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小花至愛

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1^# 大中小發表於 2007-2-15 03:13 顯示全部帖子

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Two likely scenario,,,,

1. rise 500-1000 then adjust 400-600,,, spiral breakthrough since June/July,,,

2. down to 18500-19500 zone for +10% adjustment

Bear should be far away and crash unlikely without war or epidemic,,, but really no idea whether 1 or 2 would be coming before or after CNY,,,

If tomorrow can't rise +100, then I would incline to choose option two to cut-win first,,, as swiss bank is projecting 1500 HSI adjustment, and I know they mean it,,,

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小花至愛

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2^# 大中小發表於 2007-3-6 08:13 顯示全部帖子

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原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-2-14 19:13 發表
Two likely scenario,,,,

1. rise 500-1000 then adjust 400-600,,, spiral breakthrough since June/July,,,

2. down to 18500-19500 zone for +10% adjustment

Bear should be far away and crash unlikely without war or epidemic,,, but really no idea whether 1 or 2 would be coming before or after CNY,,,

If tomorrow can't rise +100, then I would incline to choose option two to cut-win first,,, as swiss bank is projecting 1500 HSI adjustment, and I know they mean it,,,

3 weeks ago I wrote the above, scenario 2 turned out to be correct so far,,, is 18500 the bottom of correction,,, VERY LIKELY with decent HSBC's report and +10% correction,,,,

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小花至愛

超高級用戶組

Rank: 5 Rank: 5

帖子: 283
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註冊時間: 2005-3-6

3^# 大中小發表於 2007-3-6 19:28 顯示全部帖子

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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-3-6 01:10 發表

NO. Be careful.

argument is futile,,, the market will decide,,,

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