忽然間想開這倘標題,談談一些死狗馬!

呢度所謂"狗", 係指熱狗, 係熱既死狗, 即係果d小弟認為唔得而被受公眾注目的全熱門或成半熱的眾人冷門.

以後小弟會於每個賽日, 把一些小弟覺得有姆大熱倒風險的馬, 貼在這裡, 也歡迎大家提供, 一起減低中招的可能,從而增加贏錢的機會!

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2006-12-23 11:25 AM 編輯 ]

1223熱死狗:

第一場: 無死狗馬提供.
漾漾開心 一仗成熱, 雖然是處女馬, 但輸了不到10場, 而且過往都近過, 鍾意就不鍾意的了, 只是不敢把牠列作死狗,因為畢竟上次跑得好好, 機: 中性吧

第二場: 無死狗馬提供.
因為隻隻贏得, 或者是說無隻得, 但梗有一件先過終點, 唉...

第三場: 無死狗馬提供.
全熱門 包裝大師 上次咁事, 好多人歸咎於騎稍, 但我不太同意, 要搞到匹馬咁輸,非騎師能做得到(佢要輸呢隻馬, 都唔係咁騎了), 不排除是馬匹本身的問題...有過呢個陰影,包裝大師是不值咁熱的, 但牠贏出該場, 的確是此場最高, 所以小弟不把牠列入死狗之列, 但保留致評!

第四場死狗馬 泰寶馬
貼呢隻做死狗, 要好大勇氣. 點解對一匹近績咁好的馬睇淡呢?! 論馬佢已贏了兩場,而且識跑泥地,只可惜今季用得太多, 跑了多次博了多次, 止幾次已發覺佢唔夠快, 應該係一匹1800米馬均速馬, 跑1200泥地要追好吃虧, 估計駿球及新相知等會放得好快, 佢會姍姍來遲跑個3344, 跑第2當佢贏了!
呢隻馬既死狗指數:

第五場死狗馬 南莊好運
呢隻處女馬, 上次沿途包尾,後上跑個人棄我取的第4, 輸俾前面3隻好渣的處女馬,加上頭馬熱透, 上次的賽績絕不可靠.

跑完呢個第4後, 預期下次再出, 一定成大熱, 好囉, 在沙田天晴地快下, 無前速的馬本已吃虧, 加上佢根本未證明識贏, 而家又熱, 一於搵佢做燈!
呢隻馬既死狗指數:

第六場 無死狗馬提供

第七場 無死狗馬提供
值得注意, 初出馬 新力勁, 雖然在外地跑得太多,唔似是好馬(你估咁多 水星 咩?!), 但呢系人馬有一個特性, 就係急進, 過往初出的新力x, 都是一出就博命, 而且已有多匹一出即勝的記錄,提防呢匹冷馬呀,因為大摩跟住下面幾場都好惡,這匹可能是序幕!

第八場死狗馬: 有志者
睇走勢, 呢隻有志者一定僚將來一咫中班的大長途均速馬, 天生速度高, 所以屢次跑得近但贏唔到, 但可惜已多跑, 而家1650會唔夠銳, 加上冷人騎熱馬, 呢仗好危, 估計3甲不入但會幾近!

呢隻馬既死狗指數: :moon::moon:

第九場 無死狗馬提供

第十場 無死狗馬提供

引用:

原帖由 billchan 於 2006-12-25 12:55 PM 發表
...死狗 這個課題值得長期研討 ，不能以一次論英雄，請求其兄繼續出�洁I

呢幾日南北征戰, 無睇馬之餘在博友比賽中也只是求求其其立一下就貼, 原來差點中條600元一注成40倍的Q做番冠軍...時也命也!

假如來得切, 會貼 神州六號 做死狗馬, 原因:
1. 上次巨冷跑第三, 再出成大熱是跑馬大忌, 贏得一定係一班馬,下次買未遲!

2. 神州系 喜冷惡熱, 愈冷愈要買, 熱門棄不足惜!

我現在在一間骨場,剛與一條好正的囡囡跨越06-07年(佢話拿住一支扶手棍過年感覺好好喎...)

明天睇情況應該不能趕回家寫這專欄.而家只能簡單寫一下,等我回來再詳述:

第1場死狗: 嘉嘉醒
死馬上次大冷入位,今次再出成熱,加埋細馬房加冷門騎師因素,是兵家大忌,大膽放棄!

