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標題: [原創] 係依到有幾多個人做黃金同外匯買賣呀？ [打印本頁]

作者: hongkit 時間: 2008-3-3 10:24 標題: 係依到有幾多個人做黃金同外匯買賣呀？

你地好　ｌｏｌ　我有做黃金同外匯買賣
咁想識番ｄ朋友都有做黃金同外匯買賣概
方便概話你地可唔可以加我ｍｓｎ呀＾＾
ｔｈｘ！　我仲有好多興趣

作者: ces 時間: 2008-3-4 12:22

Me
Just discuss here
no need through MSN

plan to short EURO at 1.526 tonight
hope 1.510 by thursday

my recent post
http://forum.timway.com/f/viewth ... =page%3D&page=2

[ 本帖最後由 ces 於 2008-3-4 12:25 編輯 ]

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-3-4 19:39

引用:

原帖由 ces 於 2008-3-4 12:22 發表
short EURO at 1.526 tonight
hope 1.510 by thursday ...

Why?

作者: b4321 時間: 2008-3-4 22:33

Me.

I'll short gold at USD1000. And short YEN at 100. These 2 shorting position will gain interest, so I can sit and wait.

作者: ces 時間: 2008-3-5 01:43

引用:

原帖由 b4321 於 2008-3-4 22:33 發表
Me.

I'll short gold at USD1000. And short YEN at 100. These 2 shorting position will gain interest, so I can sit and wait.

Yen at 101.5 is good to short
100 may have to wait

作者: hardcat 時間: 2008-3-5 19:51

To have Euro persistently sustained above 1.5 against USD is very unfavorable to Euro industry, BMW, Airbus are already suffering immensely by strong Euro. Expect ECB *will* cut rate soon, and hence more competitive currency devaluation (Canada also done that), every major nations wanna keep its money worth less and less, until it become worthless.... just so their economy could avoid running into ground... I do think that Euro might not have too much upside ahead, at least in the near term... unless USD tanking further, which is not entirely impossible...

作者: peninsula 時間: 2008-3-5 20:00

引用:

原帖由 b4321 於 2008-3-4 22:33 發表
Me.
I'll short gold at USD1000. And short YEN at 100. These 2 shorting position will gain interest, so I can sit and wait.

Meaning you expect JPY and gold to weaken once they hit those points?

作者: huiwa82 時間: 2008-3-7 06:41

Me too. I was shorting the USD/JPY, target will be 101.80++ and be more.
But all of this depends to tonight Non-Farm index. If good, then will close it. If not good, then will keep it ;)

作者: hardcat 時間: 2008-3-7 08:10

The free falling of USD is still going on well, it seems... with Yen and Swiss Franc making new high against USD... When will USD launch a mini rally before diving again, I dunno, but the 'worthlessness' of USD on a fundamental basis is dangerous to be underestimated, so I won't bet against this... Longer term, the value of currency is basically a reflection of its economic fundamentals and health...

The Fed is now formulating a really *BIG* BAILOUT plan, nationalising the mortgage market, so much for capitalism, the market system for the US is running exactly like 'capitalism for profit, socialism for risks and losses'... With Citigroup dumping those worthless junk mortgages to GSEs like FannieMae, FreddieMac (which are government sponsored entities that just had the mortage credit limit raised just for this purpose, they are really a bunch of criminals) .. this is the first step for the big bailout with the US taxpayers ultimately footing the bill when those GSEs eventually failed, and they will (of course, we will be sharing this bill indirectly too)....

Right now, we are still in the crisis phase of the capitalistic cycle, what will likely follow is depression phrase (or deep recession).. What kind of a beast we will see during the depression phase is still uncertain though, but most likely it will be a mixture of pronounced inflation and deflation on different asset classes...

[ 本帖最後由 hardcat 於 2008-3-7 08:18 編輯 ]

作者: ces 時間: 2008-3-7 14:30

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2008-3-4 19:39 發表

Why?

thought euro may go soft after rates meeting
but it didn't
so stopped loss already

作者: b4321 時間: 2008-3-7 17:36

Some psychological resistance values. But USD is depreciating, so don't know how long the values can stay. Should take profit in short period once reaching the values. However, since we can gain interest for shorting YEN and gold, so we can sit and wait for these short positions.

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2008-3-5 20:00 發表

Meaning you expect JPY and gold to weaken once they hit those points?

作者: ces 時間: 2008-3-8 02:04

Yen difficult to break 100
short at 101.5 buying non-US may be viiable and interest-earning

1. weak economy could not support high currency value
2. high oil price hits Yen
3. got central back intervention history
4. low interest discouraging long term holding

作者: havealove 時間: 2008-3-15 01:51 標題: 回復 #12 ces 的帖子

yen 的升勢跟swiss 差不多. yen 升到100之後,好似冇人(央行)理佢.
不過,唔知早一兩個星期前yen係108時,我差d賣哂.好在冇. 一來一回都成8-10%. 差不多等於3-4年港元利息.

作者: ces 時間: 2008-3-15 03:27

引用:

原帖由 ces 於 2008-3-8 02:04 發表
Yen difficult to break 100
short at 101.5 buying non-US may be viiable and interest-earning

1. weak economy could not support high currency value
2. high oil price hits Yen
3. got central bac ...

15.3.2008
3.25 am
I was so stupid
Yen now 99.37

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