引用:
原帖由 redhorse 於 2007-2-22 19:17 發表
求其兄,我對得佢多,知道巴士兄心思,首先佢選擇買讓球平手,希望就算唔羸都打和,其次是輸了一場還有兩場,望追番多少,冇乜上落,如果是二串一,或三串一,太搏殺格,唔係巴士兄波路,佢係寓娛樂於賭博,就算桑拿都喜歡開細 ...
I do know his mind regarding gambling too: (play safe and always bet on odds on favourite Q/QP, may think odds=chance...
)
In the world of gambling, odds does not duly reflects chance, though it's hardly controlled by the punters themselves.
But we are able to control the risk! All-up is a way of gambling that enhances risk unnecessarily!
Risk does not have any relationship with the betting money, but it's related to the number of 關 one need to pass! For example, if 3 matches with odds =2 to 1, if one wants to have a benefit of $400 from these 3 matches, one can either bet on any one match with betting money of $200, or a 3x1 at $50, or three 2x1 at $100 per each. If any one match is lost, 3x1 is lost too, one totally lost but the loss is only $50. If he bet on either one match, one has 2/3 chance to win and 1/3 chance to lose. If one uses the third model, one has 1/3 chance to win and 2/3 chance to lose.
A 3x4 is a combination of 3x1 and three 2x1, if any one match is lost, 75% of the betting money is written off!
If we want to play safe, don't gamble!
If we gamble, we should control the risk, or attain the maximum benefit at a certain level of risk (The worst is to increase the risk without increasing the benefit! 风险高而利润不相应高是犯不著的!)