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本人對後市的看法

引用:
原帖由 leoxi 於 2007-5-31 01:18 發表
One of the reasons is to reduce the activities of day-traders.  It also sends a signal to indvidual investors about the risk involved in the China market - gov't policies can be implemented ove ...
Maybe more policies to come.

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Well, get back to above 50MA.... some consolidation around 20400-20600 is needed, and then going up is VERY LIKELY in June and July....

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什麽东西不明朗?可否说明一下。

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引用:
原帖由 fwu39 於 2007-5-31 02:59 發表
什麽东西不明朗?可否说明一下。
Some factors are gone already,,,, Mainland measure to cool down stock,,, US growth forecast and property market,,,

Around 21000, I advise shorting and cutting win (then expecting to test 150 MA at around 19500), but after careful observation and when HSI dropped near 50MA 203xx, my current suggestion is to collect and wait for +23000....

OVER

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引用:
原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-5-31 11:47 發表
Some factors are gone already,,,, Mainland measure to cool down stock,,, US growth forecast and property market,,,
Around 21000, I advise shorting and cutting win (then expecting to test 150 ...
Small caps moving again today!

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history told us that stamp duty was really effective for china stock market

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引用:
原帖由 mmr.ren 於 2007-5-31 15:15 發表
history told us that stamp duty was really effective for china stock market
Not for HK's H stocks and small caps. Most moved up strongly today after adjustments yesterday.

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Well, today's market is even stronger than my expectation,,,

Next week it is very likely for HSI to get back to 20-day MA at 207xx after consolidation between 20-day MA and 50-day MA....

Now the crucial issue is for A-share to consolidate and not madly going up to invite more stringent central control....

My 6 month HSI target is 23000-25000.... now tighten your seat-belt and be prepared for another big bull in JUNE and JULY...

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引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-5-31 16:22 發表

Not for HK's H stocks and small caps. Most moved up strongly today after adjustments yesterday.
bingo....another big harvest today~!!

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提示: 作者被禁止或刪除 內容自動屏蔽

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引用:
原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-5-31 08:36 發表
尋入買入, 今日就賺, 聽日再加注
yes, now already back to 10MA,,, it will test historical high within a couple of days and will stay in higher trading range in mid-June,,,, probably around 21000-22000,,,

OVER

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引用:
原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-6-4 11:08 發表
yes, now already back to 10MA,,, it will test historical high within a couple of days and will stay in higher trading range in mid-June,,,, probably around 21000-22000,,,
OVER
Unless China gives a surprise move!

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unless it goes back to 4200 or down to below 3200,,, otherwise quite "healthy" & positive

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上证指数  3,719 -282.08 (-7.05%)

沪深300 3,563 -240.50 (-6.32%

深证成指 11,745 -687.38 (-5.53%)

Good correction.... hopefully the trading range for 2 main indices to be around 3400 - 4000 would be good for us....

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Thanks.......................

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引用:
原帖由 fwu39 於 2007-6-4 15:27 發表
Thanks.......................

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引用:
原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-6-4 03:20 發表
上证指数  3,719 -282.08 (-7.05%)

沪深300 3,563 -240.50 (-6.32%

深证成指 11,745 -687.38 (-5.53%)

Good correction.... hopefully the trading range for 2 main indice ...
well, decent support around 3400-3500 in the two indices,,,, it is very good for HK stocks...

My expected HSI trading range in mid-June is 21000-22000, now let see if this week can stand firm above 21000 or not...

TOP

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引用:
原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-6-5 16:22 發表
今日上午趁低買入, 點知一個下午就有得賺, 真係估佢唔到

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引用:
原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-6-5 16:22 發表
今日上午趁低買入, 點知一個下午就有得賺, 真係估佢唔到
Congratulations but it could continue to fall. You are "lucky"!

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well, yesterday noon I did seriously contemplate on buying 2823, as a rally is on the way, was just a click away to win big...

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Latest remark:

This time going up to 21000 HSI won't fall down, because

1. We only need HSBC to stay at +146 and 941 at +74 to reach 21000,,, both stocks have been consolidating at the current level for 1-2 month and reaching a high trading range is just a matter of time....

2. 6 Chinese banking stocks have been dropping 3-10% from recent high,,, back to mid-May's level would be enough to push up another +200

3. Local interest rate would probably remain stable despite rumour about possible raise,,, property stocks still have room for 5% increase,,,

4. Many industrial stocks have decent p/e and performance, utility stocks are also consolidating for numerous months...

5. Retailing stocks and "internal consumption need" is another area for possible rocketing

My expected mid-June trading range to be 21000-22000....

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好分析, 希望成你貴言!

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引用:
原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-6-6 10:25 發表
well, yesterday noon I did seriously contemplate on buying 2823, as a rally is on the way, was just a click away to win big...
I bought #386, #728 and #857 for longer term.

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引用:
原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-6-6 10:53 發表
Latest remark:
This time going up to 21000 HSI won't fall down.
Thanks. Really that way?

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