第2場死狗:  無提供

第3場死狗: 糖果博士
呢匹一仗成名的名氣馬,愈跑落腳愈慢,上次1400已經無晒前速,今舖對手表面好渣, 又將成大熱門, 似乎又是害人居多了,其實同場有兩匹新馬, 及2號3號, 隨時隊低佢!

第4場死狗: 無提供  

第5場死狗: 無提供   

第6場死狗: 無提供
心水半冷馬睇好 7[愛好]

第7場死狗: 飛象過河
呢隻馬8捷1600, 是小弟愛駒之一, 飛佢要好大勇氣, 但總覺今季跑得太多, 而且三W所贏對手其實好渣(後兩場愈跑對手愈差,贏了形勢), 今次會是次熱, 甚至大熱, 估計佢只會跑3344, 贏唔到了!  

第8場死狗: 無提供
心水馬是13[好輝煌]

第9場死狗: 熊中雄
跑左幾場,似乎愈跑愈差,明天將會是第二三熱門,有創惑及精靈戰駒已夠熱了,唔會三大熱門齊齊在前四名吧,估計熱倒會係呢件,冷門加入 14[駿馬繽紛]

第10場死狗: 無, 但覺得隻牛精財星連博兩次都短距離落敗,恐怕耗力太多,明天又熱到飛起(估計到此告仔已贏了兩三場), 棄不足惜吧!

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-1-1 02:05 AM 編輯 ]

引用:

原帖由 求其 於 2007-1-1 01:55 AM 發表
我現在在一間骨場,剛與一條好正的囡囡跨越06-07年(佢話拿住一支扶手棍過年感覺好好喎...)

明天睇情況應該不能趕回家寫這專欄.而家只能簡單寫一下,等我回來再詳述:

第1場死狗: 嘉嘉醒
死馬上次大冷入位, ...

今次提供的幾隻死狗馬, 除了一件熊中雄跑個無威脅的第二之外,全數無影, 唔錯唔錯!

070107 熱死狗
小弟在大陸,不知賠率,上榜的熱死狗是靠估而已,現場是否未知o既!

第一場死狗: 無提供
估計今場大熱次熱是好當家及凱旋煌,前者唔叻但泥地好,今場應該坐位望贏,凱旋煌擅變化地及泥地,亦是爭勝要角...近排頭場例爆,不過今次應該唔會掛!

第二場死狗: 金錢豹
呢d後上甚勁跑第三的大冷門,最受初級賭馬或賭極都仲係初級馬迷的歡迎,但其實好多呢d馬,之所以入位係人棄我取的,上場頭馬原來好勁,再出再輕鬆取勝,跑第4的再出險勝,formline本來好強,可惜再睇睇該場,除了頭馬,4馬,5馬,6馬之外,2馬及7名或以下馬原來是從不識贏或老殘病弱之流,今場會成公眾注視馬,贏出當抽水,估計今次唔得(可能呢世都唔得而出局)

第三場死狗: 無提供

第四場死狗: 無提供

第五場死狗: 無提供
必永勝 幕後鬥志鼎盛, 所養馬匹逢出必拚,最佳例子是 必全勝 及 必易勝...亦由此可知, 假如此系列馬匹屢拚不贏的話,這馬一定係垃圾,因為贏得既早已贏了...這匹必永勝博來博去都贏唔到而近,情況與隻 醉激 一樣. 博極唔得=水馬...本想把之上榜,但知道許先生鬥志十足,輸都會好近,只對此駒有戒心,但不敢睇死,但絕不能作重心,上次對住隻初起夾生吞的永旺財都贏唔到, 今次也許都係咁上下!

第六場死狗: 無提供
隻隻都得,無心水,何況搵隻死狗出黎?!

第七場死狗: 無提供
精英班輪住贏,今次可能係 帝聖名駒 了...始終燦惑不是短途馬,盛年時憑質更食,實際上應跑1400-1600, 今場並不睇好,成熱棄不足惜!

第八場死狗: 無提供
應該係翱感大熱,此駒識贏後一直表現穩定,上次輸W保P,但是大賽日P馬, 仍不能捨棄, 今次應可保住一個2233,好彩應贏...韋冸已靜了一排,睇黎明天會有好表現!

第九場死狗: 無提供
全日最亂賽事, 除了隻3[甜在心頭], 及6[浦紅之友]之外,其他隻隻都可以贏出的! 睇下開D乜野Q呢? 屎渠Q或火炭Q都可能呀!

