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圖表分析看後的市

Yes, i really need to take my time on 998.

Yes, I recently understand the reason of buying those stocks who are the leaders in that industries. Such as buying the property related stock in China, I will choose 688.

For the market, it is still unstable. Better than expected PPI might disappoint the market. However, core PPI is okay. Let's wait for the result of CPI.

Dow was weighted by Wal Mart and Home Depot tonight because of disappointing outlook.

For HK, it is a very boring market (actually all the markets in the world is bored today except China). I still take my previous analysis for reference at the moment.
引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-14 00:56 發表



I know what you meant.  It is okay with small amount of investment on 998, take your time and wait for it rises with whole bank sector later.

In the investment, always try to hold with the ...


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引用:
Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-14 23:50
Yes, i really need to take my time on 998.

Yes, I recently understand the reason of buying those stocks who are the leaders in that industries. Such as buying the property related stock in China ...
I see, all China stocks will be okay if they are doing their business properly, only timing.
HK stock today is really boring,

US stock is down 126 pts now, and HK stock expected to drop tomorrow.  It depends on how deep it will go; and we can have better picture for the direction later.

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引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-15 01:19 發表
I see, all China stocks will be okay if they are doing their business properly, only timing.
HK stock today is really boring,
US stock is down 126 pts now, and HK stock expecte ...
Now dropped over 500 points and moving towards 21,000.

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引用:
原帖由 peninsula 於 2007-8-15 11:46 發表

Now dropped over 500 points and moving towards 21,000.
Now dropped over 600 pts ...very close to 21000 lar...
計謀之始是要讓敵人知道你的下一步,然後小心預測敵人之後的每一步,高明一點的是讓敵人知道你的第二步,更高明的是讓敵人知道你的第三步 ...

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引用:
Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-15 11:46

Now dropped over 500 points and moving towards 21,000.
Yes, moving to 21200, and see whether HSI can stay above on it.

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引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-15 12:16 發表



Yes, moving to 21200, and see whether HSI can stay above on it.
I think today can stay over 21200,..but this week...I doubt.,,,!!
計謀之始是要讓敵人知道你的下一步,然後小心預測敵人之後的每一步,高明一點的是讓敵人知道你的第二步,更高明的是讓敵人知道你的第三步 ...

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引用:
Originally posted by 小小力 at 2007-8-15 12:25


I think today can stay over 21200,..but this week...I doubt.,,,!!
Agreed

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引用:
原帖由 小小力 於 2007-8-15 12:00 發表
Now dropped over 600 pts ...very close to 21000 lar...
Will reach this week.

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引用:
Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-15 12:35

Will reach this week.
If drop down 21200 then will go to 20800 technical level

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引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-15 12:37 發表
If drop down 21200 then will go to 20800 technical level
Can move quickly to 21,000.

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引用:
Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-15 12:57

Can move quickly to 21,000.
Probably, depend on how many more investment bank got problem


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引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-15 13:59 發表
Probably, depend on how many more investment bank got problem
No, the strong JPY & USD are pulling down the market and gold price as well.


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引用:
Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-15 14:17

No, the strong JPY & USD are pulling down the market and gold price as well.
Yes, strong JPY, 116.xx

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Thank you

Very interesting!

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Dow was down 200 points yesterday, leading to another big drops in the Asian market. The situation is quite worst here today in Asia, Jakarta Composite was down 6.4%, Straits Times 3.35%, Taiwan 3.57%. Yen is very strong and go to 116.69 now. Let see how is the CPI tonight.

HSI will soon drop to the support at 100-day line (21,281). Luckily the turnover today is not very big. It really depends on whether Dow could hold 13,000 tonight with a resonable CPI to determine the performance of HSI tomorrow. FTSE, CAC and DAX drop more than 1% now.
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引用:
Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-15 19:08
Dow was down 200 points yesterday, leading to another big drops in the Asian market. The situation is quite worst here today in Asia, Jakarta Composite was down 6.4%, Straits Times 3.35%, Taiwan 3. ...
HSI really depends on how many more bad news coming from around the world.
21200 could be supportive line, but doesn't seem strong now, could down to 20800 soon.  Since JPY getting strong, and more bad news coming out in global!!!

I spent 10% of my capital to buy some stocks today, but not much.

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Haha, you need to be careful ar, 3a4b5c6c, the market is still not stable.

Yes, strong Yen will weight the market. However, very luckily that Dow has reached 13,000 and there should be some support there. I share with you some of my observation before to support my thinking.

I remember when Dow was still at around 11,200 (1.5 or 2 years ago ??) and encounter strong resistance. I dropped very quickly and finally find the bottom at 10,000, and rebound very quick and back to 11,000.

Another example is that as long as I remember when Dow 12,8XX in last Feburary, it encounter strong resistance there and drop very quickly and touch 12,000. Finally it found support at 12,000 and rebound very quickly to 13,7XX.

