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標題: 大家同意大摩所言, 牛市末期, 熊市已到嗎? [打印本頁]
作者: billy888    時間: 2007-1-10 10:29     標題: 大家同意大摩所言, 牛市末期, 熊市已到嗎?

大家同意大摩所言, 牛市末期, 熊市已到嗎?   
大摩話從種種跡象己經睇到個市已經有泡末, 牛市已經到咗末期, 漫長�H態市要即將展開....

For me, I do not believe !!!!!!!!!!!!

大家認為呢?
作者: billy888    時間: 2007-1-10 10:34

引用:
原帖由 billy888 於 2007-1-10 10:29 AM 發表
大家同意大摩所言, 牛市末期, 熊市已到嗎?   
大摩話從種種跡象己經睇到個市已經有泡末, 牛市已經到咗末期, 漫長�H態市要即將展開....

For me, I do not believe !!!!!!!!!!!!

大家認為呢?
細摩頻唱淡好友冇運行！
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-1-10 12:05

引用:
原帖由 billy888 於 2007-1-10 10:29 AM 發表
For me, I do not believe !!!!!!!!!!!!
I don't believe so will buy @18,000.
作者: alia    時間: 2007-1-10 12:10

引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-1-10 12:05 PM 發表

I don't believe so will buy @18,000.
Maybe you still have to wait for a while...
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-1-10 12:32

引用:
原帖由 alia 於 2007-1-10 12:10 PM 發表
Maybe you still have to wait for a while...
Before Chinese New Year!
作者: jimmy1001    時間: 2007-1-11 15:55

引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-1-10 04:32 AM 發表

Before Chinese New Year!
都好有可能發生！
作者: mmr.ren    時間: 2007-1-11 16:08

個個都咁諗, 似乎都會... 不過我諗唔係熊住, 調整完, D 錢會平均返, 唔會集中某一兩個行業
作者: b4321    時間: 2007-1-11 17:22

引用:
原帖由 billy888 於 2007-1-10 10:29 AM 發表
大家同意大摩所言, 牛市末期, 熊市已到嗎?   
大摩話從種種跡象己經睇到個市已經有泡末, 牛市已經到咗末期, 漫長�H態市要即將展開....

For me, I do not believe !!!!!!!!!!!!

大家認為呢?
牛市有3期, 熊市有2期. 次序是牛1->牛2->牛3->熊1->熊2.

現在應是牛市2期尾, 要下調一輪(是下調,不是熊市)才會到牛市3期.
牛市2期巳經升到驚. 到了牛市3期, 雞犬都升, 完全沒有危機意𢡠,
股市會在歡天喜地中突然下滑 (如 1997).

由於牛市3期未到, 何來熊市?

[ 本帖最後由 b4321 於 2007-1-11 08:58 PM 編輯 ]
作者: sdc2005    時間: 2007-1-11 18:29

我素來唔信大摩言論
作者: kkwong7606    時間: 2007-1-11 20:43

引用:
原帖由 sdc2005 於 2007-1-11 06:29 PM 發表
我素來唔信大摩言論
作者: potatogundam    時間: 2007-1-11 21:03

真的好難分現在的牛市和熊市, 因為已經 20000 點, 升降數百點, 百分比只很少
作者: b4321    時間: 2007-1-11 22:24

引用:
原帖由 potatogundam 於 2007-1-11 09:03 PM 發表
真的好難分現在的牛市和熊市, 因為已經 20000 點, 升降數百點, 百分比只很少
The only problem is to distinguish whether now is Cow 2 or Cow 3.
If it is Cow 3, then need to go away immediately becoz Bear 1 and
Bear 2 are coming. If it is Cow 2, u can still have the last chance to
buy when the market consolidates b4 the final crazy raise.

Fm 曾淵滄's newest book, he identified now is the Cow 2. So may need
to find more sources to compare if his find-out is correct or not.
作者: kkwong7606    時間: 2007-1-11 22:32

If anybody can find when is Cow2 or when is Cow3, he is rich guy already
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-1-11 22:57

引用:
原帖由 b4321 於 2007-1-11 10:24 PM 發表
The only problem is to distinguish whether now is Cow 2 or Cow 3.
.
Really that simple and easy??
作者: b4321    時間: 2007-1-11 23:21

The graph is easy to read. But U won't know the stage after it happens and u have to looked back
but not forward. So if it is Cow 2, u still have luck. If it is Cow 3, then u will have bad-luck for the
coming years.

BTW, this is Dow Jones' Theory but not 曾淵滄's theory. 曾淵滄 only quoted to his new book.

But I strongly believe it is Cow 2 as people now still have "fear". In Cow 3, all are fearless. Recall the happenings during 1997 peak and 2000 internet bubble.

[ 本帖最後由 b4321 於 2007-1-11 11:23 PM 編輯 ]
作者: xncunk    時間: 2007-1-11 23:42

i don't think so , we can still find so much capital rush to the market, so in the short time ,there won't be a cut in the market.
作者: bingo    時間: 2007-1-12 00:31

From the big rise and fall these days, it seems some Big Bankers are playing against each other. Morgan is apparently on the Bear side.
作者: kkwong7606    時間: 2007-1-12 03:02

引用:
原帖由 bingo 於 2007-1-12 12:31 AM 發表
Morgan is apparently on the Bear side.
You never know....Be careful Morgan is NOT stupid.
作者: 東虫    時間: 2007-1-12 08:41

東風不與周郎便.

蘋果電話同人仔債券兩招都保住個股.A股又冇得打莊.
魔界中人都唔想同錢作對吧
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-1-12 11:17

引用:
原帖由 kkwong7606 於 2007-1-12 03:02 AM 發表
You never know....Be careful Morgan is NOT stupid.
They can become BULL the next day!!
作者: mmr.ren    時間: 2007-1-12 11:19

依家 D 人醒左, 未必會有以往既第 3 期?
作者: leoxi    時間: 2007-1-12 16:56

Which Morgan?  There is JP and MS, but I guess it doesn't matter.
作者: V.V    時間: 2007-1-12 17:19

Shanghai A dropped 3.6% today in a few hours~
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-1-12 17:56

引用:
原帖由 V.V 於 2007-1-12 05:19 PM 發表
Shanghai A dropped 3.6% today in a few hours~
HSI going opposite direction again - up 250!
作者: mysyu    時間: 2007-1-12 20:42

I suppose it was Morgan Stanley that made such bullish remarks.  MS is always making remarks to their advantage.  If now they want to buy, they will sound out unfavorable remarks so they can buy at cheap prices.  The plain fact is MS has to make profit, how on earth will they share the truth with the general public.

I do not believe in Morgan Stanley.  The most discouraging thing is that they do have influence in the market.

I remeber two or three (?)years ago, two spokespersons within MS made remarks that were contradictory to each other.  That became a joke.
作者: cyberken    時間: 2007-1-13 09:05     標題: 回復 #25 mysyu 的帖子

尼D就係所謂�H大行啦
作者: peninsula    時間: 2007-1-13 18:45

引用:
原帖由 mysyu 於 2007-1-12 08:42 PM 發表
I suppose it was Morgan Stanley that made such bullish remarks.  MS is always making remarks to their advantage.
You have a maintain a sense of humour if you continue to play in the equity markets. Can hardly believe the so-called "experts". If they are so accurate, no need to work la!



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