第十場死狗: 無提供
開心 同 陽光 撐起成個彩池,一齊唔係度一定爆屎渠, 全日最亂果場係第9場, 而第8場估計會係熱門, 假如第9場都唔爆, 慎防第10場兩大熱門齊釘開條屎渠Q!

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-1-6 10:40 PM 編輯 ]

引用:

原帖由 HJ2127_ATR1 於 2007-1-6 10:42 PM 發表


而家都有 12 倍，都唔係好熱，叫凍狗差唔多。　

韋達 騎明天頂多6-7倍, 唔會太冷的了!

引用:

原帖由 求其 於 2007-1-6 10:36 PM 發表
070107 熱死狗
小弟在大陸,不知賠率,上榜的熱死狗是靠估而已,現場是否未知o既!

第一場死狗: 無提供
估計今場大熱次熱是好當家及凱旋煌,前者唔叻但泥地好,今場應該坐位望贏,凱旋煌擅變化地及泥地,亦是爭勝要角 ...

先貼死呢隻好多初階馬迷會hou的死馬"金錢豹"先...真的,後上第三四既冷馬,真係好多人會捕風捉影,但其實,得既又有幾何?!

引用:

原帖由 求其 於 2007-1-6 10:36 PM 發表
070107 熱死狗
第五場死狗: 無提供
必永勝 幕後鬥志鼎盛, 所養馬匹逢出必拚,最佳例子是 必全勝 及 必易勝...亦由此可知, 假如此系列馬匹屢拚不贏的話,這馬一定係垃圾,因為贏得既早已贏了...這匹必永勝博來博去都贏唔到而近,情況與隻 醉激 一樣. 博極唔得=水馬...本想把之上榜,但知道許先生鬥志十足,輸都會好近,只對此駒有戒心,但不敢睇死,但絕不能作重心,上次對住隻初起夾生吞的永旺財都贏唔到, 今次也許都係咁上下!
...

一如所料,許先生鬥志十足,佢名下拚極唔得的馬,一定係水馬,呢隻必永勝今場已經跑晒,近而不勝,連place都無埋,睇黎應該退役了...(唔好害許先生及公眾馬迷喇,許先生可以慳番d養馬費養過第二隻,馬迷就輸少一點錢...)

引用:

原帖由 KMY89 於 2007-1-7 05:28 PM 發表
富勁、正隆、無敵神駒、有本有利、新馬威

估佢無，佢又Win 3 隻 ...

貼熱門馬死風險好大,失敗率當然也大,惺中少兩三隻熱門損失唔大,避開d死火大熱意義就大囉,因為咁即係=中冷門的機會提升了!

1月14賽日熱死狗提供(歡迎加入閣下心水死狗,或作出評論)

第一場 熱死狗: 金生麗水
上次跑個全無威脅的第4,今場會引來一d飛(估計會由幾十倍變10倍上下), 呢隻馬尚算質新,但看過佢多次競賽,肯定係渣馬,今次會成眾人冷門而有點飛,貼佢不入頭三名!(最多跑個4455)

第二場 熱死狗: 連冠精英
理據與上場相若,但信心指數不夠第一場大,原因: 成場無乜馬穩陣,可以講隻隻都係死狗

第三場 熱死狗: 無提供

第四場 熱死狗: 無提供

第五場 熱死狗: 無提供

第六場 熱死狗: 好爽 及 凱風
呢隻馬次次跑都近而贏唔到,可能是命格如此,未轉運之前而佢又會有飛(估計是4-6倍之間),棄不足惜!
至於 凱風, 上次是有飛的冷門,後追輸俾隻唔係好叻但上伊穩贏的 乖巧 接近兩馬位, 加上馬房當天發威大豐收(贏 有景 果日), 睇黎好飽,今次捩個弱配,賠率得番4-6倍,粗俗講句: 屌唔過!


第七場 熱死狗: (想提出 旺國手 既)
本來想把 旺國手 上榜,但都係唔敢,因為知道隻馬好高質,肯定仲有好多分在手,只是呢一場我有點擔心佢仲未夠,上次個鏡頭唔係盲既都睇到犀利,但假如真的犀利,已經贏了,慎防今次又係後上甚勁(甚至無位上)而最後飲恨2233,呢隻熱過火屎的馬今次W真係唔值博,不如等佢贏左升班至買喇,贏得就有排贏,而且會更好分添!