Therefore, my thinking is that don't underestimate the support at 13,000. It might provide Dow some support. (this could not be applied in HK market)
引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-15 19:21 發表




HSI really depends on how many more bad news coming from around the world.
21200 could be supportive line, but doesn't seem strong now, could down to 20800 soon.  Since JPY getting strong, ...
[ 本帖最後由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-15 23:31 編輯 ]

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引用:
Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-15 23:29
Haha, you need to be careful ar, 3a4b5c6c, the market is still not stable.

Yes, strong Yen will weight the market. However, very luckily that Dow has reached 13,000 and there should be some supp ...
Yes, that's right, market is not stable yet.  HK has been impacted by global market always.

Why I started to buy stocks now even the market is still unstable
I assumed first supportive line at 21500, then 21200, 20800 and 20300.  Honesty, nobody knows when the bottom line would be, could be anyone of these.
It is tough to guess, and no guarantee.
So, based on my own view, I decided to use a little money to buy some stock now, if going downward, then can buy more and more.  At least, I did not buy anything for long hold from 23500 till now.  The worst may be close to 20000 level.  
I don't think I can know where the bottom line is,  and buy all stocks at that level. I will save for 50% capital to buy at around 20300 if it reachs.  I do on risky way

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Good strategy to follow !! You must be a wise investor !!

Dow break the support at 13,000. We will have trobule again today !!
引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-16 00:29 發表



Yes, that's right, market is not stable yet.  HK has been impacted by global market always.

Why I started to buy stocks now even the market is still unstable
I assumed first supportive li ...

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引用:
原帖由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-16 09:03 發表
Good strategy to follow !! You must be a wise investor !!
Dow break the support at 13,000. We will have trobule again today !!
I have always maintained 20,000 as a target. Should be reached soon.

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The housing data released tonight suggested that the housing market is deteroriating. However, luckily Federal Reserve has pumped in 5 billion dollars tonight and make the Dow Future recovered from its drop of 160 points in the early session. Wiill Federal Reserve pump in more money after the openning bell ??

Even if all the central banks pumped in so many money into the market before, the Yen still go up to a very high level. At around 7 pm tonight, it even reaches 113.60, so horrible !!!

Another bad news tonight is that St. Louis Federal Reserve President William Poole said that the recent market correction had not undermined the economy and he saw no need for a immediate rate cut. Oh, my god !!

Hong Kong market is too bad today, breaking the 100 and 150 day-line on the same day !! The only support is now at the bull and the bear 250 day-line which is now at 19,821, only around 800 points away from the present position. If Dow still have a big drop tonight, we might reach tomorrow !! . Please note that we haven't touched this line since June 2006.

For the time being, friends should be alert and trade with caution.

[ 本帖最後由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-16 21:16 編輯 ]
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Federal Reserve add in 12 Billions dollars in the market again after the openning bell. Dow only drop around 50 points now. Yen is at 114.70

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引用:
原帖由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-16 21:39 發表
Federal Reserve add in 12 Billions dollars in the market again after the openning bell. Dow only drop around 50 points now. Yen is at 114.70
Dow now drop 186 pts wor...
計謀之始是要讓敵人知道你的下一步,然後小心預測敵人之後的每一步,高明一點的是讓敵人知道你的第二步,更高明的是讓敵人知道你的第三步 ...

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引用:
Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-16 21:15
The housing data released tonight suggested that the housing market is deteroriating. However, luckily Federal Reserve has pumped in 5 billion dollars tonight and make the Dow Future recovered from ...
Bad bad days this week, I did not buy at 21200 and 21000 since market dropped fast and deep.  I bought some at 20500 level.  Dow is dropping 260 pts tonight

At this point, HSI is going to reach 20000 or even 250 line 19800, maybe tomorrow or next monday.
I think 20000 is a good level to buy.  So many good quality stocks now, choose some for yourself, it will boost up big % by the end of 2007

HSI can not go down too much now.  PE is less than 14 now.  Can not afford to drop 6~700 pts each day, and already corrected 2800 pts from peak.


I will away for couple days, hopefully, I can connect internet for stock watch and this forum.

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Yes, I agree. It should have less room for further drop, but 250-day line still serve as a support.

Too horrible to hear that Yen has reached 112.01 yesterday night !! Now at 113.81, Japanese people will start to throw Yen to the market and buy the foreign currency if Yen goes up further, so this could help to ease the upward trend of Yen.

Even if Dow dramaticially recovered almost all its lose last night, Nikkel still fell today, perhaps because of the surge of Yen. Other Asian Market has also recorded a drop at the moment.

Caution in Trading, friends.

By the way, 3a4b5c6c, take care and have a nice trip !!!
引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-17 01:31 發表



Bad bad days this week, I did not buy at 21200 and 21000 since market dropped fast and deep.  I bought some at 20500 level.  Dow is dropping 260 pts tonight

At this point, HSI is going t ...
[ 本帖最後由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-17 09:20 編輯 ]

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