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原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-10 18:05 發表

Looking at the trend and worldwide situation, I will wait till below $28.

When it really goes down to $28, I will buy some more!

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-9 22:36 發表



Can over $40 before the end of this year.  
Life insurance only has 2% market in China so far, still have a lot of spaces to growth times X times next several yrs; and 2628 has been taking o ...

2628 has been my major income for the past 3 years. Bit I must be realistic. Now $30. If $100 by 2009, it has to rise 90% in 2008 and another 90% in 2009. That's rather remote. Bearing in mind it only rise from $28 in Jan2007 to $34 (year high) this year.

2628 will continue to be a strong stock in the coming 3-5 years. But if it could reach $45 by mid 2009 and $50-60by mid 2009 I would be very satisfy.

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原帖由 ytt 於 2007-8-11 17:38 發表


2628 has been my major income for the past 3 years. Bit I must be realistic. Now $30. If $100 by 2009, it has to rise 90% in 2008 and another 90% in 2009. That's rather remote. Bearing in mind  ...

typing error
$45 by mid 2008

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Originally posted by ytt at 2007-8-11 17:40


typing error
$45 by mid 2008

I understood what you meant by it.
But there are many unexpected factors have not been counted yet such as developing rural area over China, big return for investment in Shangahi market.  Bought so much shares at IPO.
And central govt is really taking care of insurance sector.  % of growing in China.

Maybe I am over confident on 2628 for $100.  Of course, $60 is also very good for us, nobody will complain on it, at least double up the price from friday closed

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-10 20:32 發表
I don't know whether it will drop below 28 or not.
If it does, can buy more and more for sure

There is every chance if HSI does move to 20,000.

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Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-12 15:34

There is every chance if HSI does move to 20,000.

If HSI really dropped to 20000, there will be a chance for sure

index under 20000 seems quite unlikely
but 2628 $28 quite likely
in general believe the biggest market drop has not come yet

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Originally posted by ytt at 2007-8-13 01:24
index under 20000 seems quite unlikely
but 2628 $28 quite likely
in general believe the biggest market drop has not come yet

I believe HSI will probably reach 21000 level.  If nothing more bad news coming, it maybe a bottom line of this correction; otherwise, 20000 will be the strongest level to support this bull market.

I agreed 2628 can be possible to see at 28, if HSI going down more.  but 2318 will announce earning report on this thursday and 2628 will announce at the end of Aug.  Those are the factors to support insurance sector.  Don't forget QDII will execute at the end of Aug or beginning of Sept.

For long hold, it really doesn't matter whether we buy at 28, 29, or 30, right

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原帖由 ytt 於 2007-8-13 01:24 發表
index under 20000 seems quite unlikely
but 2628 $28 quite likely
in general believe the biggest market drop has not come yet

I have opposite view. I believe 20,000 can be reached this year.

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Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-13 12:01

I have opposite view. I believe 20,000 can be reached this year.

I don't know, may or maybe not; it depends on the actual facts and confident you have.  

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-13 13:11 發表
I don't know, may or maybe not; it depends on the actual facts and confident you have.  

So definitely NO confidence.

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Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-13 13:58

So definitely NO confidence.

I have subjective point on the market, still confident 21000 is the botton line for HSI.  But also need to understand well on the real situation, not just "HOPE"

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原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-13 21:09 發表
I have subjective point on the market, still confident 21000 is the botton line for HSI.  But also need to understand well on the real situation, not just "HOPE"

How wrong!