means the game is over.

作者: booshi 時間: 2008-1-3 14:07

olympic is not so important compare to American election

作者: Ash_Tray 時間: 2008-1-3 14:11

引用:

原帖由 booshi 於 2008-1-3 14:07 發表
olympic is not so important compare to American election

It may the reason why "Central" is keep cooling down the market lor.

作者: ces 時間: 2008-1-3 14:51

引用:

原帖由 Ash_Tray 於 2008-1-3 14:06 發表

It means the game is over.

may be or may be not

as there's are many other good factors

eg.: US election, Mainland Stock express, interest rate factor, ramanbi rising etc

but my worry is though there may be up and downs, at the last trading day of 2008, the index may not be higher than today

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-1-3 21:28

引用:

原帖由 ces 於 2008-1-3 01:55 發表
apple daily news says. for previous Olympic hosting country. Most of their stocks tends to rise....

Some H stocks moved a lot this week already.

作者: ces 時間: 2008-1-4 01:15

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2008-1-3 21:28 發表

Some H stocks moved a lot this week already.

this comment is true at any time
brother Pen you seldom make this kind of neutral comments

作者: eatallcheesecak 時間: 2008-1-4 12:32

Most people trade on a relatively short term basis, and the ups and downs , if in wide span, do good enough.

But for those long term holder they will be disappointed for this year's performance if the HSI stays as present, not mentioning a decline.

引用:

原帖由 ces 於 2008-1-3 02:51 PM 發表
but my worry is though there may be up and downs, at the last trading day of 2008, the index may not be higher than today

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-1-4 22:04

引用:

原帖由 ces 於 2008-1-4 01:15 發表
this comment is true at any time
brother Pen you seldom make this kind of neutral comments

I do have some stocks benefiting fro the recent rise!

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-1-4 22:05

引用:

原帖由 eatallcheesecak 於 2008-1-4 12:32 發表
Most people trade on a relatively short term basis, and the ups and downs , if in wide span, do good enough.
But for those long term holder they will be disappointed for this year's performance ...

I seldom hold too long so missing the best profit but also avoiding the large falls.

作者: ces 時間: 2008-1-5 01:26

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2008-1-4 22:05 發表

I seldom hold too long so missing the best profit but also avoiding the large falls.

long term holding sure win is true. But more applicable to those with no time/no market knowledge/no investment EQ

with good market knowledge and dicipline
keep on buying/selling will surely earn more

most of all
it avoid stock disasters

作者: penisonic 時間: 2008-1-5 02:07

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作者: ces 時間: 2008-1-5 13:44

引用:

原帖由 penisonic 於 2008-1-5 02:07 發表
好似唔係喎, 澳洲股市01年同02年仲繼續創新高

can you show me the figures and the charts
my only source of information is a column in apple daily
they may be wrong

[ 本帖最後由 ces 於 2008-1-5 13:46 編輯 ]

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-1-5 14:22

引用:

原帖由 penisonic 於 2008-1-5 02:07 發表
好似唔係喎, 澳洲股市01年同02年仲繼續創新高

We are talking about HK market which has been a lot more volatile than Australia's.

作者: penisonic 時間: 2008-1-5 18:53

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