明晚有兩隻大冷狗要注意

Race 4 - 光速 (59倍)
Race 7 - 業精於勤 (12倍)



[ 本帖最後由 KMY89 於 2007-3-14 01:28 編輯 ]

引用:

原帖由 KMY89 於 2007-3-14 00:26 發表
如果有個topic係每日冷狗，我會盡力提供，因為我最喜歡捉冷狗。

上周末有爪皇就不怕捉不到家福了。

好的，捉到大冷狗跟捉到热死狗在赌钱的意义上是同样重要！

咁我都係度寫隻冷狗先，第二場國家富強。

有20倍woh 留意下先

3月14日死狗 :

第4場 3.心歡暢

原因 : 旺角竹館剛剛o黎料 , 叫買 1,2,4

以上內容, 只供參考

引用:

原帖由 happycamel 於 14-3-2007 18:17 發表
有20倍woh 留意下先

哀左啦，原來係隻京城之威。　

As I couldn't see the starter and somebody was accompanying me yesterday afternoon, I hadn't posted the 每日死狗 for yesterdy's meeting...

If I had done it, I would have surely posted 有志者 as one of the 热死狗. 有志者 may always be on my list if he keeps on participating distance below 1800m. I think he is a Class 3 horse whose best distances should be over 2000m, and his best way for him should be leading in front of the huddles.
My opinion: His capacity（气量）has not yet been trained up but 天生速度 is higher than that of the horses in the same rating group, therefore he can always lead in front the hudde, come back at the front huddle but couldn't win. Hopefully he could catch up in time, otherwise he might turn into a piece of pedegree (dog cake) before he get his virgin win.

14/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 無提供

Race 2: 無提供

Race 3: 工兵
I anticipate it will become the second to third hottest horse ultimately. It is a horse who hasn't proved himself any ability of winning a race, but will always attract large amount of betting money.

Race 4: 威勁多
Just like 威成，长躯，绿色显男，it's an expensive horse who proves that money is not neccesary related to quality/ability. I anticipate it will become the odds on favourite in this race, but still come back at most 3344 again!

Race 5: 無提供

Race 6: 無提供

Race 7: 無提供

Race 8: withdrawn
I'd put 爆炸 on list, as I anticipate tomorrow might be a rainy day and the going might be yielding to soft which is benefitial to 爆炸. I unlist him but will not bet on him still. I do think he wouldn't perform very good tomorrow. A derby winner should be well prepared since the beginning of the season, therefore I don't think his staple has been well preparing for it.

Race 9: 無提供

Race 10: 牛精財星
It's not a good horse, but it has become a 名气马 like 糖果博士 whose 名气 has overtaken his racing ability. Put him on list again!

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-17 14:54 編輯 ]

工兵7.7倍、威勁多7倍 ... 死唔死狗都唔多人買 wor ...

爆炸會很大機會、牛精財星是打吡後備，能入選的多數係好馬。

KMY 評大熱死狗

Race 5 - 御名燈 - 上次跑盡僅贏 Tiger Ridge，今次增程對手強，Place 都無。

Race 6 - 富士晨曦 - 班分已盡，Place 都無。

Race 8 - 俊歡騰 - 舊年今日同小武士燒死，曾底出糖果 ... 幕後鬥志成疑，巫生舊年點跑打吡 ?


冷狗：

馬主叻(9.2倍) 、 同一夢想 (10倍)

For Brother KMY 評大熱死狗, my opinion:

Race 5 - 御名燈 is improving much, the only thing to worry about is the 幕后鬥志。名燈series is always hard to predict!

Race 6 - 富士晨曦 - 班分已盡，Place 都無。
Agree and support!

Race 8 - 俊歡騰 - he's aminig at becoming a 配种马 with higher 配种价. I'm just worry about the turf being yielding which may affect its performance(and enhance that of Staney Ho's horse, otherwise he would win


冷狗：
馬主叻(9.2倍) 、 同一夢想 (10倍)

I think 馬主叻 could at most get a 3344, 同一夢想 will come back at position out of the first three!

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-18 14:10 編輯 ]

引用:

原帖由 求其 於 2007-3-18 06:07 發表

He's aminig at becoming a 配种马 with higher 配种价. I'm just worry about the turf being yielding which may affect its performance(and enhance that of Staney Ho's horse, otherwise he would  ...

Big fish said Stanley paid $500,000 to the jockey for ride one race, and use his private jet ...

Don't worry, brother, Stanley is  82 years old already, his last chance this time.

冷狗：
馬主叻(9.2倍) 、 同一夢想 (10倍)

I think 馬主叻 could at most get a 3344, 同一夢想 will come back at position out of the first three!

I have confident in these 2 horse, and don't think 同一夢想 will come back at position out of the first three.

引用:

原帖由 KMY89 於 2007-3-18 14:11 發表


Big fish said Stanley paid $500,000 to the jockey for ride one race, and use his private jet ...

Don't worry, brother, Stanley is  82 years old already, his last chance this time.

Maybe a rainy day would help him finish his dream. I wouldn't bet on this race anyway.

引用:

原帖由 求其 於 2007-3-15 23:15 發表
14/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 4: 威勁多
Just like 威成，长躯，绿色显男，it's an expensive horse who proves that money is not neccesary related to quality/ability. I anticipate it will become the odds on favourite in this race, but still come back at most 3344 again!