第八場 熱死狗: 甜心
上仗久休初出第四,本來不錯,但看走勢,似乎個第四是捱到,加上john size個馬房呢季肯定開小差,完全唔值得信賴,今次估計是第3熱門,大膽貼佢贏唔到,最多跑個3344

第九場 熱死狗: 無提供

第十場 熱死狗: 無提供

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-1-13 11:08 AM 編輯 ]

上日提出的死狗,亦算有所交代, 因為一早睇死左幾隻幾多公眾馬迷睇好及追捧的半熱馬 凱風, 好爽 及 甜心, 及一d公眾冷門死馬 連冠精英 及 金生麗水...

引用:

原帖由 利記 於 2007-1-18 11:21 AM 發表

1 w 1 P喎

貼熱死狗的難度及風險好大,繼績努力吧!

引用:

原帖由 KMY89 於 2007-1-20 11:46 AM 發表


今日沈爺手馬好勁... 勝利鑽石係變倍器

beacause沈爺手馬好勁, 勝利鑽石lost again, it further proves that 勝利鑽石 is a rubbish

Dead hot dogs of meeting on 7/2/07:

Race 1: 无提供
(it's hard to find a rubbish from a pile of rubbbish...)

Race 2: 勝利鑽石
A horse longing for a winner repeatedly and having failed repeatedly showing it‘s not a good horse （at the present rating），I guess it will run 3-6 and couldn’t win

Race 3：多多昇
It‘s a quite promising horse that requires good jockey to get good performance。 Coetzee won it and then K T Yeung could no longer win again last time。 I think it could readily get ranking of 2-4 but could not win。

Race 4：搶首
A horse always attracts betting money but hardly get into Quinella...I think it will lose Q again and run into 3-6 (attracts money for next meeting, it's a useless horse for those who bets on it, but it's useful for me because it renders me chance of betting on other cold horses in the same race)

Race 5: 錢途光明
It's very dangerous to get it on the list, the reasons I don't buy him good chance are:
1. Staple Lui seldom has multi-winners;
2. overnight Q odds of it seems to be too high implies there're some danger of him of losing the first 2 ranking;
3. The competitors are not tofu, especially no 3 and 5...

I think it may lose 1,2,3, just like 山东好马

Race 6: 无提供

Race 7: 加州巔峰
A virgin is only good for man but not horse gamblers��   

Race 8: 金剛小子
It ran 100% in the last race but failed to get into Q, I donlt think it would run a worst race tomorrow.

引用:

原帖由 求其 於 2007-2-6 23:03 發表
Dead hot dogs of meeting on 7/2/07:

Race 1: 无提供
(it's hard to find a rubbish from a pile of rubbbish...)

Race 2: 勝利鑽石
A horse longing for a winner repeatedly and having fail ...

I've successfully picked 2 死狗 in race2 and 3. I think it's valuable because they failed to get even a place!

引用:

原帖由 Air Supply 於 2007-2-7 20:24 發表


暫時跑咗三場批屎咗兩隻, 成績不俗~

I know that putting no4 of Race 5 on list is very dangerous, cos it's a horse that has proved its winning ability. For 12 of Race 8, I don't feel ashamed, since the %failure of this kind of horse is relatively high indeed

10/2/07 meeting 死狗:

Race 1: 无提供

Race 2: 无提供

Race 3: 駔驍之首
It's a virgin horse who's never got a place. Wearing 133lb running on a fast track is a hard task for a virgin. I do feel that tomorrow he will run better than ever, but based on the principle "never bet on a virgin when it's odds on favourite", I put him on list! (I guess he will run in the first 5 but couldn't win)

Race 4:
It's a horse drawing attention form the public as well as the insiders, bbut he's run several races that made them disappointed. I think it's not a good horse and not worth being bet on especially when he's one of the favourite horses.

Race 5: 再度豪情
After he got a first runner up in last race, I expect he will become the odds on favourite in the coming race. Draw 13 on the fast track and track B2 diminishes his chance indeed, I don't think it's a water horse but not worth being bet on win!

Race 6: 无提供
寶樹友盈 will drwa on the eye-sight on it, but I'm still worry about its failed to win ( 寶樹series always win at odds on favourite, but also being out of the first 4 when it's an odds on favourite). Beware of the 魔術師 which is a horse with the best performance when fresh.

