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【丹尼斯基金】

Sorry! I have a suggestion:

Don't always bet on 3x4, it's a wasteful way of betting football!

Reason: the odds in football seldom exceeds 4 to 1 (if you are beeting on 亚洲盘, the odds are 1.75-2)

If the 3 matches you've selected are all on your side of bet, then all your 4 trials are successful, but if one of them is failed, then there's only 1注 left, in other words 75% of your bet are lost!!!)

Suppose the odds of the 3 matches are all 2 to 1, if you bet a 3x1 instead of 3x4, the return would be 8 (ie if $50 for that 3x1, you could get $400 back)

If you bet on a 3x4 for the same case, you get back $1,000.

If you are unlucky that one match has lost, then you get back $200(is your betting money already), if the odds of one of the matches is less than 2.0, you lose also!

I don't think buying "all-up" is a good pratice in football gambling (it's not the same as horse racing in which the odds are much higher then)

Conclusion: The risk is not worth if you bet 3x4 when compared to 3x1

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-2-22 17:05 編輯 ]
我個筆名叫求其, 只想在現實生活以外的空間裡, 輕輕鬆鬆, 求求其其咁過, 以解來自日常生活的壓力!

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引用:
原帖由 redhorse 於 2007-2-22 19:17 發表
求其兄,我對得佢多,知道巴士兄心思,首先佢選擇買讓球平手,希望就算唔羸都打和,其次是輸了一場還有兩場,望追番多少,冇乜上落,如果是二串一,或三串一,太搏殺格,唔係巴士兄波路,佢係寓娛樂於賭博,就算桑拿都喜歡開細 ...
I do know his mind regarding gambling too: (play safe and always bet on odds on favourite Q/QP, may think odds=chance...)

In the world of gambling, odds does not duly reflects chance, though it's hardly controlled by the punters themselves.

But we are able to control the risk! All-up is a way of gambling that enhances risk unnecessarily!

Risk does not have any relationship with the betting money, but it's related to the number of 關 one need to pass! For example, if 3 matches with odds =2 to 1, if one wants to have a benefit of $400 from these 3 matches, one can either bet on any one match with betting money of $200, or a 3x1 at $50, or three 2x1 at $100 per each. If any one match is lost, 3x1 is lost too, one totally lost but the loss is only $50. If he bet on either one match, one has 2/3 chance to win and 1/3 chance to lose. If one uses the third model, one  has 1/3 chance to win and 2/3 chance to lose.

A 3x4 is a combination of 3x1 and three 2x1, if any one match is lost, 75% of the betting money is written off!

If we want to play safe, don't gamble!
If we gamble, we should control the risk, or attain the maximum benefit at a certain level of risk (The worst is to increase the risk without increasing the benefit! 风险高而利润不相应高是犯不著的!)


相關搜索目錄: 賭博 娛樂
我個筆名叫求其, 只想在現實生活以外的空間裡, 輕輕鬆鬆, 求求其其咁過, 以解來自日常生活的壓力!

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引用:
原帖由 HJ2127_ATR1 於 2007-2-23 09:45 發表
2007 年 2 月 22 日 丹尼斯基金第 23 次(2 月份第 11 次)格價匯報:  
今次買兩條飛都係每條中一關,岩岩冇得收。
到了 V-shaped rebound 的时候没有? 到的话建议散户持有!
我個筆名叫求其, 只想在現實生活以外的空間裡, 輕輕鬆鬆, 求求其其咁過, 以解來自日常生活的壓力!

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引用:
原帖由 HJ2127_ATR1 於 2007-2-23 18:08 發表
有呢隻長線基金,有排玩! 
要反弹一下嘛,投资者先有信心长期持有嘛!
我個筆名叫求其, 只想在現實生活以外的空間裡, 輕輕鬆鬆, 求求其其咁過, 以解來自日常生活的壓力!

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