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圖表分析看後的市

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I am so happy to see that there are lot of discussion in this topic today. Yes, it is really a flat market. 3988, within our expectation, fell so much. However, in my point of view, 3988 could be bought near $3.50 because of its business in helping the mainland investors to make direct investment to the HK market.

I am very pleased to hear that so many brothers here have bought 2628 or 2628's call warrant and earn some money. If Dow is pretty okay today, 2628 will have a relatively strong opening next Monday. Brothers, set your target, sell and take the profit. As I stated before, I personally prefer 2318 more than 2628. haha

US economic data is in a very good shape tonight. Both durable goods orders and the new home sales data are all better than expected. This is good ! However, Federal Reserve will also look at these data and think that rate cut might not be necessary at this stage. Therefore, you could see that Dow haven't had a clear direction from 9:30 to 11:00 pm. Strong data means the economy is still very okay but at the same time means inflation might be a problem !

On next Tuesday, we will have the existing home sales.

Back to the HK market, today we really filled the gap produced yesterday. It will be more healthy if we filled this gap first before riding to another peak. The buying force at the bottom is quite strong as expected. We are still not sure whether the China Officials will come out in this weekend or next weekdays and say that they start to proceed the applications for the account for making direct investment in the HK Stock market. If that come out, I am sure that the market will be further up. Of course, friends, we need to determine the risk you could bear.

I wish to refer back to the question raised by brother "devilsadvocate". If you are afraid of the volatility in the market before the Futures end on 30/06. There are two ways in my mind that you could prevent the fluctuation. First, you could set your target profit, if it reaches your target profit on Monday or Tuesday, then you could sell it and minimize the risk. Second, you could buy some "put" warrant to lock your target profit and minimize the risk. Of course, you really need to know how to calculate the amount of "put" warrant you might need for counteracting the possible down trend.

Take care and have a nice weekend, friends.

[ 本帖最後由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-24 23:08 編輯 ]


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引用:
Originally posted by nonhuman at 2007-8-24 22:01
i have bought 2628 too ... but at $32. Have lost the chance on low position coz not available at that day ....
Don't worry bought at $32, you have never known it is high yet.
When it traded between $22~$25, people would think they bought at high level at $25.  But now, when you look back, $24 or $25 is so cheap to have it.

Depends on how you expect and know and confident about your stock well in future.

I bought from $10~$30, and the latest bought at $25.60 last friday, still a good chance to buy more and hold if there is a big drop in the whole market.

If you are also holding call warrant on 2628, can set your target price to sell when reached your target after released earning report next monday

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引用:
Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-24 23:03
I am so happy to see that there are lot of discussion in this topic today. Yes, it is really a flat market. 3988, within our expectation, fell so much. However, in my point of view, 3988 could be b ...
The market was pretty flat today, I expected HSI closed dropped 150 pts, but not, even better at almost even.

Dow is up 70 pts so far which is a good sign for HK monday, it will have another rise.
2628 will release earning report next monday, as expected, it is good.  It will lead whole insurance sector up on monday and tuesday luckily.

I like 2318 too, but I love 2628 more.  
2318 has been doing extremely well with strong rebound and rise this week.  That is a very good long term hold stock too.

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引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-25 00:36 發表



The market was pretty flat today, I expected HSI closed dropped 150 pts, but not, even better at almost even.

Dow is up 70 pts so far which is a good sign for HK monday, it will have anoth ...
good result for 2628 is expected
so be careful not to cahse high
there may be anti-climax on its price

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引用:
Originally posted by ytt at 2007-8-25 01:09


good result for 2628 is expected
so be careful not to cahse high
there may be anti-climax on its price
Yes, it could be.
Have to set target price and some profit cut line of call warrant on monday and tuesday.  Make sure the lock up the profit.

thanks for your advise

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Dear friends, I have calculated from the ADR market and notice that 2628 (LFC) has reached $35 and 941 (CHL) traded over $100 but close at $99.9, using 1USD=7.82.

It seems that all the guys holding 2628 or 2628's call warrant will have a big lunch and dinner !!
引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-25 01:22 發表



Yes, it could be.
Have to set target price and some profit cut line of call warrant on monday and tuesday.  Make sure the lock up the profit.

thanks for your advise

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Thanks for sharing

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引用:
Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-25 10:38
Dear friends, I have calculated from the ADR market and notice that 2628 (LFC) has reached $35 and 941 (CHL) traded over $100 but close at $99.9, using 1USD=7.82.

