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標題: Correction could be over, today is crucial! [打印本頁]

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-3-6 07:59 標題: Correction could be over, today is crucial!

IMHO, 18500 is the end of correction, March reports would be generally okay, so the reasonable index range could go up 5-10% [around 18500-22000],,, This year high could be 22000-24000, after that could be a pool of stagnant water until the 2008 Beijing OG for a big drop after unrealistic and excessive optimism,,,

Today would be crucial,,, if index goes up +150-250, obviously there is collection by big hongs and strong players,,, and small potatoes won't do anything but watching until the index reached +19500,,,

Basic factors are okay,

if today index goes up gradually for +150-250, then STRONG BUY on good stock like HSBC, local utilities, realties,,,

OVER

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-3-6 08:59

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-6 07:59 發表
IMHO, 18500 is the end of correction, March reports would be generally okay, so the reasonable index range could go up 5-10% ,,, This year high could be 22000-24000, after that could be a pool of s ...

.....can u write in chinese......

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-3-6 09:01

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-6 07:59 發表
IMHO, 18500 is the end of correction, March reports would be generally okay, so the reasonable index range could go up 5-10% ,,, This year high could be 22000-24000, after that could be a pool of s ...

.....can u write in chinese......

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-3-6 09:05

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-6 07:59 發表
IMHO, 18500 is the end of correction, March reports would be generally ...

Maybe not. US markets were down last night.

作者: eatallcheesecak 時間: 2007-3-6 12:21

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-5 23:59 發表
IMHO, 18500 is the end of correction, March reports would be generally okay, so the reasonable index range could go up 5-10% ,,, This year high could be 22000-24000, after that could be a pool of s ...

If I remember right, you mentioned in one of your posts with a name of big institutional investor, and saying he means it to push the HSI down 1500 points at least in the coming weeks (posted a week before 26-2)THAT IS VERY GOOD

[ 本帖最後由 eatallcheesecak 於 2007-3-6 04:48 編輯 ]

作者: cyberken 時間: 2007-3-6 12:30

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-6 07:59 發表
IMHO, 18500 is the end of correction, March reports would be generally okay, so the reasonable index range could go up 5-10% ,,, This year high could be 22000-24000, after that could be a pool of s ...

It is hard to tell. Today sell pressure still bigger then buy pressure. I am afraid another drop will be come few days later.

作者: jimmy1001 時間: 2007-3-6 12:57

Really? That would be bad news for the market, since it would take longer time to recover.

作者: mmr.ren 時間: 2007-3-6 12:58

Better don't touch yet... I won't buy or sell any yet.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-3-6 16:01

引用:

原帖由 cyberken 於 2007-3-6 12:30 發表
It is hard to tell. Today sell pressure still bigger then buy pressure. I am afraid another drop will be come few days later.

Agreed. I have taken position of PUT.

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-3-6 19:15

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-3-6 08:01 發表

Agreed. I have taken position of PUT.

better take profit within this week when index is below 19000,,, or else the consolidation is over,,,, could be back to 19500 very quickly

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-3-6 19:18

2nd step,,,,

Currently would be consolidation around 18800 - 19200,,, then +19500 before Chinese stocks release their reports, then could go either up or down,,,,

作者: leoxi 時間: 2007-3-7 00:25

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-6 19:18 發表
2nd step,,,,

Currently would be consolidation around 18800 - 19200,,, then +19500 before Chinese stocks release their reports, then could go either up or down,,,,

The two H share companies that will release annual earnings are 3328 and 2600, hopefully we see some good news.

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-3-7 09:09

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-6 19:18 發表
2nd step,,,,
Currently would be consolidation around 18800 - 19200,,, then +19500 before Chinese stocks release their reports, then could go either up or down,,,,

DOWN is more likely.

作者: coolbe 時間: 2007-3-7 12:23

DONT BUY HSBC NOW..i hope u guys remember this post

作者: billy888 時間: 2007-3-7 13:15

引用:

原帖由 coolbe 於 2007-3-7 12:23 發表
DONT BUY HSBC NOW..i hope u guys remember this post

Why?

which month buy?

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-3-7 13:29

引用:

原帖由 billy888 於 2007-3-7 13:15 發表
Why?
which month buy?

Below $130.

作者: potatogundam 時間: 2007-3-8 08:13

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-3-7 13:29 發表

Below $130.

Really

恆指可能要跌到好低

作者: FeiJai 時間: 2007-3-8 22:23

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-3-5 23:59 發表
IMHO, 18500 is the end of correction, March reports would be generally okay, so the reasonable index range could go up 5-10% ,,, This year high could be 22000-24000, after that could be a pool of s ...

Today is Thursday. I don't think it's over yet. The Yen is on the up-side again today, which may trigger more Yen buy-back of international hot-money. March is Japan's year-end closing, more Yen origined $ will have to retreat for closing. Then China Agri (606) starts IPO today, which may freeze-up a certain amount of money in the market. So overall, the risk of having another round of mild sell down/adjustment is quite high.

作者: leoxi 時間: 2007-3-9 01:22

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-3-7 09:09 發表

DOWN is more likely.

3328's annual results only meet the lower end of analysts' expectation, not a good sign

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-3-9 11:25

引用:

原帖由 leoxi 於 2007-3-9 01:22 發表
3328's annual results only meet the lower end of analysts' expectation, not a good sign

I am pessimistic but will buy if below @18,200.

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-4-5 10:13

While the pagemaster and other 淡友 looking for fruther adjustment,,, I have been getting profit after profit by collecting after the 777 drop,,,

A correction will come after breaking new high,,, sell in May and walk away la,,,

My thread in another forum, just for reference

http://www11.discuss.com.hk/view ... p;extra=&page=1

[ 本帖最後由小花至愛於 2007-4-5 02:15 編輯 ]

作者: titov 時間: 2007-4-5 21:02

Sell in May is a good idea...

作者: 小小力 時間: 2007-4-5 21:54

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-4-5 10:13 發表
While the pagemaster and other 淡友 looking for fruther adjustment,,, I have been getting profit after profit by collecting after the 777 drop,,,

A correction will come after breaking new high,, ...

You are smart!!
I wonder everyone said the market will adjust in here, then it won't.
After everytone think it will not and goes up! then, real correction is coming!

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-4-8 14:59

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-4-5 10:13 發表
A correction will come after breaking new high,, ...

You may be right as now, funds are pushing up index and then getting ready for a major correction!

作者: vodkaboy 時間: 2007-4-8 16:28

I hope this week will give u guys surprise....

PUT PUT PUT....hahaha...dreaming~~

作者: 小花至愛 時間: 2007-4-8 16:56

引用:

原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-4-8 06:59 發表

You may be right as now, funds are pushing up index and then getting ready for a major correction!

not just now,

you have been missing the +1500 raise in index by waiting unrealistically, even the index would be dropping next time, there is hard to know if it is a correction or bear,,, but last time obviously is a moderate correction,,,

[ 本帖最後由小花至愛於 2007-4-8 08:57 編輯 ]

作者: peninsula 時間: 2007-4-8 22:39

引用:

原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-4-8 16:56 發表
not just now,
you have been missing the +1500 raise in index by waiting unrealistically, even the index would be dropping next time, there is hard to know if it is a correction or bear,,, b ...

Sorry - I did not miss but I am always selling to lock-in profit!

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