又威成又绿色显男，你都好串喎!

隻果然好由KMY同细摩去布吉玩之後嗰日出到家下都未好過, 加埋隻東威之星年中可以慳埋唔少

引用:

原帖由 CHANGMAO 於 2007-3-18 14:54 發表


又威成又绿色显男，你都好串喎!

隻果然好由KMY同细摩去布吉玩之後嗰日出到家下都未好過, 加埋隻東威之星年中可以慳埋唔少

威成,绿色显男, 威劲多 and 长驹 are similar in that they are very expensive,hardly win or never win horses entering HK recently...

引用:

原帖由 KMY89 於 2007-3-18 14:14 發表
冷狗：

I have confident in these 2 horse, and don't thi ...

It further proves that: Its not worthy betting on virgin horses, especially those virgin who have run 3-6, or seemed to have good performance but not won last time, and become 众人冷门 or 半热门 this time. The percentage of failure is quite high!

It also supports my continuous putting 牛精財星 on the list. In my eyes, he's already a 逢出必热而必输马, I won't postpone putting him onlist until he could get a W

Dear all, Money doesn't mean quality, but quality means money!

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-19 17:22 編輯 ]

21/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 威霸龍
It is not a real splinter but a miler, but due to lacking of 气量 to run 1400-1600, he could always run in front the huddles and get 3344 if lucky. He's now the odds on favourite in this race(May be due to the reason of O Doleuze riding on him). I think it's not worthy betting on his W. I anticipate he could come back at 3-6.
   
Race 2: 盈峰
He's now the third hottest horse in this race and maybe even get hotter tommorrow night. It's a rubbish! Don't alter your mind by the performance in his last race. I anticipate he will retire within this season without getting a W or any P.

Race 3: 無提供

Race 4: 第一好運
He may be among the hottest horses in Race 4. I don't think he could win, or even get a P in this race. He needs reduction of marks by 8-10 before he could have chance to get a W

Race 5: 威霸熊
久沉马+热门, the best choice of 死狗 to be listed. He may come back at 3344 at most and could not win.

Race 6: 無提供

Race 7: 我來也
久沉+热门, He seems to awake but still not a good choice to focus on. He is a HV expert but is not worthy to be the oddson favourite in race. I anticipate he may come back at 2-4 but still could not win.

Race 8: 無提供
金同德 is a new born HV expert at 1000-1200 distances. It's dangerous to bet him to lose this race. But I am a liitle bit worry about he's running too much these month, and the confrontators are much more tough than ever. I think the chance of his winning in this race is just ~40%, and that of his getting into a runner-up is ~80%. I do think some horses may beaten him to 1st or 2nd runner-up. They may be 幸運精英,極奇妙,魅力漢子,一號種籽,創惑?!

没有把金同德上LIST，是尊重他4W的佳绩，但今次是有隐忧的：
金同德赢了换人，今次的杜鹏志不是热人，金同德今次可能会热死！上次赢威威之星，是不错的马，但未必很好，因为前次很尽都输给何良的一匹缩程跑HV1000的沙田1400-1600大冷马祥胜奇驹，实力不会太高！
創惑现在是十多倍，临场总有7-8倍以上的，它赛绩一样很好，JOCKEY又是金同德上次的赢出者哩！

[ 本帖最後由 求其 於 2007-3-21 18:08 編輯 ]

引用:

原帖由 求其 於 2007-3-21 00:09 發表
21/3/07 Dead hot dog:

Race 1: 威霸龍
It is not a real splinter but a miler, but due to lacking of 气量 to run 1400-1600, he could always run in front the huddles and get 3344 if lucky. He's now ...

   貼完 Race 1: 威霸龍 place 上博友榜，先至睇到 求其兄今晚將此狗入榜，希望牠有 3 3 唔好 4 4 啦！

引用:

原帖由 billchan 於 2007-3-21 16:54 發表


   貼完 Race 1: 威霸龍 place 上博友榜，先至睇到 求其兄今晚將此狗入榜，希望牠有 3 3 唔好 4 4 啦！

On your side, I hope my prediction goes wrong...
In my point of view, I think he is a 一里马，有速度但一直没有贯注力（气量），所以跑长一点又输最后一百，改过来对手差一点的快活谷跑短途是对的，但他不是真正短途马，小弟觉得他几难赢了，但2-5名就唔难囖！

...我將佢過 place �隉I有第 2 或 3 就可以了！

阿標今日早場好彩贏左 �謋J波，已有兩倍利潤在��口，今晚小注冷門，臨場呢 d 咁熱既狗，真金白銀一定唔會買！

[ 本帖最後由 billchan 於 2007-3-21 17:40 編輯 ]

引用:

原帖由 billchan 於 2007-3-21 17:37 發表
...我將佢過 place �隉I有第 2 或 3 就可以了！

阿標今日早場好彩贏左 �謋J波，已有兩倍利潤在��口，今晚小注冷門，臨場呢 d 咁熱既狗，真金白銀一定唔會買！

临场估计会买边件呢？研究一下吖!

我都會睇住 冼文諾 d 馬！尾場會�E實 極奇妙！

引用:

原帖由 billchan 於 2007-3-21 18:08 發表
我都會睇住 冼文諾 d 馬！尾場會�E實 極奇妙！

好的，去你的临场X水区聊吧！