It seems that all the guys hold ...
Yes, I hope so, have a big lunch and dinner since Dow helped up 142 and good for HSI on monday

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引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-8-26 01:52 發表



Yes, I hope so, have a big lunch and dinner since Dow helped up 142 and good for HSI on monday
if 2628 $35
and 941 $100
monday morning
I may sell 25% of these stocks in my hand
and get them back later probably at $33 and $95
staircase trading may help maximizing profit

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Yes, brothers, now it is very difficult to predict how the HSI will react with the coming mainland investors. If you do have some profit, you could sell a portion of your stock to earn a "lunch".

Some newspapers said that the mainland investors could make direct investment starting from the coming Wednesday, but of course official confirmation is yet to be recevied.

Good trading day tomorrow !!


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引用:
原帖由 cherryjasonchan 於 2007-8-26 19:22 發表
Yes, brothers, now it is very difficult to predict how the HSI will react with the coming mainland investors.  
Always BUY dragon head stocks.

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引用:
Originally posted by cherryjasonchan at 2007-8-26 19:22
Yes, brothers, now it is very difficult to predict how the HSI will react with the coming mainland investors. If you do have some profit, you could sell a portion of your stock to earn a "lunc ...
Yes, positive look on HSI this week since investors from China, will help an atmosphere in psychological effect more than money at this moment.  

You're right, I really have big big lunch today so far, and looking for a super dinner tonight, thanks for your support

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Dear Brothers, not a quite good news for Stock H tomorrow !

Extracted from Metroradio
  
中行北京總行稱監管部門未批准天津分行可以接受開戶申請

中國銀行北京總行發言人王兆文表示, 監管部門未批准天津分行可以接受開戶申請, 買賣香港股票; 但已收到很多客戶查詢, 預約登記相當多 . 他相信 , 短期內會成事, 但未知道實際接受開戶申請日期.

有消息指, 中國銀行(3988)天津濱海分行今日將正式開始 , 接受開設投資港股戶口的申請.

港股直通車業務, 以天津市濱海新區為試點 . 中銀國際表示, 至今已有超過一萬名客戶預約登記申請開戶; 中銀國際已斥資約4500萬港元, 用於更新系統及擴大處理內地帳戶申請的能力 .

內地《中國證券報》報導, 如果天津以外的股民想開戶, 暫時仍須要親自持身分證到天津市濱海各中國銀行支行辦理 .


相關搜索目錄: 投資 銀行

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That perhaps will be similar to the "Growth Enterprise Market" of HK and the "AIM" market of UK.

This is the first time I hear this piece of news. That's actaully a very good start for China to develop a GEM market in Tingjiang.

Do they need the help from HK ??
引用:
原帖由 nonhuman 於 2007-8-27 18:07 發表
天津市個市長好猛料 ... 連中國建議的第三版股市(即上海和深圳主版, 深圳二版之外), 好有可能在天津開始 .... 模式應該介乎, 美國NASDAQ的SMALL CAP和OTC之間

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Thank you very much for your valuable information. Nowadays we also need to read a lot of information given by the China official.
引用:
原帖由 nonhuman 於 2007-8-27 18:13 發表
You may check this news from the magazine "財經" ... forget which week?

http://www.caijing.com.cn/

very good analysis of China Economy .... of coz one of the government speech plat ...

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引用:
原帖由 devilsadvocate 於 2007-8-29 15:07 發表
果然發生好似我上星期最擔心嘅事,跌市!我又唔識買D乜CALL / PUT 輪!希望升返啦!
All UP today.

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引用:
Originally posted by peninsula at 2007-8-31 12:32

All UP today.
Yes, continous in the afternoon too, probably reach 24000 today

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Hello Cherryjasonchan, haven't posted on this topic for a while.
How are you these days?

I am reading some information and indicate there maybe a correction occur between 25000~25500; could drop back to around 22000 pts.  Be careful and watch out

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Hi, 3a4b5c6c, thank you for your kindest concern. I have sent you a personal message, you could check.
引用:
原帖由 3a4b5c6c 於 2007-9-16 01:46 發表
Hello Cherryjasonchan, haven't posted on this topic for a while.
How are you these days?

I am reading some information and indicate there maybe a correction occur between 25000~25500; could dro ...

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