Race 7: 无提供

Race 8: 小武士
It's a miler and his trying the 1800m is reasonable, but his draw is now 14, and there're 2 leading horses at Draw 13 (一定好 ) and Draw11(全勝福星). This renders him barrier of getting to inner track or he should decipate a lot of strength before he could make it. I think he will lead out in the last 400 but might be overtaken at the last 100 by some horses running from behind (since the pace of the race would be very fast which benefits the horses from behind, such as 奮鬥心, 詩情畫意, 祝福, 確叻寶, 領闖...)

Race 9: 无提供

Race 10: 旺國手
It's very dangerous for me to put it on list, since it may be the apple of the day of many peoples for tomorrow meeting. The reason I put it on list:
1. Too hot, not worth being bet on (there're quitemany confrontators present, like no1,2,3,5,13 which are also have good chance to win)
2. The race he's just won was not a high standard race, cos the first runner up was 大家平安 and the second runner up was 潍坊. 大家平安 might not be a very good horse since he's just lost to 叫关领 which is only an ordinary Class 4 horse for the time being. 潍坊 is even a virgin and might be a rubbish. Although it's admirable for 旺國手 who's wearing 133lb to beat them, I still think it's dangerous to bet on him to win.
3. "國手"series always win at good odds.

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-10 01:48 編輯 ]

Thank you very much!

恭喜發財
萬事勝意
龍馬精神
豬年順景

引用:

原帖由 billchan 於 2007-2-17 16:13 發表
....仲要恭喜埋你在此題內，提個隻死個隻！（好似有 d 大吉利是添！）

承你贵言!

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-19 19:03 編輯 ]

20/2/07 meeting 死狗:

Race 1: 新石磨藍
A declining horse being ridden by a cold person...Beware of its running a 44-55 again.

Race 2: 千萬福星
The race he won was not a key race in which he was a cold horse. After having a delicious meal last time but being added with 8 points, the horse from the "likes cold and hates hot 千萬series" may pobably give us a frig-up race...I guess he would come back at 3-6 on tomorrow meeting.

Race 3:  玉蜻蜓
He would be among the hot horses in this race. I think he is no longer improving if he keeps on running this distance at present rating. Wearing 132lb is also a hard task for him. Coming back at 2-4 i possible but could not win tomorrow !

Race 4: 無提供

Race 5: 無提供

Race 6: 無提供

Race 7: 再戰群雄
Though the horse owner is a good owner whose horses always run the best in most races, the present rating of 再戰群雄 is too high for him to win again. I think he will come back out of the first 3 positions.

Race 8: 爆炸
Second start syndrome plus too many withdrawn horses has the Staple, I put him on list!

Race 9: 無提供

Race 10: 牛精財星
He may be the second hottest horse in this race (the odds on favourite should be 夢幻飛駒), I don;t think he's a good horse after observing the two races he's run. As 夢幻飛駒 is an unbeaten horse, it is still very superb and likely to win again, the first runner-up may seldom be the second hottest horse by custom, I put 牛精財星 on list!

Hope you all have good return tomorrow!

引用:

原帖由 billchan 於 2007-2-20 01:23 發表


可以慳番 X 2

千萬福星 was not aimng at the Q as seen in the course of racing, but the horses 3 and 13 (and the rest) were too bad that 千萬福星 could not acchieve “幕后有奖金，马迷無奖品”了

John Moore 單日轉向, he got a winner by Able Win, but 蘇保羅 is quite promising this day: all his horses were dead dog, even the odds-on-favourite 夢幻飛軀...

As I've said, 牛精財星 is not a good horse: "carring a lot of 飛 all his races, coming close but couldn't win" shows that he is a "名大實力小" 馬

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-20 20:31 編輯 ]

周三阿方手马好劲，但唔会出亲场场赢o架！

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-26 15:15 編輯 ]

28/2/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 無提供
I think 賽馬精神 could not win as usual (a virgin is still a virgin), but he may get a 2233 as the horses are very 水 this time.

Race 2: 川滙主帥
No idea on his ability, just worry about he may 走様

Race 3:果然好
Odds at 2.5 is not quite worthy, as he is not a good horse and seems no longer to have any advancement as seen in these races. I think he will lead into the last 200 but may be overtaken by some horses form the back and finally get a 2-6 position

Race 4: 搶首
A rubbish horse that attracts betting money all the time, 3-6 again la

Race 5: 無提供

Race 6: 無提供

Race 7: 無提供

Race 8: 無提供