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作者: hktigerwoods 時間: 2008-2-14 10:00 標題: 香港地產

咁多位大佬大姐,
小弟有意置業
點睇香港地產樓市未來2年去向?
求教高見

作者: edison1610 時間: 2008-2-14 11:29

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作者: hktigerwoods 時間: 2008-2-14 12:37

edison1610,
the blog is written by you ? or your friends ?

作者: hktigerwoods 時間: 2008-2-14 12:41

edison, by the way, there is no assumption or suggestions or general view on how the hk properties goes in medium term, i already had clear answers regearding to the questions set there
what is your view ?

作者: vodkaboy 時間: 2008-2-14 14:01

比我會租樓...雖然而家租金差唔多=供摟...但呢個位己係中上風險...都係Cash最實際....無謂比層樓困死...但如果有家庭...就另計..

作者: hktigerwoods 時間: 2008-2-14 15:19

引用:

原帖由 vodkaboy 於 2008-2-14 06:01 發表
比我會租樓...雖然而家租金差唔多=供摟...但呢個位己係中上風險...都係Cash最實際....無謂比層樓困死...但如果有家庭...就另計..

i had my family already
will u think it continue goes up in near 2 yrs ?

作者: vodkaboy 時間: 2008-2-14 17:08

未來2年升定跌真係無人知.....但我只知而家其實摟市比97升得仲要多...但人的心理質素唔同左...所以好難作比較....可能會升...但都係果D望海住宅...真係買少見少....

作者: hny 時間: 2008-2-14 17:40

好視乎你手頭上有幾多$$，同埋是否買樓自住???我認為今年樓市仍會有一定的水位，在奧運之後樓市可能會回落或升勢暫媛，而同期美國亦會換總統，可能有新的經濟政策出籠，兩年內供樓的息口會由現時的3厘開始回升至5厘，已現時銀行大都提供P-3或2.75的優惠計，你雖然現時入市供得少，但兩年後會比其他人供得多。再加上現在減埋D息都唔夠俾發展商的加樓價幾個%，因為D發展商成日話減息加樓價。
總結:::短炒是可以，入市要諗諗。

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-2-14 19:18

引用:

原帖由 hktigerwoods 於 2008-2-14 10:00 發表
咁多位大佬大姐,
小弟有意置業
點睇香港地產樓市未來2年去向?
求教高見

#432 - GO!!

作者: edison1610 時間: 2008-2-15 10:11

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作者: hardcat 時間: 2008-2-16 21:00

I am not very knowledgeable about real estate... here is my take...

On a living need basis, it is buyable indeed as i dont feel there is a bubble in real estate yet, a small one if you insist... That said, I wouldnt buy a house primarily because of low interest rates, as it could go up again some time later especially after the US crashed hard...

the real estate price will go up a bit gradually in near term mainly because of low interest rate environment, but i dont think this could last too long.... as we progress towards the end of this year, when people is beginning to realize the *enormous size* and effects of the US meltdown... and its implication for worldwide economic slowdown, if not recession... There will likely be deflation in assets like real estate, stocks, though inflation is likely to persisent in consumer price items like food, energy..

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-2-16 21:02

引用:

原帖由 hardcat 於 2008-2-16 21:00 發表
I am not very knowledgeable about real estate... here is my take...
On a living need basis, it is buyable indeed as i dont feel there is a bubble in real estate yet, a small one if you insist... ...

It's getting close to 1997 prices!

作者: hardcat 時間: 2008-2-20 15:04

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2008-2-16 21:02 發表

It's getting close to 1997 prices!

but then you have got to factor in the currency devaluation for the last ten years, which has been significant to put it mildly.... the lost in purchasing power of the money today compared with ten years ago cannot be underestimated... and the sentiment in the property market right now is still very far away from the speculative frenzy or craziness of the 1997...

[ 本帖最後由 hardcat 於 2008-2-20 15:14 編輯 ]

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-2-20 20:43

引用:

原帖由 hardcat 於 2008-2-20 15:04 發表
but then you have got to factor in the currency devaluation for the last ten years, which has been significant to put it mildly.... the lost in purchasing power of the money today compared with ...

$30,000psf for luxury and "special" apartments are crazy!

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