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本人對後市的看法

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引用:
原帖由 edison1610 於 2007-6-18 19:06 發表
今日臨收時已經賣哂, 星期三個市一定跌, 快o的走啦
Why??

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引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-6-19 13:01 發表

Why??
Some people like to buy and sell with their expected trading range, others like to hold for longer term for higher gain,,,,

Chinese banking stocks should be searching for new high, if so, then trading range strategy may turn out to be a poor one,,,

Let see if 3988 can go up to +4.2 or not this month,,, and test 4.6 in the third quarter.....

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3988 go go go go go go go!!!

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Today's highest $4.08, now $4.03. I bought at $3,50 couple of months ago.

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原帖由 mmr.ren 於 2007-6-20 10:51 發表
3988 go go go go go go go!!!
Plus #2626!

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3988 is in my profolio too but not a major favourite comparing to other china banks.

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3988 and 1398 are turtles that walk slowly but with assurance. There're stocks for retirement
There's no point to mind their short term fluctuation

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原帖由 ytt 於 2007-6-21 16:24 發表
3988 and 1398 are turtles that walk slowly but with assurance. There're stocks for retirement. There's no point to mind their short term fluctuation
Agreed. Some are defensive stocks and they will fall less in a bear market too.

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People here seem less talk about subscirption of IPOs as before.

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原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-6-19 16:26 發表
Some people like to buy and sell with their expected trading range, others like to hold for longer term for higher gain,,,,

Chinese banking stocks should be searching for new high, if so, then trading range strategy may turn out to be a poor one,,,

Let see if 3988 can go up to +4.2 or not this month,,, and test 4.6 in the third quarter.....  
My +90K shares of 3988 are doing fine, these few days I sold 1/4 to take some profit and let the rest run towards my third quarter target price... +4.6

P.S. I sold a few lots of HSBC 2-3 months ago at 145.x and bought +90 lots of 3988 @ 3.7x-3.9x, it turned out to be a VERY correct decision....

[ 本帖最後由 小花至愛 於 2007-7-12 00:00 編輯 ]

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I allways tell my friends
If you buy stock don't buy HSBC
but if you put your money in a savings account then  buy HSBC instead
for the rest time of this year, each time that's bad news about subprime mortgage in US,' HSBC will fall

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原帖由 eatallcheesecak 於 2007-6-22 19:20 發表
People here seem less talk about subscirption of IPOs as before.
Nothing much to say!

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原帖由 ytt 於 2007-7-12 20:01 發表
I allways tell my friends
If you buy stock don't buy HSBC
but if you put your money in a savings account then  buy HSBC instead
for the rest time of this year, each time that's bad news about su ...
Subprime is a big issue in the short run, but it's not an issue that will hinder HSBC in the long run.

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引用:
原帖由 leoxi 於 2007-7-13 00:18 發表


Subprime is a big issue in the short run, but it's not an issue that will hinder HSBC in the long run.
agree
agree
but how long is a long run
to wait for a long run may be a waste of opportunity cost at a time when the monthly fluctuation of HSI is some 1000-2000 points ?

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原帖由 ytt 於 2007-7-13 15:10 發表
but how long is a long run
to wait for a long run may be a waste of opportunity cost at a time when the monthly fluctuation of HSI is some 1000-2000 points ?
On the whole, the JPY carry trade situation will affect the market somewhat, just like in Feb./March this year. Sept. will see the result as Japan's financial year will be at half-way point.

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I turned all stocks into cash today!! Sold in May,..Now, go away !!

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原帖由 yj0430 於 2007-7-18 10:58 發表
I turned all stocks into cash today!! Sold in May,..Now, go away !!
if china do not introduce extraordinarily harsh controlling measures by this week, stock may rise again. Even if + 0.27 interest rates only may be a  good news.

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原帖由 yj0430 於 2007-7-18 10:58 發表
I turned all stocks into cash today!! Sold in May,..Now, go away !!
I am keeping some.

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I sold 40% stocks yesterday morning and bought 20% afternoon,,, now holding <70% stock...

Market is consolidating above 10MA,,, but 10MA is moving up, now 228xx,,,, tomorrow will be near 22900,,,

If index dropped below 10MA, first sign to be alert
If index dropped below 20MA and 10MA cross 20MA,,, then better just keep defensive stocks,,,

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原帖由 小花至愛 於 2007-7-19 12:23 發表
I sold 40% stocks yesterday morning and bought 20% afternoon,,, now holding <70% stock...
Market is consolidating above 10MA,,, but 10MA is moving up, now 228xx,,,, tomorrow will be near 2290 ...
Take the money and RUN? I prefer to be in the race!

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牛市得太勁,隨時跌穿底!

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I never look at technical analysis.,....too bull shit....
I will continue to hold for a while..... too difficult to predict, but prepare for 20% lost from the peak then run away....

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原帖由 大冒險家 於 2007-7-30 11:12 發表
I never look at technical analysis.,....too bull shit....
I will continue to hold for a while..... too difficult to predict, but prepare for 20% lost from the peak then run away....
So what stocks do u hold?

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引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-7-14 17:48 發表

On the whole, the JPY carry trade situation will affect the market somewhat, just like in Feb./March this year. Sept. will see the result as Japan's financial year will be at half-way point.: ...
you warn us 2 weeks in advance very accurate prediction

this time the carry\trade unwinding seems less in scale comparing with that in March

you think the unwinding is about to finish, and srock rise again
or otherwise

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